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US and Global Financial Institutions
Financial Systems Overview 101
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Lesson Overview Economic System System Basics Banking Security Markets
Banking System Basics Impacts on Money Creation Impacts on Capital Flows in the Intl. Economy Security Markets Security Mkt Basics Impacts on the Intl. Economy Currency Exchanges Currency Exchange Basics Impact on the Intl. Economy
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Economics Microeconomics is the study of how individual households and firms make decisions and how they interact with one another in markets. Prices and selection of products Macroeconomics is the study of the economy as a whole. Its goal is to explain the economic changes that affect many households, firms, and markets at once. Inflation Unemployment Economic Growth
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The Circular-Flow Diagram
The Circular-Flow Diagram: a visual model of the economy, shows how dollars flow through markets among households and firms Two types of “actors”: households firms Two markets: the market for goods and services the market for “factors of production” THINKING LIKE AN ECONOMIST 4
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FIGURE 1: The Circular-Flow Diagram
Households: Own the factors of production, sell/rent them to firms for income Buy and consume goods & services Firms Households Firms: Buy/hire factors of production, use them to produce goods and services Sell goods & services This and the following slide build the Circular-Flow Diagram piece by piece. THINKING LIKE AN ECONOMIST 5
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The Circular-Flow Diagram: Economic System Model
Revenue Markets for Goods & Services Spending G & S sold G & S bought Firms Households Wages, rent, profit Factors of production Income Labor, land, capital In this diagram, the green arrows represent flows of income/payments. The red arrows represent flows of goods & services (including services of the factors of production in the lower half of the diagram). To keep the graph simple, we have omitted the government, financial system, and foreign sector, as discussed on the next slide. You may wish to change the order in which the elements appear. To do so, look for “Custom Animation” in your version of PowerPoint. Markets for Factors of Production THINKING LIKE AN ECONOMIST 6
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Circular Flow Issues Doesn’t account for… Taxes Intl. Trade
Circular Flow Issues Doesn’t account for… Taxes Intl. Trade Intl. Monetary Flows Demand comes from the behavior of buyers. THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 7
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Financial System …the group of institutions in the economy that help to match one person’s savings with another person’s investment. Financial Markets: Direct match between savers and borrowers ie. Stock and bond markets Financial Intermediaries: Indirectly match savers and borrowers ie. banks and mutual funds, Demand comes from the behavior of buyers. THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 8
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Banking System How does a bank work? Where does money come from?
Banking System How does a bank work? Where does money come from? Where does it go? Demand comes from the behavior of buyers. THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 9
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Banking Money Creation with Fractional-Reserve
This T-Account shows a bank that… accepts deposits, keeps a portion as reserves, and lends out the rest. It assumes a reserve ratio of 10%. Assets Liabilities First National Bank Reserves $10.00 Loans $90.00 Deposits $100.00 Total Assets Total Liabilities
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Increase in the Money Supply = $190.00!
The Money Multiplier Increase in the Money Supply = $190.00! Assets Liabilities First National Bank Reserves $10.00 Loans $90.00 Deposits $100.00 Total Assets Total Liabilities Second National Bank $9.00 $81.00
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THE MARKET FOR LOANABLE FUNDS
Financial markets coordinate the economy’s saving and investment in the market for loanable funds. The market for loanable funds is the market in which those who want to save supply funds and those who want to borrow to invest demand funds.
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Supply and Demand for Loanable Funds
Loanable funds refers to all income that people have chosen to save and lend out, rather than use for their own consumption. The supply of loanable funds comes from people who have extra income they want to save and lend out. The demand for loanable funds comes from households and firms that wish to borrow to make investments.
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Supply and Demand for Loanable Funds
Interest rate the price of the loan the amount that borrowers pay for loans and the amount that lenders receive on their saving in the market for loanable funds, the real interest rate
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Supply and Demand for Loanable Funds
Financial markets work much like other markets in the economy. The equilibrium of the supply and demand for loanable funds determines the real interest rate.
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Figure 1 The Market for Loanable Funds
Interest Rate Supply Demand 5% $1,200 Loanable Funds (in billions of dollars)
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Intl. Capital Flows
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Open-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic Concepts
An open economy interacts with other countries in two ways. It buys and sells goods and services in world product markets. It buys and sells capital assets in world financial markets.
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The Flow of Financial Resources: Net Capital Outflow
Net capital outflow refers to the purchase of foreign assets by domestic residents minus the purchase of domestic assets by foreigners. A U.S. resident buys stock in the Toyota corporation and a Mexican buys stock in the Ford Motor corporation.
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The Flow of Financial Resources: Net Capital Outflow
When a U.S. resident buys stock in Telmex, the Mexican phone company, the purchase raises U.S. net capital outflow. When a Japanese residents buys a bond issued by the U.S. government, the purchase reduces the U.S. net capital outflow.
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The Flow of Financial Resources: Net Capital Outflow
Variables that Influence Net Capital Outflow The real interest rates being paid on foreign assets. The real interest rates being paid on domestic assets. The perceived economic and political risks of holding assets abroad. The government policies that affect foreign ownership of domestic assets.
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Figure 3 How Net Capital Outflow Depends on the Interest Rate
Real Interest Rate Net capital outflow is negative. Net capital outflow is positive. Net Capital Outflow
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World Financial Centers - Securities
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Financial Markets The Stock Market
Stock represents a claim to partial ownership in a firm and is therefore, a claim to the profits that the firm makes. The sale of stock to raise money is called equity financing. Compared to bonds, stocks offer both higher risk and potentially higher returns. The most important stock exchanges in the United States are the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange, and NASDAQ. What about the primary Korean markets?
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Financial Markets The Stock Market
Most newspaper stock tables provide the following information: Price (of a share) Volume (number of shares sold) Dividend (profits paid to stockholders) Price-earnings ratio
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Financial Markets Reading the stock page…
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Financial Markets Columns 1&2 52-Week Hi-Lo Range
Column 3 Company Name and Type of Stock: If there are no special symbols or letters following the company name, it is common stock (shares without a fixed rate of return of investment.) Other types of stock are “pf“ or preferred, etc. Column 4 Ticker symbol: This alphabetic symbol is a unique stock identifier. Column 5 Dividend Payment: This indicates the annual dividend payment per share. Column 6 Percent Yield: This figure represents the dividend return an investor can expect on each share of stock. It is calculated by dividing the annual dividend each share pays by its current market value, and is expressed as a percentage. Column 7 Price-Earnings Ratio (PE): This calculation is one way of evaluating a stock's relative performance and value. It is computed by dividing the stock's price by the company's per-share earnings for the most recent four quarters. Higher Price-Earnings multiples suggest the investors are more optimistic about a stock's prospects than comparable lower-PE stocks, but the reason for high and low PEs also include the company's growth outlook, the industry the company is engaged in, company accounting policies, and whether the firm is a startup or a more established business. Column 8 Trading Volume: This figure shows a total number of shares traded for the day, listed in hundreds. Column 9 Hi/Lo: This indicates the trading price range of the security during the day's trading. Column 10 Close and Net Change:
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Financial Markets The Bond Market
A bond is a certificate of indebtedness that specifies obligations of the borrower to the holder of the bond. Characteristics of a Bond Term: The length of time until the bond matures. Credit Risk: The probability that the borrower will fail to pay some of the interest or principal. Tax Treatment: The way in which the tax laws treat the interest on the bond. Bonds can be from companies (private/public) or the government (local-municipal, regional, provincial or national) levels Municipal bonds are federal tax exempt.
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World Trade Flows
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The Flow of Goods: Exports, Imports, Net Exports
Net exports (NX) are the value of a nation’s exports minus the value of its imports. Net exports are also called the trade balance.
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The Flow of Goods: Exports, Imports, Net Exports
Factors That Affect Net Exports The tastes of consumers for domestic and foreign goods. The prices of goods at home and abroad. The exchange rates at which people can use domestic currency to buy foreign currencies.
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The Flow of Goods: Exports, Imports, Net Exports
Factors That Affect Net Exports The incomes of consumers at home and abroad. The costs of transporting goods from country to country. The policies of the government toward international trade.
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The Equality of Net Exports and Net Capital Outflow
For an economy as a whole, NX and NCO must balance each other so that: NCO = NX Why? When a nation is running a trade surplus (NX>0), it is selling more goods/services to foreigners than it is buying. What is it doing with the foreign currency received? Must be buying foreign assets. Capital is flowing out of the country (NCO>0). When a nation is running a trade deficit (NX<0), it is buying more goods and services from foreigners than it is selling. How is it financing the purchase? It must be selling assets abroad. Capital is flowing into the country (NCO<0).
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International transactions are influenced by international prices.
THE PRICES FOR INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS: REAL AND NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATES International transactions are influenced by international prices. The two most important international prices are the nominal exchange rate and the real exchange rate.
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Nominal Exchange Rates
The nominal exchange rate is the rate at which a person can trade the currency of one country for the currency of another.
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Real Exchange Rates The real exchange rate is the rate at which a person can trade the goods and services of one country for the goods and services of another.
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Figure 1 The Market for Loanable Funds
Real Interest Rate Supply of loanable funds (from national saving) Demand for loanable funds (for domestic investment and net capital outflow) Equilibrium quantity real interest rate Quantity of Loanable Funds
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The Market for Foreign-Currency Exchange
Real Exchange Rate Supply of dollars (from net capital outflow) Demand for dollars (for net exports) Equilibrium quantity real exchange rate Why does demand slope downward? Why is the Equil. Qty vertical? Quantity of Dollars Exchanged into Foreign Currency
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The Effects of Government Budget Deficit
1. A budget deficit reduces the supply of loanable funds . . . (a) The Market for Loanable Funds (b) Net Capital Outflow Real Real Interest S S Interest Rate Rate r2 B r2 E1 r A which increases the real interest rate . . . which in turn reduces net capital outflow. Demand NCO Quantity of Net Capital Loanable Funds Outflow Real Exchange S S Rate 4. The decrease in net capital outflow reduces the supply of dollars to be exchanged into foreign currency . . . E2 which causes the real exchange rate to appreciate. Demand Quantity of Dollars (c) The Market for Foreign-Currency Exchange
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