1. Seeing Tomorrow – Companies in the State of Illinois The Impact of Macroeconomic Environment

2. Motivation Weaving on our theme “Seeing Tomorrow” we will focus on macroeconomic environment impacting the companies headquartered in Illinois. Based on long term data, we will forecast: Trend in assets growth (investment behavior) Capital accumulation determines increase in employment of labor “Extrapolating from the experience of the late 1990s, the NAIRU could be lowered by as much as 1 full percentage point by a sustained $250 billion annual increase in infrastructure investment. This could mean that more than 1 million additional workers each year find employment” --Economic Policy Institute

3. Motivation cont’d Trend in Revenue growth Indicator of aggregate demand and consumption level Trend in Profitability (earnings) Living standards of investors Further investment of companies The management efficiency of companies

4. Public Companies: stock market listed corporations COMPUSTATA data up to Feb 2015 Private Companies: Private-held corporations or LLCs or LLPs FACTSET data up to Feb 2015

8. Public Companies – Chicago Headquartered

10. Forecasts 4.18% or $81 Billion

11. Forecasts 2.25%

12. Forecasts 3.30%

13. Revenue of Chicago Public Companies in 2009 Dollars Forecasts 0.53%

14. Retail Transportation Manufacturing Financial

18. Illinois Public Companies

19. Level of Assets of Midwest Public Firms

20. Hot Zone of Revenue Generation

21. Management Efficiency

22. Private-held companies by state in million dollars

23. Concluding Remarks Publicly listed companies: The investment growth (asset growth) is expected to increase but may not beat the speed of GDP increase The revenue growth is also expected to increase in nominal terms but decline if purchasing power is considered The income growth is with more uncertainty, but is also expected to increase on average. Employment is expected to increase. Mainly from the financial sector and manufacturing sector.

24. Concluding Remarks (cont’d) High management efficiency ratio of Illinois public companies The data shows Illinois private-held companies generate highest amount of Net Income among all states in the US.