1. 1 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends and Findings November 18, 2005 Presented by Dan Nataf, Ph.D Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College 101 College Parkway Arnold, MD 21012 (410) 777-2733 (410) 777-4733 fax ddnataf@aacc.edu www2.aacc.edu/csli

2. 2 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends and Findings The Center for the Study of Local Issues CSLI conducts public interest surveys each semester (since 1978) Respondents randomly chosen from universe of listed telephone numbers combined with computer generated numbers Typical sample size: 300-525 respondents; students used as interviewers Each survey includes demographic and attitude/behavior questions Surveys themes include: –Growth/Development –Transportation –Economic conditions –Education –Tax and spending preferences –Policy preferences Visit CSLI’s web site for previous surveys (www2.aacc.edu/csli)

3. 3 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends and Findings The Center for the Study of Local Issues: Web Site - Homepage

4. 4 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends and Findings The Center for the Study of Local Issues: Web Site - Search page

5. 5 Two Questions about Challenges for the next Decade –Main Economic Challenge –Main Environmental Challenge Are local authorities up to the challenges? Is the public confident in the ability of local authorities to respond to a disaster…? Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends Focus on the Future: Main Challenges

6. 6 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Main Economic Challenge for the Next Decade Managing growth/development27% Providing affordable housing17 Providing proper skills/education for workers 11 Providing enough jobs8 Infrastructure, roads3 Other25 No answer8

7. 7 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Main Environmental Challenge for the Next Decade Water pollution in Bay and streams57% Air pollution8 Maintaining open/green areas8 Enforcing environmental laws4 Other (mostly managing growth)14 No answer9

8. 8 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Confidence in/perceived preparedness of local authorities – meet challenges or terrorist strike/natural disaster Preparedness/ Confidence Econ.Environ.TerrorDisaster Very8711 Somewhat45384249 Not very41504436 No answer7634

9. 9 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends How Prepared are Local Authorities in Event of Terrorist Strike - Trend

10. 10 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends Most Important Issues Facing AA County Residents – 1995-2005 - Trends for Major Issues Growth Rises in Importance, Crime Drops

11. 11 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends Most Important Issues – Economy, Environment NOT among Top Issues

12. 12 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends Perception of Issues in 2010 Negative expectations for all major issues (except economy)

13. 13 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends Economic Conditions in the County Spring 2002-Fall 2005 AA County economy outperforms nation

14. 14 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Trends County’s Direction: Right or Wrong? Positive feelings affected by perceptions of the economy

15. 15 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Gas Prices: How has Public Accommodated Higher Cost? Downsizing, Changing Habits Possible effectsAffectedNot affected No answer Decreased your amount of driving50 1 Made you reduce entertainment spending45541 Made you consider buying a more fuel efficient car42572 Made you use a more fuel efficient vehicle than the one you would normally 38593 Increased your use of bicycles or walking23743 Made you change your vacation plans last summer22771 Increased your use of car-pools21763 Increased your use of public transportation11863 Made you consider moving closer to your work11854

16. 16 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Gas Prices: How does Public Perceive Causes? Producers’ Profits and Wrong Policies to Blame FactorVery important Somewhat important Not very important No Ans High profits by oil companies6819121 High profits by oil exporting countries6024133 Increased global demand for oil5325192 The lack of policies encouraging the use of renewable energy and fuel efficient cars 5128184 Damage to oil production facilities in areas along the Gulf coast 4730195 Excessive regulation preventing drilling or refining within the United States 3925297

17. 17 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Gas Prices: How does Public Perceive Solutions? Renewal Energy, Hybrids and Transit Expansion Preferred PolicySupportOpposeNA Tax incentives for the use of wind or solar power78166 Tax incentives for the purchase of hybrid/highly fuel efficient vehicles 74233 Increasing bus and light rail service, even if it requires more subsidies from state government 70264 Making it easier to develop nuclear power plants with the state of Maryland 434710 Higher taxes on gasoline to encourage use of more fuel efficient vehicles 20764

18. 18 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Support for Various State and Local Policies Yes to Another Bridge, Pollution Fee and Stem Cell Research PolicySupportOpposeNo answer An annual $60 fee dedicated only to correcting the impacts of storm water erosion and pollution in county streams and rivers 56386 Putting a large horse training and show facility in the Gambrills/Crownsville area 444313 Building a third bridge span across the Chesapeake Bay 63315 Lengthening the school day in county schools, at a cost of about $30 million 296011 State funding for embryonic stem cell research58348

19. 19 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings President Bush’s Job Approval Slight Plurality Disapproves Do you approve of the job George W. Bush is doing as President? Approve 45% Disapprove 48% Unsure 7% Gallup (11-15-05) Approve 37% Disapprove 60% Unsure 3% Those with ‘friend or family member currently serving in the military in Iraq or Afghanistan’ (39% of sample): Approve 48% Disapprove 45% Unsure 6% Without: Approve 42% Disapprove 51% Unsure 6%

20. 20 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings President Bush’s Job Approval Partisanship Rules! Do you approve of the job George W. Bush is doing as President? Approve : Democrats 20% Republicans 77% Independents: 40%

21. 21 Public Opinion, Terrorism, Confidence - National Bush Handling of Terrorism ONLY

22. 22 Public Opinion, Terrorism, Confidence - National Bush - % approving handling of war in Iraq

23. 23 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings President Bush’s Job Approval Best Policies by Party Registration

24. 24 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings President Bush’s Job Approval Worst Policies by Party Registration

25. 25 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Ideology

26. 26 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Age

27. 27 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Education

28. 28 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Income

29. 29 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Race

30. 30 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Religion

31. 31 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Gender

32. 32 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Democratss vs. Independents and Unregistered Dem Base: 37%Indep. 11%Unregistered 12% Ideology Liberals, ModsModsMods. Age Middle age, retiredMiddle age, few retiredYounger, middle age, few retired Education Somewhat educatedHighly educatedNot highly educated Income Lower incomesMiddle incomesHigher middle incomes Employment Full-time in private, retiredFull-time private & public Full-time private Race African-Americans and Caucasians Caucasian onlyCaucasian, Latino, Asian Religion Non-Evangelical Christians, non-practicing All Christians, non- practicing Marital Married, single, widowedMarried, some single Gender 69% female68% male55% male

33. 33 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Issue Cluster Lifestyle Abortion - prochoice Gay marriage -favors Quality of life Environment - favor over growth Education Economic Policy Higher taxes Anti-corporate Pro-union Anti-free trade Foreign policy/homeland security Pro-UN Anti-Iraq war Anti-Patriot Act Safety Net Social Security - protect Health care for all Attitudes toward minorities Affirmative action Pro-immigrant Candidate Profile – importance of personal characteristics (NOT issue related)

34. 34 Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County: Recent Findings Party by Issue Cluster