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What is a Multilateral Development Bank? S. Samuel Tumiwa Deputy Representative North America Representative Office Canada Business Opportunities Seminar Halifax – Montreal – Calgary – Saskatoon September 2015 1
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Multilateral Development Banks 2
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The Asian Development Bank 4 How We are Different Infrastructure – 85% of investments are in energy, water, transport, urban Regional Cooperation – Central Asia, Greater Mekong Subregion, South Asia, etc. Specific Focus on the Pacific Islands Our Challenge Rapidly Changing Region – By 2030, all of the region will be middle income, except for AFG, NEP, and Not just about financing – Also about knowledge and Partnership
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Why Asia? S. Samuel Tumiwa Deputy Representative North America Representative Office Canada Business Opportunities Seminar Halifax – Montreal – Calgary – Saskatoon September 2015 5
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Why Asia? 6
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Economic Outlook: Developing Asia extends steady growth… 7 f: forecast 5-year average: 7.1 10-year average: 7.6 Asian Development Outlook 2015
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…contributing the most to global growth 8 Asia accounts for about 60% of global growth; still fastest-growing region Percentage contributions to global GDP growth Asian Development Outlook 2015
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High overall growth, but divergence across countries 9 f: forecast Asian Development Outlook 2015
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What Does All This Mean Re-emergence of Asia Asia began to re-emerge after 1950, spurred first by Japan, then NICs Asia began to re-emerge after 1950, spurred first by Japan, then NICs Starting in 1980s, first PRC then India, Indonesia and Viet Nam, gave further boost Starting in 1980s, first PRC then India, Indonesia and Viet Nam, gave further boost Asia accounted for about 60% of world economy before Industrial Revolution Asia accounted for about 60% of world economy before Industrial Revolution In the following two centuries, Asia’s share declined to 15% In the following two centuries, Asia’s share declined to 15% Asia’s share today is 28% Asia’s share today is 28% Asia’s Share of Global GDP, 1700-2010
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The Asian Century Asian GDP: $65 trillion Asian GDP per capita: $20,600 Asian GDP: $174 trillion Asian GDP per capita: $40,800 Asian century driven by Asia 7: India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, PRC, Republic of Korea, and Thailand - projected to account for 90% of Asia’s growth between 2010 and 2050
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1 billion Asia’s urbanization is unprecedented Source: ADB estimates using UN(2012).
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10% 49% 210 years 9% 51% 105 years 12% 51% 150 years 11% 51% 95 years 12% 50% 90 years 12% 54% 65 years 10% 52% 60 years 10%51% 55 years 11% 51% 61 years Unique feature 1: very fast speed Source: ADB estimates using Bairoch (2008) and UN(2012).
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Unique feature 2: highest densities in the world… Asia & the Pacific (17/25) Africa Europe Latin America & Caribbean Middle East & North Africa Source: www.citymayors.com
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Unique feature 3: many megacities Megacities, 2010 ASIA: 12/23 Note: The circles indicate population sizes ranging from (10 million) to (39 million). The circles do not reflect the physical extents of the cities and any overlap between them merely reflects their relative population sizes and not any official acceptance or endorsement of any geographical sovereignty. Source: UN (2012).
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Unique feature 4: low starting base 52% 43% 67% 63% Northern America Europe Latin America & Caribbean WORLD ASIA & PACIFIC Africa Source: ADB estimates using Bairoch (2008) and UN(2012).
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Ratio of Population in Largest Cities over Urban Population (%) Unique feature 5: the largest cities are likely to grow bigger Source: ADB estimates using UN(2012).
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… thus more and bigger megacities are emerging Megacities, 2025 ASIA: 21/37 Note: The circles indicate population sizes ranging from (10 million) to (39 million). The circles do not reflect the physical extents of the cities and any overlap between them merely reflects their relative population sizes and not any official acceptance or endorsement of any geographical sovereignty. Source: UN (2012).
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Asia’s financing requirements are huge 19 Source: ADB, 2009. Infrastructure for a Seamless Asia. Manila Total of $8.3 trillion (2010–2020) or $750 billion/year
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Source: Various reports compiled by ADB In Asia the infrastructure gap means People without Access to: Water and Sanitation900 million people Electricity800 million people Roads1.2 billion people Internet80% of Asia 20
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Deep Dive Sustainable Infrastructure S. Samuel Tumiwa Deputy Representative North America Representative Office Canada Business Opportunities Seminar Halifax – Montreal – Calgary – Saskatoon September 2015 21
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Asia’s Urban Challenge Globally, 6.2 billion people in urban areas and 53% in Asia by 2050 (World Urban Prospects, 2011 Revision) By 2050, 64.4% of population of Asia is in urban areas 23 megacities, 13 of which are in Asia Approximately 75% of GDP today comes from the urban areas- urban areas of engines of growth in Asia 44 million people are added to city populations in Asia every year o equivalent to 120,000 people each day who require construction of more than 20,000 new dwellings, 250 km of new roads and additional infrastructure to supply more than 6000 liters of potable water
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Increasing Energy Demand (1990-2010-2035) 23
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Road to Nowhere 24 Beijing, 2010
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ADB’s Water Financing Program 2006-2020 Urban WaterRural WaterBasin Water Rural water – rural water supply and sanitation; irrigation and drainage Urban water – urban water supply, sanitation and wastewater management Basin water – water resources development and management, flood management, wetlands and watershed protection, hydropower
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How Does it Really Work? S. Samuel Tumiwa Deputy Representative North America Representative Office Canada Business Opportunities Seminar Halifax – Montreal – Calgary – Saskatoon September 2015 26
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ADB Business Opportunities 27
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ADB Business Opportunities 28 Almost all ADB projects rely on Consultants and Contractors
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7-Step Plan to Win ADB-Financed Consulting Contracts 29 1.Collect relevant business intelligence Study Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) and Country Operations Business Plans (COBP) Obtain information from procurement plans (and project documents) Check ADB website for opportunities in the Consulting Services Recruitment Notices (CSRN) section 2.Build your brand name – Visit ADB 3.Express interest 4.Visit the country of the assignment and project site 5.Offer partnership to firms likely to be shortlisted 6.Prepare a responsive and strong technical proposal 7.Do good work
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Business Opportunities Fair and ADB’s Project Pipeline 30 ADB’s yearly Business Opportunities Fair - How to register http://www.adb.org/news/events/6th-adb-business- opportunities-fair-2015 Background on the 2015 Business Opportunities Fair including Project Pipelines across countries and sectors http://adbprocurementforum.net/?page_id=2362
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Supplemental Slides S. Samuel Tumiwa Deputy Representative North America Representative Office Canada Business Opportunities Seminar Halifax – Montreal – Calgary – Saskatoon September 2015 31
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Vision An Asia and Pacific region free of poverty Strategic Agenda 1.Inclusive Economic Growth 2.Environmentally Sustainable 3.Regional Integration
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Core Areas of Operations 1.Infrastructure 2.Environment 3.Regional Cooperation and Integration 4.Finance Sector Development 5.Education Other Areas of Operations 1.Health 2.Agriculture 3.Disaster and Emergency Assistance
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Technical Assistance and Knowledge Sharing Project preparatory feasibility studies Research and analytical work Policy dialogue and advisory activities Training and capacity building programs Dissemination of best practices ADB’s Services to Foster Development Impacts Program and Project Financing Grants Low interest loan LIBOR based loan
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Samuel Tumiwa Deputy Representative North America Representative Office 900 17 th Street, N.W. Suite 900 Washington, DC 2006 202 728 1500 stumiwa@adb.org 35
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