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Fama & Freedom 3½ Factor Model Scott Gavlick Todd Hoskin Edward Kim.

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Presentation on theme: "Fama & Freedom 3½ Factor Model Scott Gavlick Todd Hoskin Edward Kim."— Presentation transcript:

1 Fama & Freedom 3½ Factor Model Scott Gavlick Todd Hoskin Edward Kim

2 Page 1 Small-Value Portfolio Strategy Screening  US Securities  Common Stock  Excluding American Depository Receipts (ADR’s)  Questionable Returns  Small Capitalization  Less Coverage/Public Information  Less Market Efficiency  Higher Growth Potential

3 Page 2 Approach Equally-Weighted Investments Monthly Rebalancing Assumes NO Transaction Costs Benchmark is the S&P500

4 Page 3 Factors Value Factors  Operating Income / Enterprise Value  Operating Income / Net Assets Technical Factors  Momentum – 1-year return, lagged 1 month  Volume Moving Average – difference between the daily average over the last 5 days and the daily average over the past year, scaled by the latter

5 Page 4 Factor Assessment

6 Page 5 Factor Assessment

7 Page 6 Factor Assessment

8 Page 7 Scoring Based upon subjective review of Heat Map output.

9 Page 8 3 ½ Factor Portfolio Heat Map Results

10 Page 9 Investment Strategy – 1986 to 2005

11 Page 10 Investment Strategy – Shorter Timeframes

12 Page 11 One-Factor Tier 5 Portfolio Returns

13 Page 12 One-Factor Tier 5 Portfolio Returns VolumeMomentum Operating Income to Net AssetsOperating Income to Enterprise Value FAF 3½ Factor Model

14 Page 13 Conclusions Go Long  Long Strategy Produces the Best Results  Even When Not the Best Returning Tier, Still Returns Positive Results Model Weaknesses  Fails to Forecast Periods of Large Gains in the Short Tier (especially 1999 & 2003)  Given Monthly Rebalancing Transaction Costs will be Significant Further Study  Benchmark Against Small Stock Returns vs. S&P500


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