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China- Taiwan conflict: The position of France UNITED NATIONS - Security Council.

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Presentation on theme: "China- Taiwan conflict: The position of France UNITED NATIONS - Security Council."— Presentation transcript:

1 China- Taiwan conflict: The position of France UNITED NATIONS - Security Council

2 Contrary to the point of view expressed by China’s ambassador to the UN in 1997: “There is only one China in the world. The Government of the People's Republic of China is the sole legal Government representing the entire Chinese people. No change in the way in which leaders of Taiwan are produced or in the political system made by the Taiwan authorities can change the universally established fact that Taiwan is part of China. The question of Taiwan falls entirely within China's internal affairs. It brooks no outside interference whatsoever.” WE BELIEVE THAT THE SECURITY COUNCIL MUST ADDRESS THIS ISSUE UNITED NATIONS - Security Council …International community must intervene due to instability and an imminent threat to peace in the region. A major crisis in Taiwan could endanger many lives as well as economic stability in the area and cause capital flight.

3 UNITED NATIONS - Security Council  War would be economically and socially costly to all parties involved –Nuclear capability of PRC could prove catastrophic –Western investments could be endangered in China FRANCE PROMOTES A PEACEFUL RESOLUTION OF THE CONFLICT – WE DON’T WANT WAR  War would be unfair and destructive –Military analyst predicts quick win by mainland China: “(…) mainland China would likely use tactical ground-to-ground missiles and cruise missiles, supplemented by long- range artillery, rockets and various other weapons to launch attacks on nearly one hundred key targets, such as Taiwan's airports, harbors, important highways, bridges and military command centers, missile bases and barracks, and these attacks would be successful within a very short time. (…) once the mainland launched similar attacks, not only the nearly 100 Taiwan's targets would be subjected to destructive attacks, but Taiwan's counter-attack capability would basically be destroyed.” (Taiwan security reseach, Zhu Xianlong, 2002) –Chinese military expenditure of US$27 b dominant compare to Taiwan’s US$7.2 b –Prospects of US involvment are uncertain

4 France has always sought peaceful solutions to international crises. Vis-à-vis China France has strong political and economic ties with China. We don’t want to alienate this major trading partner. French corporations view the Chinese market as critical to their global strategy. Vis-à-vis U.S.A Franco-American reconciliation after the Iraq war. The French approach would benefit the US who would strategically prefer to avoid war (bailing out the US ) France wants to explore all diplomatic means before getting involved in a military conflict, but would collaborate with the US if the situation deteriorates. THE FRENCH POSITION UNITED NATIONS - Security Council

5 Over the past 60 years, Taiwan and China have proved that they are unable to reunify peacefully Before adopting a military solution, both sides should open up to international help –Proven success in similar situations (i.e. the Israeli-Palestinian conflict of 2006) With the help of a Security Council-appointed mediator (France?), and within a realistic timeframe, we are confident that both parties could resolve their differences UNITED NATIONS - Security Council CONFLICT SHOULD BE RESOLVED THROUGH BI-LATERAL NEGOCIATION WITH THE HELP OF A NEUTRAL 3rd PARTY

6 A few carrots… A clear timetable to tie up negotiations Clear commitment and deadlines agreed by both parties Help from neutral mediator (France?) International community commitment to «One China» …and a stick Both sides will need to commit to collaborative behavior in negotiations Failure to do so will result in economic sanctions (i.e. the withdrawal of foreign direct investment, an embargo,etc.) UNITED NATIONS - Security Council FRANCE PROPOSE:

7 Considering that it is its duty to investigate any situations likely to lead to international frictions or to give rise to a dispute in order to determine whether the continuance of such dispute or situation may endanger international peace and security, and likewise to determine the existence of any threat to peace, 1 Considering that members of the council want to avoid military conflict for economic and social reasons, It is proposed that PRC holds bilateral talks with ROC and a neutral 3 rd party (France) under the supervision of this council and succesfully conclude an accord before the end of 2010 that would be impletmented before 2015 In the case that any party involved prove uncollaborative, appropriate economic sanctions shall be decided and implemented by this council. 1 Based on the phrasing of resolution 87 (1950) UNITED NATIONS - Security Council Proposed resolution


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