1. Unit 1 OUTCOMES AND LIKELIHOODS

2. Unit Essential Question: How do you determine, interpret, and apply principles of probability?

3. Standard(s): M8D2. Students will determine the number of outcomes related to a given event. a. Use tree diagrams to find the number of outcomes. b. Apply the addition and multiplication principles of counting.

4. Standard(s): M8D3. Students will use the basic laws of probability. a. Find the probability of simple independent events. b. Find the probability of compound independent events.

5. Concept 1: Simple Events

6. Lesson Essential Questions: How do I determine a sample space?

7. Vocabulary 1: Outcome Sample Space Random Simple Event Probability Compound Events

8. Concept 2: Counting Outcomes

9. Lesson Essential Questions: How can a tree diagram help me to find the number of possible outcomes related to a given event?

10. Vocabulary 2: Tree Diagram Fundamental Counting Principle

11. Concept 3: Compound Events

12. Lesson Essential Questions: When does the probability of one event affect another and when doesn’t it?

13. Vocabulary 3: Independent Events Dependent Events

14. Concept 4: Experimental Probability

15. Lesson Essential Questions: What is the difference between experimental probability and theoretical probability, and can they ever be the same?

16. Vocabulary 4: Experimental Probability Theoretical Probability