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Published byGeoffrey Colin Francis Modified over 9 years ago
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CROWDING-OUT EFFECT Definition Graphical Illustration
Partial Crowding out Full Crowding out Factors that Affect the Crowding-out Summary
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Definition The increase in government expenditure will lead to the fall of private expenditure, thus resulting in a smaller multiplier effect on the equilibrium level of income. Underlying assumption: G r I Y
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Multiplier Effect
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Shifting of IS Curve r Y IS2 IS1 Distance AB = Y A B Y1 Y2
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Crowding-out Effect Increase in G
IS curve shifts to the right by the horizontal distance (Gmultiplier) if LM curve is upward sloping, then the rise in interest rate will lead to the fall of I the fall of I will lead to the decrease in Y eventual in Y is less than (Gmultiplier)
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Diagram r Y IS1 IS2 LM G Y1 to Y2 No Crowding-out C r1 Y3 Y1 Y2 A B
r Y IS1 IS2 LM G Y1 to Y2 No Crowding-out C r1 Y3 Y Y2 A B I Y2 to Y3 Crowding-out
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Slope of LM and Crowding-out
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Steeper LM & Crowding-out (1)
r Y LM1 E A B Y1 Y2 IS2 K H IS1 Y3
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Steeper LM & Crowding-out (2)
r Y LM1 LM2 F A B Y1 Y2 IS2 K H IS1 Y3
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Steeper LM & Crowding-out (3)
r Y LM1 LM2 G A B LM3 Y1 Y2 K IS2 IS1 =Y3
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Slope of LM and Crowding-out
LESS ELASTIC MORE ELASTIC MORE ELASTIC LESS ELASTIC
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Slope of IS and Crowding-out
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Diagram r Y LM1 IS2 IS1 C Crowding-out effect Y3 A Y1 r1 Y2 B Y2 to Y3
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Diagram r Y LM1 IS2 IS1 Crowding-out effect C A Y3 Y1 r1 Y2 B Y2 to Y3
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Comparison r Y IS1 LM1 Y1 r1 IS2 A Y2 B C Y3
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Slope of IS and Crowding-out
More Elastic Less Elastic Smaller Larger
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Diagram r Y IS1” LM1 IS1 IS2” IS2 C B A r1 Y1 larger MPS smaller MPS
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Summary The crowding-out effect depends on
the slopes of IS & LM curves The steeper the LM curve, the larger the crowding-out effect The flatter the LM curve, the smaller the crowding-out effect The existence of crowding-out effect will affect the effectiveness of fiscal policy
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