1. Trends in International and Regional Passenger Travel Inter-Regional Travel and Local Development Alan E. Pisarski

2. What we are going to talk about Some definitions of Tourism and Tourists World Tourism Trends World Travel and the US US Domestic Tourism Future Growth Factors Impacts

3. What is a tourist? UN/WTO definition persons traveling outside their usual environment for less than a year for activities not remunerated at the destination

4. Say that again! Outside usual environment - not local Less than one year - not an immigrant Unremunerated - not a traveling worker Think of link to balance of Payments

5. Tourists are a special case of Travelers Excludes Refugees, Nomads, Diplomats Tourists are overnight visitors Visitors include overnight and same-day visitors We are actually interested in Visitors

6. WORLD TOURISM IS BIG! Biggest Industry in the World? Probably! Tremendous Growth > 4%/year 2020 International Visitors - 1.6 Billion 2020 International Receipts - $2 Trillion YET TRIVIAL NEXT TO DOMESTIC

7. World Trends - WTO millions of international visitors

8. US is dominant destination in World # 1 in Foreign receipts, 16% of world # 2 or 3 in Number of Visitors France and Spain are other Leaders Approaching 50 million Visitors Approaching $100 billion in Receipts

9. Long Term US Visitor Trends

10. Big Payoffs from Foreign Visitors Trade surplus since ‘89; peaked at $26 b in ‘96 Largest service export, $91 billion in revenues ‘98 Ahead of agriculture, chemicals and vehicles 15.4 nights and $1569 in spending per overseas visitor (think $100/day)

11. Balance of Payments Trends

12. 1998 VISITOR SHARES

13. Overseas visitor use our transport system

14. TRIP PURPOSES COMPARED

15. ATS BASIC DATA-BTS

16. THE MODES HAVE DIFFERENT PURPOSES

17. Business is a different modal world

18. MODES HAVE DIFFERENT DISTANCE ROLES

19. DISTANCES DON’T VARY MUCH BY PURPOSE

20. TRIPS & DISTANCE PERCENT TRIPS VS PERCENT MILES BY DISTANCE RANGE

21. WOMEN STILL TRAVEL LESS

22. Rates of Growth Approx Equal at About 60% but,Black, Hispanic Rate of 1995 Still Below White Rate of 1997

23. THE OLDER FOLKS LEAD TRIPS/CAPITA

24. Revenue per psgr mile trends (cents/psgr mile)

25. WHERE IS THE GROWTH IN PASSENGER MILES? (Billions of Psgr miles)

26. Growth in long distance travel and related factors - BTS

27. A Sense of Scale Int’l: 15 days (est) x 50 million Domestic: 4 trips x 4.3 days x 275 million Local: 4 trips x 365 days x 275 million

28. CALIFORNIA ANNUAL VISITOR FLOWS - 95BTS

29. OVERSEAS VISITORS MAIN POINTS OF ENTRY

30. California’s Tourism Role 20th in per capita travel #1 in intrastate travel #1 in outbound travel #2 in inbound travel #39 in thru travel # 1 in total domestic long distance travel #2 in visits by Overseas visitors

31. What’s next? Major world destination; visitors & revs. High travel propensity industrial structure Highly dispersed population High travel propensity population –age –discretionary income & time –linkages to world