2. Variations to the Imen-Delphi Procedure Dr. David Passig & Ms. Aviva Sharbat Bar-Ilan University, Israel www.passig.com

3. Outline Imen-Delphi Procedure Imen-Delphi Procedure ID Philosophical Foundations ID Philosophical Foundations A Sample of ID Variations A Sample of ID Variations

4. What is the Imen-Delphi? The Imen-Delphi (ID) procedure was designed in the early 1990’s in order to facilitate discussions among groups of panelists sharing a common future interest. The goal of the ID is to help the participants clarify their opinions and expectations regarding their possible futures and develop a consensus about preferable futures.

5. The ID procedure The Imen-Delphi (ID) procedure is based on three rounds with iterative feedback. 1.First round – teasers and questions 2.Second round – list of mission statements extracted from answers 3.Third round – final list of agreed upon future mission statements (preferred future imagery) & recommendations

6. ID Philosophical Foundations The Imen-Delphi (ID) procedure is based on the foundations of the Applied Social Systems Theories. The procedure is an applied social methodology for the enhancement of future imagery. It is geared to promote the responsibility and self-awareness of participants towards future growth.

7. A future mission for communal services Sample of Variations A future mission for vocational training A future mission for Direct Banking A future mission of VR in schools

8. Systems’ attention The free approach to modify the procedure in a variety of projects is based on the foundations of the Applied Social Systems’ Theory. The Applied Social Systems’ Approach claim that science needs to work for the betterment of human systems. Meaning, to be attentive to the needs of the participants.

9. A future mission for communal services This study involved a group of 60 managers from the Israeli Society of Communal Services (ISCS). The issue at hand was how to use the knowledge that has been accumulated by various Futures Studies in order to renew the future working mission of ISCS to better reflect undergoing changes in the Israeli society. The goal was to better plan new Community Centers that will better serve preferred social trends.

10. A future mission of VR in schools The purpose of this study was to lead a debate through an ID procedure and reach an agreement, among a worldwide group of experts, concerning a preferred future mission of VR in schools. The study involved 50 worldwide VR experts ( from the U.S, Canada, UK, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, Greece, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and Venezuela ). The procedure was conducted through email. We tested its efficiency in facilitating a group’s emergence through the net.

11. A future mission for vocational training This study addressed the challenge of implementing future technological trends within current vocational curriculum. 85 educational headmasters, entrepreneurs and senior managers from the Israeli industry participated in this study. The objective was to examine technological trends (2020) and their impact on training programs, as well as suggesting a futurized model for a national vocational training.

12. The objective of this study was to draft a working vision for the Direct Banking Dept. of the largest bank in Israel. The ID procedure involved 25 senior managers from the different Depts. Of the headquarters and the employees of the Direct Banking Dept. The issues that were debated included: future communication technologies relevant to banking, future customers’ life styles, future trends in national and Int. banking regulations, etc. A future mission for Direct Banking

13. Characteristics of original ID procedure The researchers defined their role as facilitators. The ID procedure did not intend to involve participants that will statistically represent the entire group. Face-to-face communication between the facilitators and the participants was established.

14. Imen-Delphi Variations We found the participants willing to take part in the collection of the triggers and take over the aspect of data processing and organization. The facilitators means of communication through e-mail, or through s-mail was convenient for the participants A genuine need has evolved to include in the procedure a larger number of participants or even the entire group concerned with the issue at hand

15. Liberation of creativity We need to change what we mean by science’, and bring about basic changes that: would represent significant move toward liberating the surge of creativity that is needed if science is to help in confronting the deeper problems of humanity. ( Bohm and Peat 1987 )

16. Contact Dr. David Passig, Futurist, Bar Ilan U. Head Grad Program of Communication Technology in Ed www.passig.com