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Construction Materials Industry Conference Delivering Australia’s Pipeline Jennifer Westacott 20 September 2012 1
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Overview of presentation Key growth challenge – pipeline or pipe dream? Australia’s investment opportunity Australia’s project performance Challenges and solutions COAG and BCA reviews 2
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Australia’s Investment Opportunity 3
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The project pipeline 4 Source: Deloitte Access Economics. Australia’s $921b Investment pipeline – projects by status Under Committed, $66 Under consideration $192b Possible $279b Under construction $384b Committed $66b
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Pipeline facts 5 Projects unprecedented in size Projects unprecedented in number Remoteness Narrow sector base
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This matters 6 Source: Deloitte Access Economics using real investment and GDP data. Investment and exports as a percentage of GDP, Australia 10 15 20 25 30 35 10 15 20 25 30 35 1991-921996-972001-022006-072011-122016-172021-22 Investment (total) Exports Per cent of GDP Projections
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Risks to delivery 7 Pipeline delivery risks Revenue risk Cost and time blowouts Missed opportunities due to project deferral or abandonment
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Australia’s Project Performance 8
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Critical question How well do we deliver projects? 9
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Data on project performance 10 Note: cost premium is calculated in US dollars Source: Resources projects data by Independent Project Analysis; other data from Turner & Townsend, International Construction Costs Survey 2012. Note: Turner & Townsend sourced costs are US dollar relativities per m 2. 40% 26% 43% 62% 90% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Resources projects SchoolsLarge shopping centres HospitalsAirports Cost premium
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How do we perform? Project performance Lack of robust data for infrastructure projects Need to understand cost drivers Better measurement can help lift performance Warnings in global project data 11
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Challenges and Solutions 12
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Barriers to project delivery 13 Community concerns Capacity constraints Efficiency problems Timely funding and delivery of public infrastructure Investor confidence
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Solutions 14 1.Build higher levels of community understanding and acceptance for projects 2.Expand Australia’s capacity to deliver multiple capital projects
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Solutions 15 3.Improve the efficiency of project delivery in Australia 4.Adequate provision of economic and social infrastructure
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Solutions 16 5.Build the confidence of investors 6.Supportive government institutions, policies and programs
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BCA and COAG reviews 17
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BCA/COAG reviews 18 What’s next COAG review of construction costs BCA review of project costs
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The four steps to recovery Commonwealth to amend EPBC Act – give states authority to assess/approve projects State governments to fast-track major development approvals Amend Fair Work Act – include employer-only agreements on greenfield projects so work can start sooner Cease tinkering with the tax system 19
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