1. POPULATION MOMENTUM

2. 1.What is FERTILITY RATE? 2.What is REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.WHAT IS CRUDE BIRTH RATE? 4.WHAT IS LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH?

3. ANSWER: 1) Average number of births per 1000 women of childbearing age (15-49, as defined by the WHO). 2) Number of child per women needed for the current population to be maintained 3) Number of births per 1000 people in a population. 4) How many years, in average, people live in a determined country.

4. Fertility Rates Are Declining All Over The World http://chartsbin.com/view/3646 http://chartsbin.com/view/exu

5. AIMS: To calculate Population Momentum and consider its impacts.

6. Population Momentum and World Population Growth As we have seen, global fertility is declining. HOWEVER, before the rate of natural increase declines, there is a lag period. This is because children and youths who have already been born have not yet met their childbearing years. The population has momentum to keep growing. POPULATION MOMENTUM is when popn continues to grow even after the replacement level of fertility has been met. High percentage of popn at or before childbearing age.

7. Population Momentum Factor (PMF)

8. PMF There is positive momentum in the population which will lead to further growth. Natural increase is not contributing to population growth. There is negative momentum, with a high probability that the population will decline in size.

9. Albania131313 Algeria242525 American SamoaAndorra1010 Angola474646 Antigua and Barbuda171717 Argentina171717 Armenia141414 Aruba111111 Australia131313 Austria999 Azerbaijan171919 Brazil161615 Brunei Darussalam171716 Bulgaria111010 Burkina Faso434342 Burundi454545 Cambodia262626 Cameroon393938 Canada111111 Cape Verde212121 Costa Rica161616 Cote d'Ivoire363737 Micronesia, Fed. Sts.242424 Moldova121212 Saudi Arabia212120 Senegal393938 Serbia1099 Seychelles181717 Sierra Leone393838 Singapore10910 CRUDE BIRTH RATE BY SELECTED COUNTRIES, DATA FROM WORLD BANK, 2013

10. 1Monaco89.63 2Macau84.46 3Japan84.19 4Singapore84.07 5San Marino83.12 6Andorra82.58 7Guernsey82.32 8Switzerland82.28 9Hong Kong82.20 10Australia81.98 80Slovakia76.24 81Croatia76.20 82Algeria76.18 83Sri Lanka76.15 84Ecuador76.15 85Aruba76.14 86Bosnia and Herzegovina76.12 87Antigua and Barbuda75.91 88Libya75.83 89Lithuania75.77 90Tonga75.60 100China74.99 101Mauritius74.94 102Maldives74.92 103Serbia74.79 104Barbados74.75 105Oman74.72 127Brazil73.02 128Peru72.98 129Samoa72.94 130Vietnam72.65 LIST OF LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH FOR SELECTED COUNTRIES, CIA DATA, 2013

12. Accounting for PMF NIGERIA 0.043 X 47 = 2.021 This is fairly typical for African nations (short life expectancies but continued growth because of high fertility). VIETNAM 0.017 X 73 = 1.241 Vietnam has seen rapid economic development since 1990. Large decline in popn fertility (popn continues to grow because of increase in life expectancy- better living standards). JAPAN 0.009 X 82 = 0.738 Declining popn (decreasing BR and increasing LE). Large elderly popn supported through income taxes. Choose 3 countries and calculate their PMF. Try to choose 3 that will contrast nicely.

13. AS WORLD POPULATION GROWTH SLOWS, THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT WORLD POPULATION WILL DECLINE, MERELY THAT IT WILL GROW AT A SLOWING RATE OF INCREASE. Growth is getting smaller, not population size.

14. VIDEOS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTznEIZRkLg http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbkSRLYSojo http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTznEIZRkLg http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbkSRLYSojo

15. WORLD CLOCK http://www.poodwaddle.com/Stats