1. Estimated number of people living with HIV, 2001–2005
2002
2003
2004
2005
Year 10 20 30 40 50
Millions
Number
of people
living
with HIV
Estimated number of people living with HIV, 2001–2005
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 1

2. Projected new adult infections and total adult deaths in sub-Saharan Africa, in millions, by the year 2020: Impact of three scenarios compared to baseline
Source: Salomon JA. et al, Integrating HIV Prevention and Treatment: From Slogans to Impact. PLoS Medicine. January 2005, Vol 2, Issue 1.
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Year
Millions
New HIV infections
0.5
1.5
2.5
AIDS deaths
Treatment-centered
Prevention-centered
Baseline
Comprehensive response
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 2

3. HIV prevalence among 15–24 year-old men and women, selected countries in sub-Saharan Africa, 2001–2005
Sources: Demographic and Health Surveys. ORC Macro (Ghana, Burkina Faso, Mali, United Republic of Tanzania, Cameroon, Lesotho, Kenya, Zambia); Department of Health, Uganda HIV/AIDS sero-behavioural survey 2004/2005 (Uganda); Ministry of Health and Child Welfare, Zimbabwe National Family Planning Council, National AIDS Council , and CDC, The Zimbabwe Young Adult Survey (Zimbabwe); Pettifor AE, et al. HIV and sexual behaviour among young South African: a national survey of year olds (South Africa). 5 10 15 20
Ghana 2003
Burkina Faso 2003
Mali 2001
Tanzania 2003
Cameroon 2004
Uganda 2004/05
Kenya 2003
Zambia 2002
South Africa 2002
Lesotho 2004
Zimbabwe 2001/02
% HIV prevalence
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 3
Women
Men

4. Percentage of young people aged 15–24 years
who correctly identified major ways
of preventing the sexual transmission of HIV*, 2003 10 20 30 40 50 60 %
Source: Demographic and Health Surveys. ORC Macro (Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique and Nigeria); Tanzania HIV/AIDS
Indicator Survey , TACAIDS, NBS, and ORC Macro (UR Tanzania).
*Using condoms and limiting sex to one faithful, uninfected partner,
who reject the two most common local misconceptions about HIV transmission, and who know that a healthy looking person can transmit HIV.
Burkina Faso
Cameroon
Ghana
Kenya
Madagascar
Mozambique
Nigeria
UR Tanzania
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 4
Female
Male

5. HIV prevalence in pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in sub-Saharan Africa, 1997/98–2004
Southern Africa
Eastern Africa
Botswana
Zimbabwe
UR Tanzania
South Africa*
Ethiopia
Mozambique
Uganda
Kenya
*data by province
West Africa
Cote d'Ivoire
Nigeria
Senegal
Ghana
Sources: Ministry of Health (Mozambique); Department of Health (South Africa); Ministry of Health and Child Welfare (Zimbabwe); Ministry of Health (Kenya); Ministry of Health (United Republic of Tanzania); Ghana Health Service (Ghana); Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) - GAP - Côte d'Ivoire (Côte d'Ivoire); Conseil National de Lutte Contre le SIDA (Senegal); Adapted from Asamoah-Odei, et al. HIV prevalence and trends in sub-Saharan Africa: no decline and large subregional differences. Lancet, 2004 (Botswana, Ethiopia, Uganda and Nigeria).
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 5

6. Sources: National HIV and Syphilis Antenatal Sero-Prevalence Survey in South Africa 2004 (South Africa); 2004 ANC Draft Report (Zimbabwe).
HIV prevalence among pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in South Africa and Zimbabwe, by age group, 2000–2004
South Africa
Zimbabwe
<20
40+
Age group
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
% HIV prevalence 10 20 30 40 50
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 6

7. Distribution of male and female deaths by age group in South Africa, 1997 and 2002
Source: Statistics South Africa, 2005
Age group
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
0 – 4
5 – 9
10 – 14
15 – 19
20 – 24
25 – 29
30 – 35
36 – 39
40 – 44
45 – 49
50 – 54
55 – 59
60 – 64
65 – 69
70 – 74
75 – 79
80 – 85
85 – 89
90+
No. of deaths*
*all causes
1997 Male
1997 Female
2002 Male
2002 Female
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 7

8. Trend in HIV prevalence in selected sites in each province in Mozambique, 2000–2004
Source: Ministry of Health, Report on the Update of the HIV Epidemiological Surveillance Data Round 10 20 30 40
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Year
% HIV prevalence
C.S. Ponta-Gea
C.S. 24 de Julho
H.R. Cuamba
H.R. Montepuez
C.S. 25 Setembro
C.S. Maxixe
C.S. Xai-Xai
C.S. 10 de Junho
H.R. Catandica
C.S. E. Mondlane
C.S. No. 3 (Tete)
North
Centre
South
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 8

9. Data from select antenatal clinic sentinel surveillance sites with a declining trend in HIV prevalence, Kenya 1997–2004 10 20 30 40 50
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Year
% HIV prevalence
Source: Ministry of Health - National AIDS/STD Control Programme (NASCOP), HIV Sentinel Surveillance 2004
Busia
Kitui
Nairobi
Thika
Meru
Nyeri
Garissa
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 9

10. Modes of transmission for HIV among HIV/AIDS cases, China (2003 estimates)
Injecting drug users 43.9%
Heterosexual transmission 19.8%
Men having sex with men 11.1%
Mother-to-child transmission 19.8%
Blood and blood products 0.6%
Former commercial blood and plasma donation 24.1%
Source: State Council AIDS Working Committee & UN Theme Group (2004)
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 10

11. Projected impact* of injecting drug use on number of HIV infections in Jakarta, Indonesia
Cumulative number
of HIV infections
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
Source: MAP Report Drug Injection and HIV/AIDS in Asia
Sexual infections resulting from a chain
of infection originating with IDU
HIV infections if nothing changes
HIV infections in IDUs if nothing changes
HIV infections if there were no IDU epidemic
110,000
36,000
2,000
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
* assuming no interventions
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 11

12. Percentage of street-based sex workers who inject drugs, who have sex with injectors, and percentage of male injectors who report buying sex, three cities, Viet Nam 2000
Source: MAP Reportt Sex work and HIV/AIDS in Asia. 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
100
Hanoi
Haiphong
Ho Chi Minh City
Percent
Sex worker injects drugs
herself
Sex worker reports sex
with male drug injector
Male injector reports
buying sex from sex worker
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 12

13. Percentage of male injecting drug users who buy sex – report of consistent condom use during commercial sex, various cities
* Sichuan : condom use at last commercial sex
** Bangkok : includes non-injecting drug users
Source: MAP Report Sex work and HIV/AIDS in Asia.
Unprotected commercial sex
Bought sex with a condom
Central Bangladesh
Sichuan, China*
Delhi, India
Surabaya, Indonesia
Katmandhu Valley, Nepal
Bangkok, Thailand**
Hanoi, Vietnam 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
100
Percent
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 13

14. HIV prevalence among pregnant women attending antenatal care clinics, Thailand 1990–2004
Source: Thailand Ministry of Public Health, Department of Disease Control, Bureau of Epidemiology
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Year
% HIV prevalence
Bangkok
Central
North
Northeast
South
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 14

15. HIV prevalence among sentinel surveillance groups, Myanmar 1992–2003
Source: Department of Health, AIDS Prevention and Control Project
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Year
% HIV Prevalence
ANC
Blood donors
Military recruits
HIV prevalence among sentinel surveillance groups, Myanmar 1992–2003
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 15

16. Number of registered
HIV cases
2000
4000
6000
8000
10 000
12 000
1987-
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2001
2002
2003
Year
Newly registered HIV cases
Children born to HIV-positive mothers
Annual number of newly registered HIV cases and children born HIV-seropositive, Ukraine 1987–2004
Source: Ukrainian AIDS Centre
2004
14 000
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 16

17. HIV prevalence at consistent selected antenatal clinic surveillance sites, Haiti 1993–2004
Source: Ministére de la Santé Publique et de la Population, Analyse secondaire des études de sero surveillance par méthode sentinelle de la prévalence du VIH chez
les femmes enceintes en Haϊti entre 1993 et 2004 2 4 6 8 10 12
1993
1996
2000
2004
Year
% HIV prevalence
All women
Urban women
Semi-urban,
rural women
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 17

18. Reported number of HIV and AIDS cases, Cuba 1986–2003*
Source: Caribbean Technical Expert Group (2004). Strengthening the Caribbean regional response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic: Report of the Caribbean Technical Expert Group on HIV Prevention and Gender. Draft working document. October. Jamaica
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year
Number of Cases
*Extrapolations from reported cumulative number of cases as of end 2003 for the years 2002 & 2003 and years with no report
HIV Cases
AIDS Cases
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 18

19. Comparison of AIDS-related hospitalizations to number of patients on ARV therapy, Brazil 1998–2004
Source: DATASUS, SIH; National STD/AIDS Program
Hospitalization rate
per year per patient
on ARV therapy
Number of AIDS
hospitalization
and number of
patients on ARV
therapy
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Hospitalized HIV patients
Patients on ARV therapy
Rate of hospitalization
of patients on ARV treatment
Year
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 19

20. Estimated number of annual AIDS cases,
Note: adjusted for reporting delays
Estimated number of annual AIDS cases,
annual AIDS deaths, and persons living with AIDS,
United States of America 1985–2003 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
100
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Year of diagnosis or death
Number of AIDS cases
and deaths (in thousands)
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Number of persons living
with AIDS (in thousands)
AIDS cases
AIDS deaths
Persons living
with AIDS
Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention
AIDS epidemic update, December Fig 20