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Published byClaire Fitzgerald Modified over 9 years ago
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Fama & Freedom 3½ Factor Model Scott Gavlick Todd Hoskin Edward Kim
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Page 1 Small-Value Portfolio Strategy Screening US Securities Common Stock Excluding American Depository Receipts (ADR’s) Questionable Returns Small Capitalization Less Coverage/Public Information Less Market Efficiency Higher Growth Potential
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Page 2 Approach Equally-Weighted Investments Monthly Rebalancing Assumes NO Transaction Costs Benchmark is the S&P500
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Page 3 Factors Value Factors Operating Income / Enterprise Value Operating Income / Net Assets Technical Factors Momentum – 1-year return, lagged 1 month Volume Moving Average – difference between the daily average over the last 5 days and the daily average over the past year, scaled by the latter
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Page 4 Factor Assessment
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Page 5 Factor Assessment
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Page 6 Factor Assessment
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Page 7 Scoring Based upon subjective review of Heat Map output.
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Page 8 3 ½ Factor Portfolio Heat Map Results
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Page 9 Investment Strategy – 1986 to 2005
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Page 10 Investment Strategy – Shorter Timeframes
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Page 11 One-Factor Tier 5 Portfolio Returns
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Page 12 One-Factor Tier 5 Portfolio Returns VolumeMomentum Operating Income to Net AssetsOperating Income to Enterprise Value FAF 3½ Factor Model
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Page 13 Conclusions Go Long Long Strategy Produces the Best Results Even When Not the Best Returning Tier, Still Returns Positive Results Model Weaknesses Fails to Forecast Periods of Large Gains in the Short Tier (especially 1999 & 2003) Given Monthly Rebalancing Transaction Costs will be Significant Further Study Benchmark Against Small Stock Returns vs. S&P500
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