1. FLORIDA 2060 A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida

2. Thank you to the sponsors: The St. Joe Company, A. Duda & Sons, The Nature Conservancy, and Robert L. Parks, WilsonMiller, Fishkind & Associates, & Glatting Jackson.

3. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Florida 2060 Trend analysis of urban development Results of incremental decisions Question of legacy leadership Prepared by GeoPlan Center of UF and CQG&RD at Georgia Tech

4. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Assumptions 1. Moderate Population Growth (BEBR trend line) 2. New population consumes land at same density as existing development, by County 3. New population distributed geographically based on land suitability (existing urban, roadways, water, coastline, wetlands)

5. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida 20602005 17.9 Million 35.8 Million Population Forecast

6. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Existing Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

7. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

8. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida 20602005 Agriculture, Other Undeveloped Lands 19.5 Urban Development 6.0 Urban Development 13.0 Water 2.0 Permanently Protected Conservation 10.8 Agriculture, Other Undeveloped Lands 12.5 Statewide Land Use Allocation (millions of acres) Total: 38.3 Million Acres

9. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Native Habitat 2.7 Million Agriculture 2.7 Million Other 1.5 Million Additional Land Converted to Urban Development 2005-2060 Total: 7 Million Acres

10. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida New Conservation Lands Targeted For Purchase Statewide Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected Lands Targeted for Purchase

11. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected Existing 2060

12. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected 20052060

13. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Time for Leadership Expand Florida Forever Adopt New Policy on Converting Rural Land to Urban Use Create 100 Year Legacy Plan Statewide Policy Implications

14. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Statewide Policy Implications Expand Florida Forever Reauthorize Higher Funding Level Expand to Open Space, Agricultural Lands Create Permanent Edges to Urban Communities

15. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Adopt New Policy on Converting Rural to Urban Statewide Policy Implications Not Just Discourage Urban Sprawl Add Density in Fair Trade for Significant Open Space, Natural and Agricultural Lands. Regional Vision Plans Land Use, Environment, and Transportation Master Plan “Communities of Place”

16. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Statewide Policy Implications 100 Year Legacy Plan Protect Existing Property Rights Preserve Community Character Target Lands for Permanent Protection Create “Livable Communities” Within Urban Areas - Redevelopment At Urban Edges In Potential New Towns Guide State Budget, Investments

17. FLORIDA 2060 A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida

18. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

19. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

20. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

21. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

22. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

23. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

24. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

25. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands Developed Land Conservation Lands Permanently Protected

26. Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida Reserve Network for Florida Core Preserves Buffer Zones and Corridors Source: Noss & Cooperrider 1994