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Meeting Agenda Announcements Portfolio Update Market Update Lecture: Pitch Terminology Pitch: ACC Important Dates
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Announcements
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Free Wall Street Journal digital access for paid members Contact treasurer@usiteam.org to receive login information treasurer@usiteam.org
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Announcements Build and manage your own virtual portfolio Compete with other McCombs students Top three winners receive prizes in January Register at usiteam.org/events Fall Portfolio Challenge $5$5 entry fee
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First USIT Social Ultimate Frisbee When: Tonight, 8:30 pm Where: South Mall Cost: Free!
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Announcements The Suggestion Box
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Announcements Workshops Every Thursday 7-8PM SAC2.120 Topic this week: Cash Flow Modeling
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Portfolio Update
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Market Update
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Twitter-Based WMD’s
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Market Update Why would TV providers be willing to allow a direct competitor steal away face- time for the commercials they sell?
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Market Update
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Pitch Terminology Competitive Advantage
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What gives the company an sustainable edge over its competitors? Cost Advantages Differentiation Advantages
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Cost Advantages What creates a cost advantage? Superior Technology/Process (Toyota & Dell) Economies of Scale (Walmart)
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Differentiation Advantage What creates a differentiation advantage? Entirely Unique Product Similar Product with Key Differentiation (Apple)
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Competitive Advantage Not all competitive advantages fall into one of the two categories: ReputationStrategic Assets Barriers to EntryFlexibility Brand Popularity Switching Costs
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Competitive Advantage How does this relate to pitches? Good Investment = Quality Company + Good Price Quality Company = Survival Potential + Outperformance
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Competitive Advantage Can you invest in companies without a competitive advantage? Good Investment = Quality Company + Good Price Not every investment is built upon a “company will outperform” thesis and focus more on price.
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University Securities Investment Team Manideep Ravi Tyler Menk Ann Cai Zach Sunderland October 15, 2013 American Campus Communities (NYSE: ACC)
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Strategic Capital Group Company Overview Largest student housing company 1 st publicly traded student housing REIT Real Estate Investment Trust Distribute 90% of income as dividends Does not pay corporate income tax $4.2 billion worth of developments Partners with universities to build both on and off campus properties Headquartered in Austin
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Strategic Capital Group Investment Thesis Strong Revenue Growth Highly experienced management Expanding Market
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Strategic Capital Group Industry Overview: Student Housing REIT Competitive Landscape Threat of New Entrants Bargaining Power of Buyers Threat of Substitutes Bargaining Power of Suppliers
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Strategic Capital Group Market Overview Near-campus housing for college students More independence Lower Costs Full kitchen units Increasingly cash-strapped universities contract private developers for housing Students paying for housing with student loans
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Strategic Capital Group Risks & Mitigating Factors Seasonality of leases Competition from on- campus housing Future growth dependent on favorable real estate market Cannibalizat- ion of customers
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Strategic Capital Group Management William C. Bayless Jr., President & CEO Owns 20% of the company Began student housing career in 1984 President of ACC since October 2003 Jonathan A Graf, Executive VP, CFO, Treasurer and Secretary Owns 8% of the company Extensive background in accounting R.D. Burck, Chairman of the Board Former Chancellor of UT Austin Former VP of ESPN
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Strategic Capital Group Competitors CompanyTicker Market Cap Current Stock PriceFFOFFO/Share Total Debt/Equity Equity Value/FFO TEV/NTM EBITDA Education Realty TrustEDR1065.5 9.2840.804.400.71 2.1119.91 Equity ResidentialEQR19357.2 53.72993.2018.491.06 2.9119.22 Campus Crest CommunitiesCCG663.2 10.2825.402.470.66 4.1614.66 Industry Average353.138.450.835 3.0617.87 American Campus CommunitiesACC3673.6 35.06168.404.800.91 7.3017.7
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Strategic Capital Group Valuation Projected (In Millions) 201220132014201520162017 Revenue$491.0$613.8$754.9$921.0$1,123.6$1,348.3 Cost of Sales$237.0$279.7$332.8$399.4$479.2$575.1 Gross Profit$254.0$334.1$422.1$521.6$644.4$773.3 Gross Margin51.7%54.4%55.9%56.6%57.3% SG&A Expenses$23.0$25.72$28.81$32.26$36.14$40.47 Other Income$0.4 $0.5 EBIT$231.4$308.8$393.7$489.8$608.7$733.3 EBIT Margin47.1%50.3%52.2%53.2%54.2%54.4% NOPAT$231.4$308.8$393.7$489.8$608.7$733.3 D&A$115.9$122.8$131.4$140.6$151.9$167.1 CapEx$255.0$280.5$314.2$358.1$408.3$469.5 Change in NWC($0.4)$35.6$15.9$18.6$20.9$22.2 FCF$92.7$115.6$195.1$253.7$331.5$408.6 Present Value of Cash Flows $110.1$176.9$219.2$272.7$320.2 Terminal Value $ 7,232.98 Enterprise Value $ 6,766.31 Assumptions WACC5% Tax Rate0.0% Exit Multiple17.70x Share Price $ 35.20 Calculations Enterprise Value $ 6,766.3 Less Net Debt $ 2,569.9 Equity Value $ 4,196.4 Shares Outstanding104 Value Per Share $ 40.35 Implied Discount14.63%
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Strategic Capital Group Conclusion
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Pitch Team Sign-Ups www.usiteam.org/membership
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