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Published byRoger Henderson Modified over 9 years ago
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India A growing economy
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India: rising GDP growth % average annual GDP growth 1900 – 1950 1.0 1950 – 1980 3.5 1980 – 2002 6.0 2002 – 2006 8.0 What do these figures tell you about the Indian economy?
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Population growth % average annual growth 1901 – 1950 1.0 1951 – 1980 2.2 1981 – 1990 2.1 1991 – 2000 1.8 2001 – 2010 1.5 What do these figures tell you about population growth in India?
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% 1950 17 1990 52 2000 65 2010 (projected)80 What do these figures tell you about changes to education in India? Adult literacy rates
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% of population Million People 1980 8 65 2000 22 220 2010 (projected) 32 368 What do these figures tell you about the service sector economic growth in India? People categorised as middle class
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Estimates of those in poverty 1980 46% 2000 26% 2010 (projected)16% 1% of the people have been crossing poverty line each year for 20 years. Equals 200 million people. What do these figures tell you about anti-poverty strategies in India? Poverty statistics
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Productivity is rising 30% to 40% of GDP growth is due to rising productivity
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India is now the 4 th largest economy It will overtake Japan between 2012 and 2014 to become the 3 rd largest world economy
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DRIVERS OF GROWTH India East and S.E. Asia Domestic Exports Services Manufacturing Consumption Investment High tech, capital Low tech, labour intensive industry intensive industry
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What is the implication of the Indian model? Has India skipped the industrial revolution? How does India take its people from farms to cities?
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Rise of globally competitive Indian companies: Reliance, Jet Airways, Infosys, Wipro, Ranbaxy, Bharat Forge, Tata Motors, TCS, Bharati, ICICI and HDFC Banks
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Demographic trend points to sharp increases in input factors 25+ yrs 0-25 yrs Demographic Split 1.5 bn 1.1 bn Labor Force Labor Force will double in the next 20 years
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Demographic trend points to sharp increases in input factors Age Dependency Savings Rate Higher savings and investment rate will translate into higher GDP growth
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“By 2010 India will have world’s largest number of English speakers” “When 300 million Indians speak a word in a certain way, that will be the way to speak it.” -Prof. David Crystal, Cambridge Encyclopedia of the English Language
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