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Remarks by Mark Pearson Independent Community Bankers Nashville, Tennessee March 12, 2012.

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Presentation on theme: "Remarks by Mark Pearson Independent Community Bankers Nashville, Tennessee March 12, 2012."— Presentation transcript:

1 Remarks by Mark Pearson Independent Community Bankers Nashville, Tennessee March 12, 2012

2 Gross Fed. Debt FY-1900 to FY-2016 Source: usgovernmentspending.com

3 U.S. National Debt Source: U.S. Treasury, CBO

4 Thoughts on the World Economy Source: CIA Factbook $71.25 trillion – Global GDP $14.89 trillion – EU GDP $14.72 trillion – U.S. GDP $9.87 trillion – China GDP $4.33 trillion – Japan GDP $4.04 trillion – India GDP

5 U.S. GDP – FY2004-FY2014 Source: usgovernmentspending.com

6 World Real GDP Growth 1980-2013 Source: Int’l Monetary Fund

7 U.S. Consumer Confidence Source: University of Michigan

8 New Housing Starts Source: U.S. Census of Bureau

9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Manufacturers’ New Orders 2010-11

10 DJIA Five-Year Performance Source: finance.yahoo.com

11 10-Year Treasury Note Yield Source: finance.yahoo.com

12 Five-Year U.S. Dollar Index Source: NYBOT

13 Source: kitco.com Five-Year Gold Prices

14 10-Year Prime Rate Source: MoneyCafe.com

15 Inflation Adjusted Farmland Values 1964-2010 Source: Chicago Federal Reserve

16 Repayment Capacity 1970-2011 Source: ERS, USDA d

17 Farm Sector Debt Ratios 1970-2011 Source: ERS, USDA

18 Farm Sector Equity 1970-2011 Source: ERS, USDA d

19 Farm Sector Business Debt 1970-2011 Source: ERS, USDA

20 Light Sweet Crude Oil Source: NYMEX

21 China’s Total Primary Energy Consumption, 1970-2020 Source: Int’l Energy Outlook

22 China’s Demand for Oil Imports Source: Int’l Energy Outlook

23 China Flex Its Military Muscles Source: Defencetalk.com

24 Vital Maritime Chokepoints Source: EIA

25 Projected World Population 2050 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

26 World Population Density

27 World Population Growth Rate Source: CIA Factbook

28 “Youth Bulge” Population Impact Source: Stanford Center for Longevity 200520302050 Pakistan Iran 158.1 Afghanistan 300 250 200 150 100 50 25 0 240.3 292.2 69.4 25.1 91.2 53.3 79.4 100.2 Millions

29 Median Age in Mideast Hot Spots Source: Stanford Center for Longevity 200520302050 Pakistan Iran 20 Afghanistan 28 34 23 16 36 18 23 41

30 10-Year Corn Prices Source: NASS

31 10-Year Soybean Prices Source: NASS

32 10-Year Wheat Prices Source: NASS

33 10-Year Cattle Prices Source: NASS

34 10-Year Hog Prices Source: NASS

35 10-Year Cotton Prices Source: NASS


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