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Global Megacycles and Trends: Setting the Agenda for 21 st Century Science Emerging Issues: Berrien Moore III University of New Hampshire New Challenges.

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Presentation on theme: "Global Megacycles and Trends: Setting the Agenda for 21 st Century Science Emerging Issues: Berrien Moore III University of New Hampshire New Challenges."— Presentation transcript:

1 Global Megacycles and Trends: Setting the Agenda for 21 st Century Science Emerging Issues: Berrien Moore III University of New Hampshire New Challenges for Understanding our Changing Planet

2 Source: C.D. Keeling and T.P. Whorf Mauna Loa Monthly Carbon Dioxide Record: Keeling Record 1958 - 2000 19931999 Year Carbon Dioxide (ppmv) Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

3 Ice core Historical Atmospheric Carbon Concentration for the Last 1000 Years Extracted from the Law Dome Ice Core Source: Etheridge, et.al., Petit, et.al. 360 350 340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 Carbon Concnetration (ppmv) 10001100120013001400150016001700180019002000 Year Polynomial fit Atmospheric Measurements Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

4 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 0100,000200,000300,000400,000 Years Before Present Temperature Variation (°C) Source: Petit, et.al. (PAGES / IGBP) Variation with Time of the Vostok Isotope Temperature Record Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

5 CO 2 Concentration in the Vostok Ice Core Source: Barnola, et.al. (PAGES / IGBP) CO 2 Concentration (ppmv) Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

6 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 0100,000200,000300,000400,000 Years Before Present Temperature Variation (°C) 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 Source: Barnola, et.al.; Petit et.al. (PAGES / IGBP) Vostok Ice Core CO 2 Concentration and Temperature Variation Record CO 2 Concentration (ppmv) Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

7 Source: C. D. Keeling and T. P. Whorf; Etheridge et.al.; Barnola et.al.; (PAGES / IGBP); IPCC CO 2 Concentration in Ice Cores and Atmospheric CO 2 Projection for Next 100 Years (BP 1950) Projected (2100) Current (2001) CO 2 Concentration (ppmv) Vostok Record Law Dome Record Mauna Loa Record IPCC IS92a Scenario Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

8 Principal Global Fossil Fuel CO 2 Emissions Source: Marland, et.al. Year Total Gas Liquids Solids 175018001850190019502000 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Fossil Fuel Emissions ( Gt. C/yr.) Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

9 Source: Marland, et.al. Per Capita Emission Estimates Metric Tons of Carbon Emitted per Person per Year United States Germany (unified) Global Average Peoples Rep. China India Year 195020001960197019801990 3 2 1 0 4 5 6 7 Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

10 Source: WHIGCC, 2000 Emissions are likely to increase and become more globally distributed. Pressure Changing Composition Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

11 Source: IPCC, 2001 Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications Global C Budget (PgC/y) 1980s1990s Atm. Increase3.3+/-0.13.2+/-0.1 Emissions5.4+/-0.36.3+/-0.4 Ocean-Atm. Flux-1.9+/-0.6-1.7+/-0.5 Land-Atm. Flux*-0.2+/-0.7-1.4+/-0.7 *partitioned as follows Land Use1.7(0.6-2.5)NA Residual Terrestrial Sink -1.9(-3.8-0.3)NA

12 Global Carbon Sources and Sinks Source: GCTE / IGBP Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

13 Gt. C per year SOI Source: R. Francey (CSIRO) 1955196019651970197519851980199019952000 8 6 4 2 30 0 -30 CO 2 Annual Growth Rate Year Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

14 Source: C. D. Keeling and T. P. Whorf; Etheridge et.al.; Barnola et.al.; (PAGES / IGBP); IPCC CO 2 Concentration in Ice Cores and Atmospheric CO 2 Projection for Next 100 Years (BP 1950) Projected (2100) Current (2001) CO 2 Concentration (ppmv) Vostok Record Law Dome Record Mauna Loa Record IPCC IS92a Scenario Setting the Agenda for 21 st Century Science: Global Megacycles and Trends Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

15 Greenhouse Gas Effect Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

16 IPCC Cover Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

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18 Global Carbon Sources and Sinks Source: GCTE / IGBP Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

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20 0.225 0.200 0.175 0.150 0.125 0.100 0.075 0.050 0.018 0.016 0.014 0.012 0.010 0.008 0.006 0.004 Surface Flux Uncertainties GtC/Mo Using Simulated Satellite Data Surface Flux Uncertainties GtC/Mo Using Current Observational Network

21 Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

22 Geometry of the WeatherSat Measurement Scheme

23 Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications RADIOSONDE (blue) and SPACE LIDAR (green)

24 Preparing Students for Careers in Remote Sensing Applications

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27 WeatherSat Global Wind Coverage 10 M/S

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