1. 26 SEPTEMBER 2014 FOXTROT

2. OBJECTIVE To recommend which of the two COAs is more supportable in terms of Personnel Requirement FOXTROT

3. SCOPE  MISSION STATEMENT  CHARACTERISTICS OF AO  ENEMY STRENGTH - Disposition - Capabilities  FRIENDLY FORCES - Disposition - Proposed COA  COAs EFFECT ON PERSONNEL  ADVANTAGE AND DISADVANTAGE OF COA  CONCLUSION 3 FOXTROT

4. MISSION On order, JTF NOLCOM conducts show of force operations in order to deter NAF aggression that threatens the territorial integrity and sovereignty of the Republic. FOXTROT

5. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO 5 Lakuha is a “heart- shape” island province of PH Total Land area = 95,258 Ha NE of the PH approx. 100 miles from mainland Luzon  Highest peak Mount Malindig - 1,157 m (3,796 ft.) ASL, located in the southern tip of the island GEOGRAPHY FOXTROT

6. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO LAND DIMENSION  Approx. 83% - hills and mountains area  17% built-up areas, coastal, swamp, and marshy areas  Terrain is rocky but gentle and undulating  Mountainous interior - home to rare and endangered flora and fauna. FOXTROT

7. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO LAND DIMENSION  Hills drop steeply - maximum elevation of 1,157 m (3,796 ft) ASL  Ideal for sustained defensive operations FOXTROT

8. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO LAND DIMENSION -HILLS AND MOUNTAINS -BUILT-UP AREAS -COASTAL, SWAMP, AND MARSHY AREAS -PLAIN/FLAT -MT. MALINDIG/ HIGHEST PEAK LEGEND: FOXTROT

9. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO LAND DIMENSION -RESTRICTED TERRAIN -SEVERELY RESTRICTED TERRAIN -AVENUES OF APPROACH LEGEND:

10. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO WEATHER / CLIMATE Type III Climate – rainfall more or less evenly distributed through out the year/no clear boundary between dry and wet Double during May – October (Monsoon Season) Temperature bet 27°C to 32°C Humidity av e= 78% year round Ave rainfall 2,034.6 mm Driest period: January – April Annual precipitation: 910 mm (36in) Coastal region: 101-381 mm Higher ground: 508 mm METOC ANALYSIS FOXTROT

11. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO WEATHER / CLIMATE METOC ANALYSIS CONDITIONPERIOD North-East Monsoon (Amihan) November - April South-West Monsoon (Habagat) July - October Favorable for Sea TravelMay - June FOXTROT

12. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO WEATHER / CLIMATE METOC ANALYSIS CONDITIONPERIOD North-East Monsoon (Amihan) November - April South-West Monsoon (Habagat) July - October Favorable for Sea TravelMay - June FOXTROT

13. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO METOC ANALYSIS Mission Area JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC AIR MARITIME GROUND AMPH UNRESTRICTED MODERATE RESTRICTION MODERATE RESTRICTION SEVERE RESTRICTION SEVERE RESTRICTION CLIMATOLOGICAL EFFECTS ON MILITARY OPERATIONS FOXTROT

14. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO EFFECTS ON ENEMY/FRIENDLY COAs : SITUATION EFFECT ON ENEMY COAS EFFECT ON FF COAS TROPICAL RAINFORESTS PROVIDES LIFE SUPPORT SYSTEM (COVER, WATER, AND FOOD.) PROVIDES LIFE SUPPORT SYSTEM, SUPPORT OF COMMUNITIES. MOUNTAINOUS AREAS MOBILITY HAMPERED BY RESTRICTIVE AND SEVERELY RESTRICTIVE TERRAINS. LIMITS TROOP MOVEMENT. CAUSES INTERFERENCES TO LOS COMMU EQIPT MOBILITY HAMPERED BY RESTRICTIVE AND SEVERELY RESTRICTIVE TERRAINS LIMITS TROOP MOVEMENT. INTERFERENCES TO LOS COMMU EQUIPT CONCENTRATION OF DRRO DURING TYPHOON (LANDSLIDE AND FLASHFLOODS) AND FOREST FIRES DURING DRY SEASON FOXTROT

15. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO EFFECTS ON ENEMY/FRIENDLY COAs : SITUATION EFFECT ON ENEMY COAS EFFECT ON FF COAS GENERALLY SURROUNDED BY COASTLINE ADVANTAGEOUS TO AMPHIBIOUS OPNS OBSTACLE POSITIONS HAMPER MOBILITY ADVANTAGEOUS TO AMPHIBIOUS LANDINGS OBSTACLE POSITIONS HAMPER MOBILITY CONSIDERATION FOR DRRO EFFORT DURING TYPHOON. THICK VEGETATION PROVIDES COVER AND CONCEALMENT. DIFFICULT FOR MANEUVER OF ARMOR ASSETS AND CAS OPS. PROVIDES COVER AND CONCEALMENT. DIFFICULT FOR MANEUVER OF ARMOR ASSETS AND CAS OPS. FOXTROT

16. CHARACTERISTICS OF AO EFFECTS ON ENEMY/FRIENDLY COAs : SITUATION EFFECT ON ENEMY COAS EFFECT ON FF COAS SOUTH BASIN SHELTERING AREA FOR SEA VESSELS TAKLUBU REEF HAZARDOUS TO AMPHIBIOUS LANDINGS HAZARDOUS TO AMPHIBIOUS LANDING FOXTROT

17. ENEMY STRENGTH: FOXTROT FLEET Nuvarian flotillas LSD Flotilla Polnocny Flotilla Destroyer Flotilla Frigate Flotilla Support Flotilla Naval infantry brigades 3 Infantry Brigades AIR FORCE 2 Fighter Wing (SU 27) 2 Fighter Wing (Mirage 2000) 2 Ground Attack Wing (SU 24 MK) 1 Transport Wing (AN12/ C130) Fighter wing has 81 aircraft each Ground attack wing has 81 aircraft each Transport wing has 45 aircraft ARMY One Division -

18. ENEMY DISPOSITION : FOXTROT -Ministry of Defense (MOD) located in San Juan -Chief of Armed Forces and General Staff located at Sabana Seca Naval Base -Fleet HQ and all naval ship units located at Sabana Seca Naval Base Naval infantry HQ and brigades located at Camp Santiago Marine Base -Air Forces HQ and the 5 th and 6 th Bomber Wings located at Ramey Air Base 1 st, 2 nd, 3 rd and 4 th Fighter Wing based at Buchanan Air Station -Army HQ and all Army brigades located at Fort Allen -Recent reports indicate suspected attempts at establishing Cyber attack capabilities Sabana Seca Naval Base Camp Santiago Marin Base Ramey Air Base Buchanan Air Station Fort Allen NUVARIA

19. ENEMY CAPABILITIES : FOXTROT Night Amphibious and Airmobile Operations Joint Operations involving Nuvarian Fleet, Naval Infantry Bde, Air Wing, and Army Airborne Bde Heliborne Operations

20. FRIENDLY FORCES STRENGTH FOXTROT ARMY: 7 ID 51D NAVY: NTF 93 AIR FORCE: 3 RD Tactical Air Group Joint Special Operations Group

21. FRIENDLY FORCES STRENGTH FOXTROT 5th Infantry Division: 501 st Infantry Brigade: 502 nd Infantry Brigade: 503 rd Infantry Brigade: Division Recon Battalion 1 ST FAR ( 3FABns X 18 105mm How) - 1 155mm Artillery Battery (GS) - 1 Coastal Battery Exocet MM40 Block 3 (GS) 1 Battery Stinger B SAM (manpads) 3 rd Mech Brigade (-): 2nd Armored Cavalry Squadron 4 th Mechanized Infantry Battalion 7th Infantry Division 701 st Infantry Brigade: 702 nd Infantry Brigade: 703 rd Infantry Brigade: Division Recon Battalion 2 nd FAR ( 3 FABns X 18 105mm How) - 1 155mm Artillery Battery (GS) - 1 Coastal Battery Exocet MM40 Block 3 (GS) - 1 Battery Stinger B SAM (manpads) 4 rd MechBn

22. FRIENDLY FORCES STRENGTH FOXTROT Navy: 1 x Inchon Class Frigate 1 x Hamilton Class Cutter 2 x Minerva Class Corvette 2 x Jacinto Class Patrol Vessel 2 x Logistic Support Vessel 4 x Multi-Purpose Attack Crafts 1 ST Marine Brigade with 3 MBLTs 3 Rd Tactical Air Group 6 x FA-50 Golden Eagle Light Attack Aircraf 1 x squadron combat utility helicopters (12 UH-1H; 4 Eurocopter AS 550; 4 SOKOL helicopters 4 x Super Tucano CAS aircraft 1 x F27 Mar Enforcer 2 x P-3C Orion Marpat JOINT SPECIAL OPERATIONS GROUP 1 st Special Forces Battalion (1SFB) 1 st Scout Ranger Battalion (1SRC) 1 st Light Reaction Company (1 LRC) 1 st Naval Special Opns Unit (1NAVSOU) 1 st Force Recon Company (1FRC) 1 st Special Opns Squadron (1SOS)

23. CAR Region II Region I Region III 5 th Inf Div, PA Camp Melchor Dela Cruz, Upi, Gamu, Isabela 501 st Inf Bde, 5ID, PA Brgy Banguinge, Kiangan, Ifugao 502 nd Inf Bde, 5ID, PA Brgy Suyong, Echague, Isabela 503 rd Inf Bde, 5ID, PA Brgy Calanan, Tabuk City, Kalinga 7 th Inf Div, PA Fort Ramon Magsaysay, Palayan City, Nueva Ecija 702 nd Inf Bde, 7ID, PA Brgy San Isidro Norte, Binmaley, Pangasinan 703 rd Inf Bde, 7ID, PA Brgy San Juan Baño, Arayat, Pampanga Naval Forces Northern Luzon NSEO, Poro Point, San Fernando, La Union NBCO, Brgy San Vicente, Sta Ana, Cagayan TOG1,Loakan Airport, Baguio City TOG2,School,Cauyan City, Isabela TOG3, Camp Aquino, San Miguel, Tarlac City TOGs, 1AD 23

24. FRIENDLY FORCES CAPABILITIES : FOXTROT  Air and surface surveillance  Missile attack  Amphibious Operation  Surface to air missile system  Surface to surface missile system  Naval blockade/ Naval Bombardment  Air strike

25. PROPOSED COAs COA 1 (Light) : JTF NOLCOM to deter the enemy through the conduct of joint training exercise at North East of Lacuha Island FOXTROT

26. PROPOSED COAs COA 2 (Heavy) : FOXTROT JTF NOLCOM to defend Lacuha Island from enemy aggression by strategically deploying forces within the AO.

27. COAs EFFECTS ON PERS FOXTROT COA 1:  Limited personnel deployment  Enhanced personnel readiness  Cohesiveness through training COA 2:  Expected personnel casualty  Involvement of all personnel  No replacement of personnel (high physical/mental stress)

28. COAs EFFECTS ON PERS FOXTROT UNITS NR OF PERSONNEL TOTAL OFFICEREP HNOLCOM6288150 OPCOM UNITS1,63623,94525,528 -ARMY1,40717,32818,735 -NAVY32 (+)4,711(-)4,743 -AIRFORCE91207298 -SOG1061,6991,805 OPCON UNIT – JTF NCR1431,5471,690 TOTAL1,84125,58027,421 PHASE 1 - COA #1 and COA #2

29. COAs EFFECTS ON PERS FOXTROT UNITS NR OF PERSONNEL TOTAL OFFICEREP HNOLCOM6288150 OPCOM UNITS1,63623,94525,528 -ARMY1,40717,32818,735 -NAVY32 (+)4,711(-)4,743 -AIRFORCE91207298 -SOG1061,6991,805 OPCON UNIT – JTF NCR1431,5471,690 TOTAL1,84125,58027,421 PHASE 2 - COA #1 and COA #2

30. COAs EFFECTS ON PERS FOXTROT PHASE 3 - COA #1 UNITS NR OF PERSONNEL TOTAL CASUALTY RATE (5%) REPLACEMENT RATE (5%) OFFICEREP HNOLCOM6288150 7.5 OPCOM UNITS1,63623,94525,528 1276.4 -ARMY1,40717,32818,735 936.75 -NAVY32 (+)4,711(-)4,743 237.15 -AIRFORCE91207298 14.9 -SOG1061,6991,805 90.25 OPCON UNIT – JTF NCR 1431,5471,690 84.5 TOTAL1,84125,58027,421 1371.05

31. COAs EFFECTS ON PERS FOXTROT PHASE 3 - COA #2 UNITS NR OF PERSONNEL TOTAL CASUALTY RATE (15%) REPLACEMENT RATE (5%) OFFICEREP HNOLCOM6288150 22.5 7.5 OPCOM UNITS1,63623,94525,528 3829.2 1276.4 -ARMY1,40717,32818,735 2810.25 936.75 -NAVY32 (+)4,711(-)4,743 711.45 237.15 -AIRFORCE91207298 44.7 14.9 -SOG1061,6991,805 270.75 90.25 OPCON UNIT – JTF NCR 1431,5471,690 253.5 84.5 TOTAL1,84125,58027,421 4113.15 1371.05

32. COAs EFFECTS ON PERS FOXTROT UNITS NR OF PERSONNEL TOTAL CASUALTY RATE (5%) REPLACEMENT RATE (5%) OFFICEREP HNOLCOM6288150 7.5 OPCOM UNITS1,63623,94525,528 1276.4 -ARMY1,40717,32818,735 936.75 -NAVY32 (+)4,711(-)4,743 237.15 -AIRFORCE91207298 14.9 -SOG1061,6991,805 90.25 OPCON UNIT – JTF NCR 1431,5471,690 84.5 TOTAL1,84125,58027,421 1371.05 PHASE 4 and 5 - COA #1

33. COAs EFFECTS ON PERS FOXTROT UNITS NR OF PERSONNEL TOTAL CASUALTY RATE (15%) REPLACEMENT RATE (5%) OFFICEREP HNOLCOM6288150 22.5 7.5 OPCOM UNITS1,63623,94525,528 3829.2 1276.4 -ARMY1,40717,32818,735 2810.25 936.75 -NAVY32 (+)4,711(-)4,743 711.45 237.15 -AIRFORCE91207298 44.7 14.9 -SOG1061,6991,805 270.75 90.25 OPCON UNIT – JTF NCR 1431,5471,690 253.5 84.5 TOTAL1,84125,58027,421 4113.15 1371.05 PHASE 4 and 5 - COA #2

34. COAs ADV & DISADV FOXTROT COA #1: JTF NOLCOM to deter the enemy through the conduct of joint training exercise at North East of Lacuha Island ADVANTAGESDISADVANTAGES Not all personnel are involved in the operation In case of heightened situation, readiness of personnel at minimum Available Reserve Force Unfamiliarity of personnel on the terrain Rotation of personnel for deployment Adaption to environment Less force to thwart aggression

35. COAs ADV & DISADV FOXTROT COA #2: JTF NOLCOM to defend Lacuha Island from enemy aggression by strategically deploying forces within the AO. ADVANTAGESDISADVANTAGES 100% Personnel Readiness Physical exhaustion, combat stress On hand awareness of the terrain No Reserve Force Greater force to deter enemy aggression Wider span of control thereby affecting - Command and Control - Logistics problems Morale Problem

36. CONCLUSION FOXTROT  PERSONNEL REQUIREMENT OF BOTH COAs CAN BE SUPPORTED  HOWEVER, PERSONNEL REPLACEMENT RATE IN COA # 2 IS LOWER THAN ITS PROJECTED CASUALTY RATE  MEANWHILE, PERSONNEL REPLACEMENT RATE IN COA # 1 IS SUSTAINABLE WITH THE PROJECTED CASUALTY RATE

37. CONCLUSION FOXTROT DEFICIENCIES TO BE CONSIDERED: -RESERVE FORCE IS NOT PROPERLY TRAINED -MOBILIZATION AND CONSOLIDATION OF THE RESERVE FORCE WILL TAKE LONGER TIME -COHESIVENESS OF PERSONNEL IS NOT YET ATTAINED

38. RECOMMENDATION FOXTROT BASED ON THE PERSONNEL ESTIMATE, COA #1 IS MORE SUPPORTABLE THAN COA #2

39. FOXTROT END