1. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Local Risk Assessment – Action plans for safer communities –

2. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org This presentation Urban risk is increasing The GRIP approach Risk assessment – Damage scenarios Action Plans for DRM based on scenarios Institutionalization of DRM Governance for implementation

3. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Urban risk is increasing Cities are growing rapidly… Urban population increases by 180,000 people every day (UN-Habitat) More than 90% of population growth in developing countries takes place in cities One third of the population in developing countries live in informal/illegal settlements (World Bank)

4. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Living under risk Explosive growth of urban areas Population of cities in LA will increase by 50% in the next 25 yrs (OFDA) There are not appropriate land-use regulations nor the proper mechanisms to enforce or implement them

5. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Living under risk Informal Construction

6. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Living under risk Codes are not enforced The professionals are not properly prepared There are not control mechanisms Lack of personnel and resources

7. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Living under risk There is no awareness of the risk Due to lack of awareness and information, members of the community increase the risk by making uninformed decisions

8. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org What we need to understand 1- The present risk is the result of many years of lack of planning –It will take some time to solve (reduce) the problem 2- The reduction of the risk is everybody’s work, not only work for authorities or technical people –The disaster affects everybody –It is a very complex problem –We ALL contribute to increase or decrease the risk The time to start is now!

9. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org The GRIP Approach Assessment - To understand the problem and its magnitude Planning - To create plans based on the assessment Implementation - To put the plans into practice Institutionalization A long term process with the active participation of all the members of the society

10. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org The GRIP approach Specific Objective: –To initiate long-term risk management processes in local areas To achieve this, three tasks are set up –Raise awareness, both locally and internationally, of the local risk and the need to reduce it –Incorporate all the sectors of the community in the risk management activities –Set up the conditions for the long-term continuation and institutionalization of risk management activities

11. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Main Activities The projects are implemented in 18-24 months Assessment of the Local Risk Preparation, by local experts, of damage scenarios Preparation of a Plan to reduce Local Risk Using scenarios, development of locally-supported Action Plan Setting up the conditions for implementation Development of local capacities to implement this plan

12. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Implementation Plan

13. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Risk assessment phase Probable earthquakes –Antofagasta: Magnitude 8.0, Epicentral distance 60 km –Guayaquil: Magnitude 8.0, Epicentral distance 200 km –Tijuana: Magnitude 6.5, Epicentral distance 10 km Methodology –Theoretical estimation Earthquake damage scenario –Interviews with system managers

14. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Assessment of a City’s Seismic Risk Vulnerability functions Damage estimates Wooden and mixed structures 0 20 40 60 80 100 6789 MMI Intensity Tipo A Tipo B Tipo C Tipo D

15. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Community’s participation in assessment Tijuana: Health sector Zigong: Public order Interviews with the people in charge of the city systems

16. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Examples of estimated impact Damage to Buildings in Tijuana

17. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Example of Human Impact Displaced people in Tijuana Estimation based on damage to buildings People in destroyed buildings + 1/3 people in severely damaged buildings TOTAL:130.000

18. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Community’s participation in assessment Scenario Workshops Representatives of all the sectors of the society understand discuss improve the risk assessment Guayaquil (67 people) Tijuana (50 people)

19. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Risk Management Planning Generate ideas, based on the assessment, of activities that, if implemented, will reduce the city’s risk Work with all related institutions and people to delineate those activities and prepare an Action Plan Present the Action Plan to representatives of all sectors for them to: understand discuss adopt the Plan

20. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Community’s participation in planning Action Plan Workshop in Antofagasta, Chile Action Plan for Guayaquil, Ecuador

21. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Institutionalization Engaging all the sectors of the community A well representative Local Advisory Committee Well attended Workshops Informing the community about the project Effective collaboration with mass media Developing legal and financial frameworks Integration in Municipal budgets, incorporation of Industry, financial sector (banks, insurance) Creating or strengthening RM institutions

22. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Informing the community AntofagastaGuayaquil

23. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Developing financial frameworks Line e = Investing $15 Millon in 25 years DRM Investment Strategy for Tijuana

24. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Organigram

25. GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org Building and protecting the future is today’s work Thank you!!