1. PVAAS – Pennsylvania Value-Added Assessment System http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/pa_value- added_assessment_system_(pvaas)/8751 http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/pa_value- added_assessment_system_(pvaas)/8751 http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/pa_value- added_assessment_system_(pvaas)/8751

2. The TWO PVAAS Methodologies Today Looking Back/Evaluation… Value-added Growth Reports For Cohorts of Students Looking Forward/Planning… PVAAS Projection Reports For Individual Students and Cohorts of Students NO individual student growth measure

3. PVAAS IS : A statistical analysis of existing assessment data (PSSA). A realistic measurement of a school’s progress/growth over time. Progress data to add to achievement data as schools are analyzing their work with students and making improvement plans.

4. PVAAS IS NOT : Another test. A method for providing a measure of growth for an individual student.

5. High Achievement Average Achievement Low Achievement Current Data Collection Approaches Achievement is based on each student’s ending point.

6. PVAAS Adds Another Variable To Achievement…Progress Below Growth Standard At or Above Growth Standard Progress is based on each student’s starting point.

7. Viewing Achievement and Progress Together Scatter Plots

8. Scatter Plot Quadrants and Their Meanings Excelling Underperforming but Improving Achieving but Slipping Underperforming and Slipping

9. Please review this document in your folder…

10. Example: Regional Scatter Plot

11. Scatter Plot Comparison State vs. IU 12 vs. YCSD Math and Reading Grades 4 – 8

12. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 4 Math Statewide Grade 4 Math IU 12 Grade 4 Math York City SD Grade 4 Math

13. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 4 Reading Statewide Grade 4 Reading IU 12 Grade 4 Reading York City SD Grade 4 Reading

14. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 5 Math Statewide Grade 5 Math IU 12 Grade 5 Math York City SD Grade 5 Math

15. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 5 Reading Statewide Grade 5 Reading IU 12 Grade 5 Reading York City SD Grade 5 Reading

16. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 6 Math Statewide Grade 6 Math IU 12 Grade 6 Math York City SD Grade 6 Math

17. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 6 Reading Statewide Grade 6 Reading IU 12 Grade 6 Reading York City SD Grade 6 Reading

18. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 7 Math Statewide Grade 7 Math IU 12 Grade 7 Math York City SD Grade 7 Math

19. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 7 Reading Statewide Grade 7 Reading IU 12 Grade 7 Reading York City SD Grade 7 Reading

20. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 8 Math Statewide Grade 8 Math IU 12 Grade 8 Math York City SD Grade 8 Math

21. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 8 Reading Statewide Grade 8 Reading IU 12 Grade 8 Reading York City SD Grade 8 Reading

22. 11 th Grade Scatterplots The PSSA-PVAAS Scatter Plots visually display the following data from the statewide distribution of PSSA results for 2009-10: Achievement Achievement – The mean predicted performance of the cohort. – The actual mean performance of all students in the state is displayed for reference Growth Growth – School Effect ≈ Observed Mean – Predicted Mean – Standardized School Effect = School Effect relative to its error – displays degree of confidence The following two slides explain the meaning of each of the regions of an 11 th grade scatter plot.

23. The Scatter Plot Coordinate System for Grade 11 Horizontal Axis Growth Measure in Standard Errors Vertical Axis Mean Predicted Scaled Score Growth Descriptor Boundaries (±2SEs) 2010 Mean Scaled Score

24. Scatter Plot Regions and Their Meanings for Grade 11 Higher Performing Above Expectations Lower Performing Above Expectations Higher Performing Met Expectations Lower Performing Met Expectations Higher Performing Below Expectations Lower Performing Below Expectations

25. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 11 Math Statewide Grade 11 Math IU 12 Grade 11 Math York City SD Grade 11 Math

26. Statewide to IU Region to District Grade 11 Reading Statewide Grade 11 Reading IU 12 Grade 11 Reading York City SD Grade 11 Reading

27. Overview of PVAAS Reporting

28. PVAAS Reporting District Level Reporting District Level Reporting School Level Reporting School Level Reporting Grade Level Reporting Grade Level Reporting Reading (Grades 4-8, 11)Reading (Grades 4-8, 11) Math (Grades 4-8, 11)Math (Grades 4-8, 11) Science (Grades 4, 8, 11)Science (Grades 4, 8, 11) Writing (Grades 5, 8, 11)Writing (Grades 5, 8, 11) Subgroups Reporting (ex. IEP, ED, ELL) Subgroups Reporting (ex. IEP, ED, ELL) Performance Levels (Advanced, Proficient, Basic, Below Basic) Performance Levels (Advanced, Proficient, Basic, Below Basic) Student Level Reporting Student Level Reporting Reading, Math, Science, Writing (grades vary based on content area)Reading, Math, Science, Writing (grades vary based on content area)

29. Have all of our groups of students experienced one year of academic growth during the last school year? Value-added Growth Reports

30. PVAAS Value-added Cohort Growth Descriptors – Grade 4 – 8 Math and Reading Favorable Indicator Estimated gain at or above growth standard. Students in this cohort have made at least one year growth. All schools can achieve this rating. Caution Indicator Estimated gain below growth standard but by less than one standard error. Students in this cohort have grown less than the standard. Stronger Caution Estimated gain below growth standard by more than one but less than two standard errors. Students in this cohort have fallen behind their peers. Strongest Warning Estimated gain well below growth standard by more than two standard errors. Students in this cohort have made little progress.

31. District/School Report Example

32. PVAAS Predictive School Report

33. How are our best students, our average students, our struggling students growing? Performance Diagnostic Report

34. Growth Standard Methodology What the whiskers tell us… Growth Standard (One Year’s Growth) Met the Growth Standard; Made One Year’s Growth Yellow Below Growth Standard; Less than One Year’s Growth Rose Exceeded Growth Standard; More than One Year’s Growth Green

35. Predictive Methodology What the whiskers tell us… Observed – Predicted (One Year’s Growth) NDD – No Detectable Difference Between Observed Score and Predicted Score BELOW Expectations -- Observed Score Was Less Than Predicted Score ABOVE Expectations -- Observed Score Was Greater Than Predicted Score

36. Performance Diagnostic Report

38. What is the likelihood that a student will be proficient on a future PSSA exam? PVAAS Projections

39. Student Projection Methodology A separate longitudinal modeling process focused on the performance scores of individual students. The model uses all of the available data (both math and reading) to project future PSSA performances in Math, Reading, Science and Writing. Projections can be calculated for an individual student or groups of students.

40. PVAAS Student Projection Report

41. Identified Students Meeting Search Requirements

42. District (Single Grade) Projection Summary Report

43. PVAAS Fall 2009 Reporting: Projections to Basic, Proficient, Advanced Grade PSSA Last Taken Math and Reading:  3  4 or 5  4  5 or 6  5  6 or 7  6  7 or 8  7  8  8  11 Writing:  3  5  4  5  5  8  6  8  7  8  8  11 Science:  3  4  4  NA  5  8  6  8  7  8  8  11 Grade PSSA Last Taken Grade PSSA Last Taken

44. Approved: PA’s Proposal for Growth Model as Means to Make AYP