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Published byAngela Chase Modified over 9 years ago
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Mergers and acquisitions Fundamental analysis for share valuation Evaluation of a business strategy
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In the real market, a firm creates value by earning a return on invested capital greater than the opportunity cost of capital. The more a firm invest at returns above the cost of capital, the more value it creates
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A firm selects strategies that maximize the present value of expected cash flows or economic benefits The value of a company’s shares in the stock market is based on the market’s expectations of future performance of the company.
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After an initial price is set, the return that shareholders earn depends more on the changes in expectations about the company’s future performance than its actual performance.
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NOPLAT (Net operating profits less adjusted taxes) represents the profits generated from the company’s core operations after subtracting the income taxes related to the core operations.
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Invested capital represents the cumulative amount the business has invested in its core operations – primarily property, plan and equipment and working capital. Invested capital is the total of equity and total borrowings in the balance sheet of a company, reduced by the amount of non- operating assets.
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Net investment is the increase in invested capital from one year to the next Net Investment = Invested capital t+1 - Invested capital t
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FCF is the cash flow generated by the core operations of the business after deducting investments in new capital. FCF = NOPLAT – Net Investment
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ROIC is the return the company earns on each rupee invested in the business ROIC = NOPLAT /Invested capital
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IR is the portion of NOPLAT invested back into the business. IR = Net investment/NOPLAT
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WACC is the rate of return that investors expect to earn from investing in the company and therefore, the appropriate discount rate for the free cash flow
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‘g’ is the rate at which the company’s NOPLAT and cash flow grows each year If the company’s revenue and NOPLAT grow at a constant rate and the company’s IR is also constant, its FCF will grow a constant rate
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Enterprise Value = FCF t+1 /(WACC-g)
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FCF = NOPLAT – Net Investment FCF = NOPLAT – (NOPLAT x IR) FCF = NOPLAT x (1-IR)
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g = ROIC x IR IR = g/ROIC Technically one should use the return on new or incremental capital
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FCF = NOPLAT x (1 – IR) FCF = NOPLAT x (1-g/ROIC)
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Value = [NOPLAT t=1 ×(1-g/ROIC)] WACC – g Value drivers : Growth; ROIC; and Cost of capital
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The value of a company equals the amount of capital invested, plus a premium equal to the present value of the value created each year.
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Economic Profit = Invested capital x (ROIC – WACC) PV of economic profit = EP/(WACC-g)
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Value = Invested capital + PV of projected EVA
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Value = NOPLAT T=1 x (1-g/ROIC) WACC – g Value = (1-g/ROIC) NOPLAT t=1 WACC - g
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A Company’s earnings multiple is driven by both its expected growth and its return on capital
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NOPLAT = Invested Capital x ROIC Value = Invested CapitalxROICx(1-g/ROIC) WACC - g
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Value= ROICx(1-g/RONIC) Invested Capital WACC – g Drivers are : WACC;ROIC; and g
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Revenue growth Profit margin (per cent) Cash tax rate Working capital/Revenue (per cent) Capital expenditure/Revenue (per cent) Cost of capital (per cent) Value growth duration period (years) ◦ Value growth duration period represents the future period for which the entity has a foreseeable competitive advantage.
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