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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 9 9 Chapter The Time Value of Money-Part 1 McGraw-Hill Ryerson©2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Based on: Terry Fegarty Seneca College Carol Edwards British Columbia Institute of Technology
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Chapter 9 - Outline Time Value of Money Future Value and Present Value Compounding and Discounting Compounding More Frequently Than Annually Nominal and Effective Interest Rates Multiple Cash Flows Annuity and Annuity Due Amortization Problems Summary and Conclusions PPT 9-2
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Time Value of Money Money Problems … You have just won a lottery and must choose between the following two options: Receive a cheque for $150,000 today. Receive $10,000 a year for the next 25 years. KEY QUESTIONS FOR YOU: Which option gives you the bigger “winnings” How should you tackle this kind of problem?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Time Value of Money Money Problems … As a financial manager you will often have to compare cash payments which occur at different dates: Cash flows now, versus … … cash flows later. To make optimal decisions, you must understand the relationship between a dollar received (paid) today and a dollar received (paid) in the future.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Time Value of Money In short, we must incorporate the concept of the time value of money. The basic idea behind the concept of time value of money is: $1 received today is worth more than $1 in the future OR $1 received in the future is worth less than $1 today Why? because interest can be earned on the money The connecting piece or link between present (today) and future is the interest or discount rate
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Time Value of Money Money Problems … As a financial manager you will face two basic types of cash flow problems: Present Value (PV) problems. Future Value (FV) problems.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Value and Present Value Future Value (FV) is what money today will be worth at some point in the future Present Value (PV) is what money at some point in the future is worth today PPT 9-4
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Figure 9-1 Relationship of present value and future value $1,000 present value $1,464.10 future value Number of periods 12340 $ 10% interest PPT 9-5
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value (PV) Present Value (PV) Problems PV problems involve calculating the value today of future cash flow(s). For example: Interest rates are 7%. If I need to have $100,000 saved in 10 years, how much money must I put aside today to create that cash flow? Interest rates are 12%. If I need to create an income of $5,000 per year for 10 years, how much money must I put aside today to create that cash flow?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Value (FV) Future Value (FV) Problems FV problems involve calculating the value an investment will grow to after earning interest. For example: Interest rates are 5%. If I invest $1,000 today, how much will it be worth in 8 years? Interest rates are 10%. If I open an account and invest $2,500 per year, how much will it be worth in 12 years?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Values Compound Interest vs Simple Interest Future value is the amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest. There are two types of interest you may receive: Compound interest. Simple interest.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Values Simple Interest Simple interest means that interest is earned only on your original investment: No interest is earned on the interest. Example: Assume interest rates are 6%. You invest $100 in an account paying simple interest. How much will the account be worth in 5 years?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Values Simple Interest You earn interest only on the amount invested. Therefore you would earn: $100 x 6% = $6.00 per year for 5 years. Answer – you would have $130 after 5 years: Period (n) 012345 $100$106$112$118$124$130 Balance in your account:
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Values Compound Interest Most financial problems you will deal with will involve compound interest. Compound interest means that interest is earned on interest. The result: the income you earn would be higher than it would be with simple interest. Can you see why?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Values Compound Interest Your income would be higher than it would be with simple interest because you earn interest on both the original investment and the interest earned in previous years. Try the example again using compound interest: Interest rates are 6%. You invest $100 in an account paying compound interest. How much will the account be worth in 5 years?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Values Compound Interest You earn interest on your interest: $100 x 6% = $6.00 the first year. $106 x 6% = $6.36 the second year. $112.36 x 6% = $6.74 the third year … etc. After 5 years you would have $133.82 : Period (n) 012345 $100$106$112.36$119.10$126.25$133.82 Balance in your account:
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Future Values Formula for Calculating FV FV n = PV (1+i) n = PV FVIF i,n Try the example again using the formula above: Interest rates are 6%. You invest $100 in an account paying compound interest. How much will the account be worth in 5 years? FV= $100 x (1 + 0.06) 5 = $100 x 1.3382 = $133.82
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value More Money Problems … Assume interest rates are 10%. You have just won a lottery and must choose between the following two options: Receive $1,000,000 today. Receive $1,000,000 five years from now. KEY QUESTIONS FOR YOU: Which option gives you the bigger “winnings” How should you tackle this kind of problem?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value More Money Problems … This is an example of a present value problem. You shouldn’t even have to do a calculation to get the correct answer. Obviously the first option is the better choice! You would want to take the money today so that you could immediately start earning interest on your winnings.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value More Money Problems … This example demonstrates a basic financial principle: A dollar received today is worth more than a dollar received tomorrow. The key question is: How much less valuable is a dollar received tomorrow as versus a dollar received today? That question is answered by using the interest rate (also known as the discount rate) to calculate the PV of the second option.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value Formula for Calculating PV PV = FV x 1/(1 + i) n = FV PVIF i,n You have been offered $1 million five years from now. Interest rates are 10%. What is that worth to you in today’s dollars? PV= $1.0 million x 1/ (1 + 0.10) 5 = $1.0 million x 0.620921 = $620,921
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value More Money Problems … Thus, you could have $1 million today. Or you could have the second option, which equates to $620,921 in today’s dollars. $1 million now The equivalent of $620,921 now vs You knew before that the first option was better, but now you can calculate exactly how much better off you are: $379,079 better off!
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value vs Future Value PV and FV are related! Have you noticed that $620,921 becomes $1 million (and that $1 million requires $620,921) if you have a time period of 5 years and a discount rate of 10%? $620,921 $1,000,000 FV at 10% PV at 10%
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value vs Future Value PV and FV are related! $620,921 invested for 5 years at 10% grows to $1 million. Or, working it in reverse, if rates are 10%, and you need $1 million in 5 years, you must put aside $620,921 right now. FV = PV x (1 + i) n = $620,921 x (1 + 0.10) 5 = $620,921 x 1.61051 = $1 million PV = FV x 1/(1 + i) n = $1 million x 1/ (1 + 0.10) 5 = $1 million x 0.620921 = $620,921
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value vs Future Value PV and FV are related! To calculate the FV of money which is available now (PV) to be invested for n years at an interest rate i, multiply the PV by (1+i) n. To calculate the PV of a future payment, run the process in reverse and divide the FV by (1+i) n.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value vs Future Value PV and FV are related! Note that: (1+i) n is called the future value factor. 1/(1+i) n is called the present value factor. i is called the discount rate. n is the number of periods. Finding the FV is called compounding. Finding the PV is called discounting.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Present Value vs Future Value Finding the Unknown … FV = PV x (1 + i) n PV = FV x 1/(1 + i) n The FV and PV formulas have many applications. Note that the variables used in these two equations are: FV PV i n Given any three variables in the equation, you can always solve for the remaining variable!
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Compounding More Frequently Than Annually Interest is often compounded quarterly, monthly, daily or semiannually in the real world To be able to use the time value of money tables correctly, an adjustment must be made: the number of years n is multiplied by the number of compounding periods m the annual interest rate i is divided by the number of compounding periods m FVn = PV (1+i/m) m*n Semiannual Compounding involves two compounding periods within the year. Quarterly Compounding involves four compounding periods within the year.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Nominal and Effective Annual Rates of Interest The Nominal, or Stated Annual Rate is that charged by a lender or promised by a borrower. The Effective Annual Rate (EAR) is the interest actually paid or earned due to compounding. EAR = (1+i/m) m - 1 where m = number of compounding periods per year i = stated annual rate
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 1....1.0101.0201.0301.0401.0601.0801.100 2....1.0201.0401.0611.0821.1241.1661.210 3....1.0301.0611.0931.1251.1911.2601.331 4....1.0411.0821.1261.1701.2621.3601.464 5....1.0511.1041.1591.2171.3381.4691.611 10....1.1051.2191.3441.4801.7912.1592.594 20....1.2201.4861.8062.1913.2074.6616.727 An expanded table is presented in Appendix A Future value of $1 (FV IF ) Periods1%2%3%4%6%8%10% PPT 9-6
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 1..... 0.9900.9800.9710.9620.9430.9260.909 2.....0.9800.9610.9430.9250.8900.8570.826 3.....0.9710.9420.9150.8890.8400.7940.751 4.....0.9610.9240.8880.8550.7920.7350.683 5.....0.9510.9060.8630.8220.7470.6810.621 10.....0.9050.8200.7440.6760.5580.4630.386 20.....0.8200.6730.5540.4560.3120.2150.149 Present value of $1 (PV IF ) Periods1%2%3%4%6%8%10% An expanded table is presented in Appendix B PPT 9-7
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Formula Appendix Future value—–single amount.. (9-1) A Present value—–single amount. (9-3) B Future value—–annuity....... (9-4a) C Future value—–annuity in advance................... (9-4b) – Present value—annuity....... (9-5a) D Determining the Yield on an Investment (a) PPT 9-15
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Formula Appendix Present value—annuity in advance................ (9-5b) – Annuity equalling a future value.................. (9-6a) C Annuity in advance equalling a future value............ (9-6b) – Annuity equalling a present value.................. (9-7a) D Annuity in advance equalling a present value........... (9-7b) – Determining the Yield on an Investment (b) PPT 9-16
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Summary and Conclusions The financial manager uses the time value of money approach to value cash flows that occur at different points in time A dollar invested today at compound interest will grow a larger value in future. That future value, discounted at compound interest, is equated to a present value today PPT 9-20
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