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AQA A2 Business Studies Unit 4
The motives for takeovers and mergers and how these link with corporate strategy
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Key definitions Takeover: Where one business acquires a controlling interest in another business = a change of ownership Merger: a combination of two previously separate businesses into a new business External growth: use of takeovers & mergers Organic growth: growth from “within the business” e.g. new products; expansion into new markets Diversification: expanding into new markets with new products – the riskiest growth strategy
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Key theories to consider
Ansoff matrix: a model that analyses four growth options: product development; market penetration; market development & diversification Economies of scale: where unit costs fall as a result of increased scale or scope of operations (key to strategy of cost leadership)
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How M&A fits into a strategy
Methods Organic / internal growth Innovation Diversification International Expansion Cost leadership Takeovers / mergers Joint ventures or strategic alliances
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Why is strategy all about CHOICE?
A key concept to remember and build into essay answers Takeovers and mergers are rarely forced on a business - they are optional If M&A is optional, then there must be some alternatives E.g. could a joint venture or strategic alliance be as effective as a cross-border takeover?
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M&A: 3 main motives Strategic motives Financial motives
Focused on improving & developing the business Closely linked to competitive advantage Financial motives Focused on making best use of financial resources for shareholders Concerned with improved financial performance Managerial motives Focused on the self-interest of managers Not necessarily in the best interest of shareholders Source: adapted from Exploring Strategy, Johnson, Whittington & Scholes, 2011
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Some examples of motives
Takeover / merger Main motives for the transaction Kraft / Cadbury Establish global market leadership in confectionery & access emerging markets Google / Motorola Acquire valuable smartphone patents & manufacturing expertise Tata / JLR Economies of scale & acquire expertise, brands, capacity and distribution RBS / ABN-Amro Management vanity; continue reputation for big deals; over-confidence Santander / Abbey Market entry (UK) & establish base for further acquisitions to build market share WM Morrison & Safeway Increase market share & exploit economies of scale to improve competitiveness HMV / MAMA Diversification into fast-growing markets & reduce reliance on retailing British Airways / Iberia Consolidation; economies of scale & survival: positioning for further takeovers
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The role of private equity
Professional investors who invest on behalf of specific funds Responsible for a large number of takeovers each year Wide range of industries, markets, types of investment Their aim - to earn a target rate of return for the investment fund
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What makes private equity takeovers different?
Financial motive is key (rather than strategic motive) Look to invest in fast-growing firms or those where financial performance can be significantly improved Takeover usually financed by both equity (shares) and debt (loans) Advise rather than get involved in day-to-day management of the target Synergies not usually important to the deal (unless the are links with similar investments in the portfolio)
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Common criticisms of private equity takeovers
Too many involve mature businesses which don’t really need the investment Over-geared: too much debt used to finance the transaction Short-termism: not always a long-term investor Too much focus on cost cutting and asset stripping
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Summary: advantages of acquisitions
Overcomes barriers to entry Helps spread risk (wider range of products and greater geographical spread) Revenue growth opportunities (synergy) Cost saving opportunities (synergy) Reduces competition May enable economies of scale
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Summary: drawbacks of acquisitions
High cost involved Problems of valuation Clash of cultures Problems of integration (change management) Resistance from employees Non-existent synergy Incompatibility of management styles, structures and culture Questionable motives High failure rate Diseconomies of scale
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Key Case Study – Kraft & Cadbury
Transformational takeover which was seen by Kraft as the final piece in its strategic jigsaw All about achieving leadership in faster-growing confectionery and snack markets
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Cadbury’s strategic fit with Kraft
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Kraft / Cadbury – product strategy
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Kraft / Cadbury – geographical leadership
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Kraft / Cadbury – market leadership
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AQA A2 Business Studies Unit 4
The problems of takeovers and mergers including difficulties integrating businesses successfully
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Key terms Merger integration: the process of bringing together the functional areas of buyer & target business (e.g. organisational structure, systems, operations, marketing, people, merging cultures) Dis-synergy: costs or lost revenues that arise as a result of the transaction (e.g. lost customers) Cross-border: buyer and seller based in different countries (although both may be multinationals)
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Key theories & concepts
Corporate culture: the “way that things are done”; often different, even amongst firms in the same market. Stakeholders: different people and groups who have an interest in the effect of the M&A transaction (e.g. customers, employees, local community).
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Overview of the takeover process
Target Identification & Choice Valuation & Offer Due Diligence & Completion Post-acquisition Integration
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Characteristics of a badly-managed takeover
Limited due diligence Price to high Over-estimate of potential for synergies Lack of, or too simplistic, integration plan Indecision once the takeover is complete Poor communication with key stakeholders
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Complications for public companies
The existing share price indicates the market value of the firm However, takeover usually requires a substantial bid premium Bid premium typically 30-40% more than share price prior to bid announcement Regulation of bid via Takeover Panel rules adds complexity & cost
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But acquisitions usually fail
It is widely accepted that over 50-70% of takeovers destroy shareholder value
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The danger of over-valuation
The easiest way to destroy shareholder value is to over-pay Extra danger of over-paying is trying to cut costs too quickly to justify price paid
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Example of the Winner’s Curse - RBS
In 2007, RBS was part of a consortium that bid £49bn as it competed to buy ABN-Amro RBS clearly overpaid for the takeover The subsequent effect on RBS's capital reserves led to the forced nationalisation of RBS in 2008 to avoid a collapse of the UK banking system
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Checking what you are buying: due diligence
Financial Commercial Legal
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Another possible problem: friendly or hostile takeover?
Target Board Rejects Offer Friendly Target Board Accepts / Supports Offer
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Friendly takeovers The vast majority of takeovers are friendly
Buyer approaches target Board with offer Target Board negotiates & agrees price / terms Shareholders of both firms approve the deal Legal completion of takeover The vast majority of takeovers are friendly
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Hostile takeovers Buyer approaches target Board with offer Target Board rejects offer Buyer makes offer direct to target shareholders Target shareholders decide whether to accept Hostile takeovers are unusual, often bitterly contested and costly
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Some common problems with hostile takeovers
Senior management in the target often leave en masse = loss of experience & expertise Resentment amongst target stakeholders (local community, employees) Increased risk that the buyer pays too much for the takeover
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Ways to avoid integration problems
Detailed due diligence – focused on the likely areas of risk (e.g. IT systems, impact on customers etc.) Careful integration planning – a detailed action plan based on pre-takeover due diligence. Act quickly: the first 100 days are often considered vital for the overall success of the takeover or merger. Clear communication about the objectives of the transaction and the honesty about the implications for key stakeholders (particularly employees). Respect the culture of the target business
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Some examples of integration (+ & -)
Takeover / merger Integration Experience / Issues Kraft / Cadbury Most senior Cadbury managers have left; but little effect on operations or sales Daimler / Chrysler Disastrous clash of corporate cultures – eventually split up in 2007 Tata / JLR Excellent example of well-planned takeover & sensitive long-term integration plan RBS / ABN-Amro Very poor quality due diligence & absence of realistic integration plan Santander / Abbey Textbook example of how to integrate takeovers – focusing on IT systems News Corp / Myspace Entrepreneurial online culture fails to thrive in a bureaucratic, corporate culture Coca-Cola / Innocent Need for integration reduced by allowing target to continue operating independently Orange UK / T- Mobile UK Difficult integration due to many overlaps in systems, operations and management
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The factors influencing the success of takeovers and mergers
AQA A2 Business Studies Unit 4 The factors influencing the success of takeovers and mergers
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Key definitions Cost synergies: cost savings that arise as a direct result of the transaction (in both the target and buying business) Revenue synergies: increased revenues (for both businesses) arising from the transaction Due diligence: verifying the financial, legal and commercial position of the target business Shareholder value: the return on investment achieved by shareholders in the buying/acquiring firm
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Key theory & concepts Sources of cost synergies: Eliminate duplicated functions & services; better deals from suppliers; higher productivity & efficiency from shared assets Sources of revenue synergies: Cross-selling to customers of both businesses; access to new distribution; brand extensions; new geographic markets opened up
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Short-term measures of success
Share price (if the buyer is a quoted company) Revenues, operating costs and profits (mainly of the target business) Achievement of planned synergies Customer retention & service levels Staff retention (often cited as the main HRM problem of takeovers)
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Longer-term measures of success
Market competitiveness (market share; reputation, brand strength) Return on investment (ROCE, profitability of enlarged business) Sustainable growth rate (revenues, profit, profit quality, sustainable revenue synergies)
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Why synergies are so important?
They justify paying more than the standalone value of a target firm They are the means by which shareholder value is created They focus management on making a takeover achieve its objectives They are a means to improve competitiveness and achieve competitive advantage
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Shareholder value - example
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Common ways shareholder value can be destroyed by a takeover
Paying too much (over-valuation or poor negotiation) Poor quality due diligence (e.g. fails to identify potential liabilities or highlight poor profit quality) Lack of integration planning Too much focus on cost synergies rather than revenue synergies Failure to retain elements which made the target attractive in the first place (e.g. innovation, culture, skills)
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Examples of successful deals
Successful takeovers and mergers L’Oreal & The Body Shop (more shops, higher profits) Google & YouTube (rapid growth & advertising revenue) Tata & Jaguar Land Rover (£1bn profits in 2011) Santander & Abbey, Alliance & Leicester, Bradford & Bingley (higher profits & market leadership in UK) Taylor Woodrow & George Wimpey (economies of scale for two leading house builders merged together)
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However: the golden rule of M&A
At least 70% of takeovers and mergers destroy shareholder value
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Examples of deals that failed
Failed takeovers and mergers News Corp & Myspace (bought for £580m; sold for $25m) ITV & FriendsReunited (bought for £175m; sold 3 years later for £25m) Cisco & Flip (bought for $590m; closed down in a year) RBS & ABN-Amro (bought for £10bn; results in losses of at least £15bn & nationalisation) Terra Firma & EMI (bought for £4.2bn; sold 3 years later for loss of £1.75bn) – one of biggest private equity failures
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Some truly awful deals (2)
SOLD £25m
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Some truly awful deals (3)
£10bn Written Off + New Liabilities £15bn+
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We are sorry we bought ABN Amro.”
“In retrospect we bought ABN at the top of the market, so everything we paid was not worth it. A significant part of the goodwill write-off, £15bn, is ABN Amro, but I couldn’t tell you how much we lost on ABN. Basically, the bulk of what we paid for ABN Amro, which was £10bn, will be written off. We are sorry we bought ABN Amro.”
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AQA A2 Business Studies Unit 4
The impact of takeovers and mergers on the performance of the businesses involved
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Key Definitions Shareholder value: the return on investment achieved by shareholders of the buying/acquiring firm. The return needs to be at least equal to the required rate of return of shareholders Value destruction: where shareholder value falls as a result of the transaction
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Key theories & concepts
Profitability: the overall level of profits (a key return) in the enlarged business Market capitalisation: the monetary value (usually represented by the share price x shares in issue) of a business Porter’s Five Forces: a model of competitive rivalry which analyses the attractiveness of a market from the point of view of existing competitors
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Potential positive & negative effects
Positive Impacts Improved revenues and profits Reduced competition (market more attractive) Greater capabilities (e.g. technology, capacity, innovation) Better market access (e.g. distribution; new territories) Negative Impacts One-off costs and effect of integration (disruptive for both buyer and target business) Too much focus on cost synergies can damage revenue & growth potential Cultural conflicts Risk of overpayment for the transaction
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Some examples of M&A effects
Takeover / merger Impact on performance (+ or -) Tata / Jaguar Land Rover +ve: significant increase in profits & rapid expansion into Chinese market Google / Youtube +ve: rapid growth in video upload & viewing supported by Google services Cadbury / Green & Blacks +ve: doubled turnover to £40m under Cadbury ownership Santander / Abbey +ve: substantial rise in profitability as a result of cost synergies Pearson & Edexcel +ve: rapid rise in profits for Edexcel under Pearson ownership News Corp / Myspace -ve: dramatic loss of market share (to Facebook etc) & heavy losses Daimler & Chrysler -ve: collapse in market value as merger plan unravelled spectacularly Terra Firma & EMI -ve: substantial fall in revenues & profits, partly due to opposition from EMI artists
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Evaluation opportunities
Distinction needs to be made between tangible measures (e.g. revenues, profits, market share etc) and more intangible measures such as brand & customer service reputation. Are we looking at the impact on the businesses involved over the short-term or longer-term? The full impact (positive or negative) might take some years to fully assess. Hard to measure impact for many takeovers, since the businesses concerned “disappear” into the result of the acquiring firm. Impact not so transparent in many cases.
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The impact on, and reaction of, stakeholders to takeovers and mergers
AQA A2 Business Studies Unit 4 The impact on, and reaction of, stakeholders to takeovers and mergers
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Key definitions Stakeholders: A stakeholder is someone or some organisation/institution that has an interest in the success of a business. Post-merger integration: the process of bringing all aspects of the acquired business into the business organisation of the buyer (including customers, employees etc.)
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The Stakeholder Model Stakeholder model: requires that “all of the parties affected by management decisions, in addition to the shareholders themselves, management, employees, customers, suppliers, communities in which the business operates and the environment from local to global, all must be considered as fairly and justly as possible.”
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Who are the Stakeholders?
An individual or group with an interest in an organisation Any individual or group who can affect or are affected by the achievement of a firm’s objective Groups/individuals that: have an interest in the well being of the company and/or are affected by the goals, operations, activities of the organisation They have a stake in what the organisation does
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Examples of stakeholders (all can be affected by M&A)
Shareholders or business owners Managers & employees Customers Suppliers Banks and other finance providers Government Local community Other external groups (e.g. pressure groups) Competitors The media
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Potential conflicts between stakeholders
Takeover or Merger Decision Supported By? Opposed By? Cut jobs to reduce costs Shareholders Banks Employees Local community Transfer production to overseas location Management Customers & suppliers Introduce new machinery to replace manual work Customers Increase selling prices by 10% to improve profit margins
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Likely negative impact on stakeholders
Most takeovers and mergers are associated with: Job losses in the acquired business (a direct result of cost synergies) & knock on effects on local economy. Uncertainty & more job insecurity – particularly as organisational structures & systems are integrated. Potential closure and / or transfer of capacity to other international locations (e.g. to emerging markets). Change in the taxation status of the firm – profits may be transferred overseas with a loss of corporation tax for the UK economy.
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Many examples of adverse reaction
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Ways to manage stakeholder impact
Stakeholders need to be considered & included in the takeover / merger integration plan. Clear, early and honest communication about the intentions & plans of the acquiring firm. Focus efforts on the most important stakeholder groups. For example existing customers of the acquired firm are crucial, as are employees / management that the buyer wishes to retain (staff retention consistently shown as a major HR problem with takeovers).
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Examples of stakeholder response
Takeover / merger Stakeholder reaction Kraft / Cadbury Hostile reaction from employees, unions & local community – supported by media - but not enough to persuade Cadbury shareholders from eventually agreeing to the bid. L’Oreal / Body Shop Hostile reaction from pressure groups, media and some customers (raising concerns about L’Oreal record on animal testing); but quickly died down. Dubai Ports World / P&O Negative reaction in the USA to the takeover by a UAE-owned firm that would involve foreign ownership of six ports in America. Coca-Cola / Innocent Widespread customer criticism of Innocent’s decision to sell a stake in their ethically-friendly business to Coca-Cola (who later took control) Fenway Sports Group & Liverpool FC Broad agreement from Liverpool FC supporters who welcomed the takeover from the previous owners (compare & contrast with continued hostility to US ownership of MUFC
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Opportunities for promotion Investment by the buyer
Why employees of the target business might welcome or support a takeover... Opportunities for promotion Investment by the buyer A change of culture A fresh start (particularly with a merger) Business not well run by existing management (i.e. a better future)
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Evaluation opportunities
Which stakeholder groups actually have the power to impact the eventual success or failure of a takeover? Whilst there might be widespread opposition from media & local community – are other stakeholder groups (customers, employees) much more important? Too easy to assume that a takeover will have a negative effect on internal stakeholders like employees. The transaction might actually benefit them in the long-run if their business is stronger as a result.
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AQA A2 Business Studies Unit 4
The reasons why governments might support or intervene in takeovers and mergers
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Key definitions Competition policy: Government policies to prevent and reduce the abuse of monopoly power Enterprise Act 2002: major reform of the control of mergers and takeovers in the UK, removing the decision-making powers of government, other than exceptional cases, and passing responsibility to Office of Fair Trading and the Competition Commission. Monopoly: where a firm has a dominant position in an industry or market – e.g. is able to control supply and pricing
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Key theory & concepts Abuse of monopoly power: Abuse of monopoly power can lead to market failure and be against the public interest. Therefore Governments are concerned to intervene and protect the interests of the consumers Cadbury’s Law: a suggested change to UK legislation to make it harder for UK firms to accept takeovers (60% vote rather than 50% & only long-term shareholders may vote); not yet implemented. Laissez-faire: an approach to market regulation which largely leaves the market to look after itself
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Reasons for government intervention or support
Where a takeover / merger might be considered likely to result in one firm having undue market power (typically market share of 40% or more) Specific situations in which the public interest might be threatened: e.g. Competition Act 2002 allows the Secretary of State to intervene in the media market to ensure there is a sufficient plurality of persons with control of media enterprises. To support (or waive through) a takeover that might be in public interest – e.g. partial nationalisation (Lloyds HBOS)
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UK Competition Policy Competition Commission Office of Fair Trading
an independent public body which conducts in-depth inquiries into mergers, markets and the regulation of the major regulated industries Office of Fair Trading Wide-ranging activities, including mergers The OFT is responsible for reviewing merger situations, and where they may lead to a lessening of competition, refers them to the Competition Commission for further investigation.
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Examples of UK Govt Intervention
Takeover / merger Government / regulator response Kraft / Cadbury No specific response – other than raising possibility of Cadbury’s Law News Corp / Sky TV Important case – UK Govt pressurised to refer the takeover bid to the Competition Commission as a result of phone-hacking scandal & concerns over media plurality; eventually News Corp withdrew bid as scale of public opposition became clear Lloyds TSB / HBOS Government decided not to refer the Lloyds emergency rescue of HBOS (despite obvious concerns over potential market dominance) because of the need to protect the viability of the UK banking system Ferrovial / BAA Competition Commission ruled that BAA had to sell Gatwick, Stansted and a Scottish airport as a condition of is takeover by Ferrovial – in the interests of passengers
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European Union Competition Policy
Main criteria used for evaluating a takeover / merger: The market position of the merged firm (market share and other competitive advantages) Strength of the remaining competitors Customers’ buying power Potential competition from new entrants
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UK regulation – arguments for a “light touch”
Encourages inward investment to help develop successful UK firms (e.g. HP & Autonomy; Tata and JLR) UK firms have shareholders from around the world Not the business of government to decide who owns a business (laissez-faire)
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UK regulation – arguments against a “light touch”
Some firms are strategic assets for the UK economy (energy, transport, utilities) - they need to be protected Increased risk that UK jobs will be lost Resist takeovers by short-termist investors who don’t have the long-term interests of the business at heart
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Depends on factors How significant is the takeover or merger in terms of size or potential impact? Does the takeover or merger take place in a market in which the government wants to exert greater control / regulation? E.g. financial services, media or of national interest? The geographical reach of the businesses involved: e.g. determines whether competition regulation in the US and Europe applies.
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Evaluation opportunities
UK competition policy – often described as having a “light touch” towards regulation. Consensus is that it is relatively easy for firms to be bought and sold in the UK. A key benefit of relatively relaxed laws about takeovers and mergers is that inward investment in UK firms is encouraged. Counter-argument: light-touch regulation leaves UK firms exposed to hostile takeovers that are not in the long-term interests of the UK and its economy.
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Key case studies – News Corp & Sky (2011)
Sky News – important UK broadcaster, owned by BSkyB News Corp has a 39.1% stake in BSkyB – wanted to complete a takeover Govt initially prepared to allow the transaction to proceed Widespread concerns over media plurality & News Corp ethics (phone hacking) led to eventual withdrawal of the bid No formal involvement of the competition regulators
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Key case studies – Lloyds TSB & Abbey National (2001)
Lloyds TSB made a £18bn bid for Abbey National in 2001 Govt Minister (Patricia Hewitt) blocked the deal saying it was "against the public interest" Competition Commission had recommended the deal be blocked after a 4 month investigation They believed the deal would reduce competition in the current account market, in which the combined Lloyds/Abbey group would have a 27% share. In 2004 Abbey was sold to Santander for £8bn
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Key case studies – Merger of Ryanair and Aer Lingus (2010)
Ryanair launched a £1,5bn hostile bid for Aer Lingus after building a stake after it was privatised in 2006 2007: European Commission declared takeover was incompatible with EU competition rules EU reason; two airlines controlled more than 80% of all European flights to and from Dublin airport European Court of Justice finally blocked the takeover in 2010 but allowed Ryanair to keep its 29.9% stake The Irish Govt retains a 25% stake in Aer Lingus
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Key case studies – Takeover of HP by Heinz (2006)
In 2006 US conglomerate Heinz announced the takeover of UK sauce producer HP for £470m Together, the two brands would have over 80% of the branded sauce and ketchup market The Competition Commission reviewed the deal, fearing higher prices for brown sauce and tomato ketchup. Shortly after the deal was cleared to proceed In 2007 Heinz closed the HP factory in Birmingham, moving production to Holland with the loss of 125 jobs
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