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Briefing on Comprehensive Value Analysis Framework for Transit Investments HDR|Decision Economics National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board June 6, 2008
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Comprehensive value analysis Recognizes all benefits of transit: Mobility Congestion Management Economic Development
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Mobility Time savings to transit users Cash savings to low income households for allocation to housing, nutrition, child care … Cross-sector benefits: reduced financial burden on social services
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Congestion Management Reduced delay Improved reliability, predictability and productivity Reduced environmental emissions Lower vehicle operating costs Safety (lives, injuries, property)
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Economic Development Location Efficiency High density economic activity (retail, commercial …) Agglomeration economies Less demand for motorized trips Reduced auto-ownership requirements, dependence Higher density life-style Measurement Development benefits manifest and measured as increased economic land value Double Counting? Capitalization of time savings? Only partially
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CASE: Light Rail (Austin, Texas) Category of Benefits Green LineOrange Line Total Benefits (Million U.S. dollars) Congestion Management Mobility Community Economic Development $1,369.9 $ 852.5 $ 224.0 $ 293.5 $233.6 $106.5 $ 32.5 $ 94.6 Transit investment generates value in all three categories
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CASE: Transit v. Highway Investment (Cincinnati, Ohio) Bus Improvement, Region-wide Light Rail Region-wide New Highway Capacity Total Cost$522$6,218$1,209.1 Total Benefits$1,141$10,784$1,365.2 Net Benefits$619$4,566$156.1 Internal Rate of Return 27.1%8.7%4.9% Transit investment can outperform highway alternatives
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CASE: Streetcar Investment (Cincinnati, Ohio) Millions of Constant Dollars (Present Value) Congestion Management $16.4 Mobility $35.2 Economic Development $378.9 Total Costs $115.8 Focus on ridership benefits alone can lead to the mistaken conclusion that a project is not economically worthwhile
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Considerations of Regional Transportation Planners Transit Options Highway Transportation Options
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Conclusions Comprehensive Value Analysis: Is feasible and proven Enables quantitative understanding of significance of transit investment for economic well-being Facilitates understanding of development-based financing capacity of transit investment Allows comparative ROI ranking of alternative transit scenarios for the region Allows comparative ROI ranking of alternative transportation scenarios to find the best-value
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