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More info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 1 Challenges in the KP reporting - Finland Aleksi Lehtonen Finnish Forest.

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Presentation on theme: "More info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 1 Challenges in the KP reporting - Finland Aleksi Lehtonen Finnish Forest."— Presentation transcript:

1 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 1 Challenges in the KP reporting - Finland Aleksi Lehtonen Finnish Forest Research Institute

2 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 2 Reporting requirements for KP Land-use change since 1990, areas Emissions from those lands, occurring 2008 -> All five pools / verify that a pool is not a source

3 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 3 Finnish case Primary data source: National Forest Inventory Mostly temporary sample plots (~60000 plots) Takes 5 y to complete a full round Field team measures: Trees (dimensions, increment,...) Location Soil characteristics, fertility,.... Land-use Current Previous Time of change if any

4 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 4 A NFI cluster of plots

5 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 5 1999 - forest 1990 - agriculture

6 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 6 Results - afforestation & reforestation

7 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 7 Results - deforestation

8 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 8 Challenges (I) Sampling based approach for land-use and land- use change (NFI) + unbiased estimates + possibility to estimate uncertainties + uniform data source (hosted by Metla) - computationally demanding (need of resources for analysis) - annual sample (~12000) limited - need for validation with aerial photos, e.g. land-use change early 1990s

9 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 9 Challenges (II) Estimating land-use for 2009, based on the NFI plots measured 2009 The probability of land-use change that has occurred 2009 is low (note ~12000 plots annually) -> solution, averaging over 2004-2008 The estimates for areas and biomass increment of those ARD lands highly uncertain -> estimates of areas, biomass, soil carbon and dead organic matter are also highly uncertain

10 more info: www.metla.fi/ghg 8-9.11.2010 Brussels, JRC meeting on KP reporting 10 Thank you ! www.metla.fi/ghg

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