1. UNIDO

2. UNIDO UNIDO Technology Foresight; Programme Regional Initiative on Technology Foresight in CEE/NIS Ricardo Seidl da Fonseca INDUSTRIAL PROMOTION AND TECHNOLOGY BRANCHINDUSTRIAL PROMOTION AND TECHNOLOGY BRANCH www.unido.org/foresightwww.unido.org/foresight

3. UNIDO Policy Transfer EU -> CEE

4. UNIDO Economic Growth and Technology Policy Drivers of economic growth over coming decades: increasing competitionincreasing competition increasing constraints on public expendituresincreasing constraints on public expenditures increasing complexityincreasing complexity increasing importance of technological competenciesincreasing importance of technological competencies

5. UNIDO Technology Foresight Technology Road Mapping S&T Industry Scope: Identify emerging technologies and challenging factors in S&T areas Output: Long-term R&D policy Scope: Technology critical for industrial development Output: Medium & long- term innovation policies Scope: Technology, market and other issues related to productivity growth Output: Medium & long- term technology plans and business strategies Methodologies & Levels

6. UNIDO Japan, Germany, France, US, Australia, Austria, Korea, Belgium Spain, Hungary, APEC, Brazil US, France Netherlands, US, Australia, New Zealand, Austria, Ireland, Finland, Hungary, APEC Japan, UK, Germany, Korea, Spain, Sweden, Ireland, Belgium, Hungary US, France UK, Netherlands, US, Canada, Austria, Australia, New Zealand, Ireland, Norway, Finland, Portugal APEC US, France US, Italy, Czech RepublicAll Countries Netherlands, Canada, Austria, Portugal, Czech Republic France, Germany Internet Forum Citation Index Trend Analysis Interview Environmental Scanning Mixed Methodologie s Critical Technologies Scenario building SWOT Conference, Workshop, Brainstorming Panel Discussion Delphi survey Methodologies and Users

7. UNIDO Technology ForesightTechnology Road Mapping S&T policy R&D policy for industry Integrated technology strategies and business plan Japan, Germany, France, UK, New Zealand, Korea, Australia, Austria, Ireland, Belgium, France, Finland, Hungary, APEC, Czech Republic Spain, Portugal, ItalyNetherlands, Australia US, Canada, Sweden Comparative Results

8. UNIDO Why UNIDO Technology Foresight? Improve decision makingImprove decision making Guide technology choicesGuide technology choices Generate alternative trajectories and strategies for industrial developmentGenerate alternative trajectories and strategies for industrial development Enhance learning and improve preparadness for emergenciesEnhance learning and improve preparadness for emergencies Motivate changeMotivate change

9. UNIDO Development objectives Contribute to enhancing the industrial competitiveness and expand trading potentialContribute to enhancing the industrial competitiveness and expand trading potential Foster economic, environmental and social benefits at national and regional levelsFoster economic, environmental and social benefits at national and regional levels Definition of innovation policies and R&D programmesDefinition of innovation policies and R&D programmes

10. UNIDO Immediate objectives Raise awareness of the critical importance of technology change for improving competitiveness of industryRaise awareness of the critical importance of technology change for improving competitiveness of industry Identify technology needs and prioritiesIdentify technology needs and priorities Strengthen strategic decisions capabilityStrengthen strategic decisions capability Undertake regional studies for common issuesUndertake regional studies for common issues Promote knowledge on trends and opportunities applied for production chainsPromote knowledge on trends and opportunities applied for production chains

11. UNIDO COMPONENTS AWARENESS BUILDING AND FORESIGHT CULTUREAWARENESS BUILDING AND FORESIGHT CULTURE NATIONAL AND REGIONAL CAPABILITIESNATIONAL AND REGIONAL CAPABILITIES REGIONAL COORDINATIONREGIONAL COORDINATION - PARTNERSHIPS PROMOTION - PARTNERSHIPS PROMOTION

12. UNIDO UNIDO support International Conferences and workshops on best practices and methodologies (national and regional)International Conferences and workshops on best practices and methodologies (national and regional) Integration in the regional initiativeIntegration in the regional initiative Promote industry participationPromote industry participation Task force of experts and methodology development during the foresight exerciseTask force of experts and methodology development during the foresight exercise Cooperation in the post-foresight processCooperation in the post-foresight process

13. UNIDO TOOLS AND METHODOLOGIES Book on Technology Foresight principlesBook on Technology Foresight principles Web page (linked to UNIDO Exchange)Web page (linked to UNIDO Exchange) CD-ROMCD-ROM ManualsManuals Delphi on-lineDelphi on-line TF for Production Chains (national and supra-national)TF for Production Chains (national and supra-national)

14. UNIDO Regional dimension – the UNIDO approach Foresight as a tool for regional R&D programmesForesight as a tool for regional R&D programmes Enhance quality and effectiveness of foresight through multi-country networkingEnhance quality and effectiveness of foresight through multi-country networking Reduce costs by sharing common activitiesReduce costs by sharing common activities Awareness of global and regional trendsAwareness of global and regional trends Joint vision and solutions for cross-border problemsJoint vision and solutions for cross-border problems Concentration of multi-country production chainsConcentration of multi-country production chains

15. UNIDO REGIONAL FORESIGHT STUDIES Impact of EU-Accession to local industriesImpact of EU-Accession to local industries Agro-food industryAgro-food industry Automotive industryAutomotive industry Challenges and opportunities of BiotechnologyChallenges and opportunities of Biotechnology Water resources protectionWater resources protection Competitive Production ChainsCompetitive Production Chains Fishery industry in Latin AmericaFishery industry in Latin America

16. UNIDO FORTHCOMMING EVENTS Training on TF Methodologies, Prague, Czech Republic, 06-10 October 2003Training on TF Methodologies, Prague, Czech Republic, 06-10 October 2003 Training on Organizing Foresight programmes, Turkey, 08-12 December 2003Training on Organizing Foresight programmes, Turkey, 08-12 December 2003 2004 Foresight Summit - Budapest, Hungary - September/October 20042004 Foresight Summit - Budapest, Hungary - September/October 2004 Conference on Methodologies and Practices on Technology Foresight - Lima, Peru – January 2004Conference on Methodologies and Practices on Technology Foresight - Lima, Peru – January 2004

17. UNIDO IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CEE/NISTF INITIATIVE

18. UNIDO REGIONAL LATIN AMERICA National foresight activities:National foresight activities: Chile - Identify strategic economic and technology sectorsChile - Identify strategic economic and technology sectors Brazil - Production chains: textiles, plastics, wood, constructionBrazil - Production chains: textiles, plastics, wood, construction Uruguay - Macro-sectors trends: food biotechnology, energy and transportation and logisticsUruguay - Macro-sectors trends: food biotechnology, energy and transportation and logistics Venezuela - Application of the results of the TF exerciseVenezuela - Application of the results of the TF exercise

19. UNIDO REGIONAL LATIN AMERICA Regional activities:Regional activities: Trieste, Montevideo and Quito conferences (1999, 2000, 2003)Trieste, Montevideo and Quito conferences (1999, 2000, 2003) Production chain study for Fish industry in Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Spain (2003/2004)Production chain study for Fish industry in Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Spain (2003/2004)

20. UNIDO UNIDO TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT INITIATIVEwww.unido.org/foresight Ricardo Seidl da Fonseca INDUSTRIAL PROMOTION AND TECHNOLOGY BRANCH