1. Climate change and the future of world agriculture MARTHA ANNE DEBERRY SYDNEY FOGLE RACHEL HIMMELSTEIN LEIGH SNELGROVE None Like it Hot

2. General Information

3. Effects

4. Regions

5. Agriculture

6. Food Production

7. North America

8. North America Climate Change Increase in Temperature  Increase in temperature 1-2°C from 2010-2039  Greatest in winter at high latitudes and greatest in the summer in the south-west U.S Precipitation  Decrease in the south-west of the U.S  Yet increase over the rest of the continent  Greater risk of flooding with high precipitation  Risk of droughts because of greater temporal variability in precipitation

9. North America Freshwater Resources Surface Water  Melting and significant reductions in snowpack in the western mountains by the middle of the 21st century  Water sheds dominated by snowmelt will lead to  snowmelt runoff advances,  winter and early spring flows increase (raising flooding potential),  summer flows decrease substantially  Effects to Columbia River  Effects to the Great Lakes

11. North America Agriculture Moderate climate change will likely increase yields of North American:  Rain-fed agriculture, but with smaller increases and more spatial variability Areas with decreased precipitation would restrict the availability of water for irrigation  At the same time increasing water demand for irrigated agriculture and urban and ecological uses

12. Latin America Extreme Weather Events from 2004-2006

13. Latin America Climate Change DJF= December/January/February, JJA= June/July/August.

14. Latin America Freshwater Resources Almost 13.9% of the Latin American population (71.5 million people) have no access to a safe water supply; 63% of these (45 million people) live in rural areas Severe stress can be expected in  Eastern Central America  Eastern and Western regions of El Salvador  Central valley and Pacific regions of Costa Rica  Northern, central and western inter-montane regions of Honduras  Peninsula of Azuero in Panama

15. Latin America Agriculture Predicted 2000-2010 South American and Central American deforestation hotspots and diffuse deforestation areas.

16. Europe and Climate Change

17. Difference between Northern and Southern Europe Northern Europe will benefit from the climate change. Southern Europe will suffer more from the climate change.

18. Human Health in Europe

19. Impact on Socioeconomics

20. Climate Change and Asia

21. Impact on Asia’s Agriculture

22. Asia’s Rice Supply “No one eats more rice than Asia,” - Deputy Director- General for Research at IRRI (International Rice Research Institute)

23. Mongolia

24. ANNUAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE INCREASE OF 0.4-2.0 °C BY 2030 ANNUAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE INCREASE OF 1.0-6.0°C BY 2070 SOUTHWEST AUSTRALIA RAINFALL DECLINE BY 5-20% BY 2030 SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA RAINFALL DECLINE BY 5-10% BY 2070 INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND OCCURRENCE OF EXTREME EVENTS Predicted Effects of Climate Change on Australia

25. Reduction in wheat yields 0-5 per cent 5-10 per cent 10-15 per cent 15-20 per cent > 20 per cent

26. CHANGE IN NATIONAL GROSS VALUE OF THE WHEAT CROP IN YEAR 2070 (A) WITHOUT ADAPTATION (B) WITH ADAPTATION Predicted Effects of Climate Change on Australia

27. MURRAY-DARLING BASIN Predicted Effects of Climate Change on Australia

28. GOYDER’S LINE WHEAT BELT Predicted Effects of Climate Change on Australia

29. FARM READY CLIMATE CHANGE ADJUSTMENT PROGRAM TRANSITIONAL INCOME SUPPORT FARM BUSINESS ANALYSIS AND FINANCIAL ASSESSMENT Australia’s Farming Future: Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry

30. Predicted Effects of Climate Change in Africa

31. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY ISSUES SOUTH AFRICAN HIGHVELD REGION Climate Change in Africa: Cause for Concern

32. DIFFERENT CROPS IRRIGATION SYSTEMS SOIL CONSERVATION CHANGING PLANTING DATES CHANGING AMOUNT OF LAND UNDER CULTIVATION IMPLEMENTING NEW TECHNOLOGY Farmer Adaptations to Climate Change in Africa

33. Barriers to Adaptation to Climate Change in Africa

34. Responses Preventative Adaptive Technological

35. Preventative Measures The “Greening Hypothesis”

36. Adaptation

37. Technological

39. Questions?

40. Resources “4 Examples of Genetically Modified Crops.” BIONET. 2002.. 30 Apr 2010. Agriculture and Climate Change in Europe-Regional Facts and Challenges. Univeristy of Rostock, Germany: 2007. Agriculture and Rural Development Department. “Climate Change and Agriculture: A Review of Impacts and Adaptations”. June 2003.. 13 Mar 2010.http://www.c-ciarn.uoguelph.ca/documents/World_Bank_Paper.pdf Australian Government: Department of Agriculture, Fisheries, and Forestry. “Australia’s Farming Future.”. 10 Feb 2010. Bryan, E. et. al. “Adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia and South Africa: options and constraints.” Environmental Science & Policy. Vol. 12:2009. Dume, Belle. “How could climate change affect farming in Europe?”. Science of the Total Environment, 2009.. 20 Apr 1010.http://environmentalresearchweb.org/cws/article/news/40689 Fowler, Cary. “One Seed at a Time: Protecting the Future of Food.” TED. 2009.. 30 Apr 2010. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2010.. 20 Apr 2010. Kingwell, Rob. Department of Africulture, Western Australia and University of Western Australia. “Climate change in Australia: agricultural impacts and adaptation.” Australian Agribusiness Review. Vol. 14:2006..http://www.agrifood.info/review/2006/Kingwell.pdf National Science Federation. Global Climate Change. 2002.. 15 Mar 2010http://www.exploratorium.edu/climate/ Shulze, R.E. and N.J. Walker. “Climate change impacts of agro-ecosystem sustainability across three climate regions in the maize belt of South Africa.” Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. Vol. 124:2008. “South Asia and Climate Change: A Development and Environmental Issue”. The World Bank Group, 2010.. 26 Apr 2010.http://go.worldbank.org/0XAV4BYO60 Tang, Penny. “Climate Change and Asia’s Rice Supply”. Asia Society Hong Kong Center, 2010.. 20 Apr 2010.http://www.asiasociety.org The Academy of Natural Sciences, Asia Center. Climate Change at Hövsgöl ILTER. 2010. 20 Apr 2010.