1. Investing in Airports in Tough Economic Times Mark Heusinkveld 28 May 2009 Lodz, Republic of Poland European Sky over Poland Ministry of Infrastructure Association of Engineers and Technicians of Transport

2. Strategic Feasibility Studies Master Plans Airspace & Airfield Modeling Forecasting and Facility Requirements Operations Plans & Financial Feasibility Noise & Environmental Analysis AirsidePlanning Landrum & Brown Services

3. AirsidePlanning Cargo & Logistics Planning Forecasting Facility Layout Operations/Financing Plans Marketing and Development Strategic Feasibility Studies Master Plans Airspace & Airfield Modeling Forecasting and Facility Requirements Operations Plans & Financial Feasibility Noise & Environmental Analysis Landrum & Brown Services

4. Cargo & Logistics Planning Forecasting Facility Layout Operations Plans Marketing and Development Terminal/LandsidePlanningTerminal/LandsidePlanning Programming, Schematic Design, Modeling, 3D, Gate Management AirsidePlanning Strategic Feasibility Studies Master Plans Airspace & Airfield Modeling Forecasting and Facility Requirements Operations Plans & Financial Feasibility Noise & Environmental Analysis Landrum & Brown Services

5. Global Aviation Experience

6. North American ACI Air Traffic Statistics by Regions Latin America Caribbean Europe Africa Middle East Asia/Pacific PsgCgoMov PsgCgoMov PsgCgoMov PsgCgoMov PsgCgoMov Psg Cgo Mov Psg: total passengers (millions) Cgo: total cargo (metric tonnes 000s) Mov: total movements (000s) World Map of Air Traffic Change 2007 ~ 2008 Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008

7. Cuban Missile Crisis Hijackings R Fuel Shock R PATCO Strike RR Pan Am 103 Persian Gulf War R WTC 1993 9-11 R Iraq War Fuel Shock R Credit Crisis Aviation System Shocks and Recoveries 1960-2006 – U.S. Market Source: Jan 2009 update Tragedy Analysis (Landrum & Brown Analysis)

8. Worldwide Passenger Traffic History

9. World Airline Traffic Forecasting: Number of Passengers 1945 ~ 2030 45’~54’ 23.2% Growth Rates 55’~64’ 9.6% 65’~74’ 12.6% 75’~84’ 5.3% 85’~94’ 3.6% 95’~04’ 4.2% Forecasted Growth Rate: Boeing = 4.26% Airbus= 4.30% Source: Airport Transport Association (http://www.air-transport.org/); Boeing transformation of air transport summary outlook 2008; Airbus Global Market Forecasting 2007http://www.air-transport.org/

10. 2007-2015: 12 New Airports at U.S.$15.2 Billion New Airports 12 $ 15,282 Mn Source:090429mpk_ProjectPotentials.xls (L&B copyright‎ )

11. New Airports 12 $ 15,282 Mn New Terminal 22 $ 18,814 Mn Source:090429mpk_ProjectPotentials.xls (L&B copyright‎ ) 2007-2015: 22 New Terminals at U.S.$18.8 Billion

12. New Airports 12 $ 15,282 Mn New Terminal 22 $ 18,814 Mn Other Exps. 31 $ 36,048 Mn Source:090429mpk_ProjectPotentials.xls (L&B copyright‎ ) 2007-2015: 31 Expansion Projects at U.S.$36.0 Billion

13. Planning Strategies  Understand the Market  Focus on the Forecast  Plan for Flexibility  Anticipate Change  Ensure Balanced Facilities  Explore all Revenue Opportunities  Build for What is Foreseen  Continually Improve Performance

14. 70 MAP 100 MAP130 MAP 160 MAP Use of Planning Demand Levels 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 Passengers (millions) HistoryLow CaseBase CaseHigh CaseEK Forecast 70 MAP100 MAP130 MAP160 MAP

15. The Effect of a Changing Fleet…

16. Aircraft by ICAO Design Code 70 MAP 160 MAP ICAO Design Code B: ERJ170, E145 … ICAO Design Code C: B737, A320 … ICAO Design Code D: A300, B757, B767 … ICAO Design Code F: A380, An225 … ICAO Design Code E: A340, A330, B747, B777 …

17. Understand the demand profile… Transfer Passengers Transfer Passengers O&D Passengers O&D Passenger s

18. Ensure Balance of Airspace with Airside, Terminal and Landside Guangzhou Shenzhen Hong Kong Macau Zhuhai  5 Airports  3 Jurisdictions  Restricted Airspace

19. Anticipating Change Since 1959 1959 19621968 19711996 Future 1946

20. Explore Future Development Options

21. Hong Kong – Airport City Concept New T2 Terminal New Bus Depot Convention Center Potential Office Development Future Development Ferry Terminal Hotel

22. Mumbai – Redevelopment on Site

23. Explore the Potential…

24. Develop a Vision… And build what can be justified Maglev - Metro Subway - High Speed Rail - City Buses – Commercial Development – Retail – Residential - Logistics

25. شـــكراً ! Thank You! Dziękuję! Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008

26. Total Passengers by Region 2007~2008 Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008

27. Total Cargo by Region 2007~2008 Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008

28. Total Movements by Region 2007~2008 Source: Airport Council International Worldwide Airports Traffic Statistics Report -Dec. 2008