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Published byHerbert Snow Modified over 9 years ago
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Firm Valuation Lecture 7
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Trading and Operating Comparables Aggregate Value Market Value Revenue EBITDA EBIT Net Income Total Debt Book Value/Share EPS LTM Revenue, Net Income, EBITDA growth rates P/E TSR
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Profile of Home Depot & Lowe’s HD Lowe’s Market Cap$78.6B$46.6B Enterprise Value 84.7B 49.1B 1 yr TSR (9.5)% 4.3% 3 yr TSR 8.4% (6.3)% 2007 AV/EBITDA 7.0X 7.0X 2007E P/E Ratio 11.9 13.9 2008E P/E Ratio 10.7 12.2 Credit Rating Aa3/AA A1/A+
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ROIC and P/E Multiples
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Aggregate Value Analysis Purchase price per share $12 %Premium to Current price 20% Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding 100M Implied Equity Value $1.2B Plus Net Debt 0.4B Implied Aggregate Value $1.6B Current EBITDA $150M Implied AV/EBITDA 10.6X
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Financial Outlook Analysis
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Characteristics of Top Performing Firms Capital Efficiency Working Capital Efficiency Increasing Return on Invested Capital Rising Incremental Relative P/E values Bottomline Limited Capital Requirements and High NOPAT margins generate strong ROIC
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Sale Process Alternatives One Party- Negotiated Sale Contact One Party Controlled Limited Auction Open Broad Auction Publicly Announce Pursuing Strategic Alternatives
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Factors in the Decision Shareholder Marketing Senior Management Employees Contract Community
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Factors in the Decision Marketing –Confidentiality –Number of potential Bidders –Timing –Information Flow
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Factors in the Decision Senior Management –Willingness to stay on –Depth of the team –Contracts/Severance –Incentive-Stay Pay Agreements
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Factors in the Decision Employees –Future Opportunity –Benefits –Job Security –Culture
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Factors in the Decision Structure of the Deal –Representations and Warranties –Indemnifications –Closing Conditions
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