1. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 1 Washington State & Regional Needs Assessment Pacific Northwest Association for Institutional Research and Planning 2005 Annual Conference

2. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 2 Regional and State Needs Assessment A “comprehensive and ongoing assessment process to analyze the need for additional degrees and programs, additional off-campus centers and locations for degree programs, and consolidation or elimination of programs by the four-year institutions.” RCW 28B.76.230

3. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 3 Introduction The HECB and other state agencies and institutions are charged with stewardship of state higher education resources. The strategic master plan for higher education calls for:  Data-driven decisions related to the allocation of student enrollments. (Master plan strategy 2)  Assessment of regional higher education needs to meet student, employer, and community demand. (Master plan strategy 6). The needs assessment, in conjunction with analysis of institutional roles and missions, will drive academic program and facility planning and approval.

4. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 4 Workgroup Membership (Key Stakeholders) -Council of Presidents (public four-year institutions) -Department of Community, Trade & Economic Development -Independent Colleges of Washington (private four- year institutions) -Office of Financial Management -State Board for Community & Technical Colleges -Workforce Training & Education Coordinating Board

5. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 5 Legislative Direction The HECB is to examine: Regional and statewide projections of student, employer, and community demand for higher education Current and projected degree programs and enrollment at public and private colleges and universities Data on the supply and demand for workforce education, including job training certificates and associate degrees (RCW 28B.76.230)

6. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 6 Scope of Analysis How many student enrollments are needed for the state to respond to overall student demand? How many trained workers are required to meet employer demand for prepared workers? What are the community needs for higher education, and how can the state respond to these needs? What is current and planned capacity in Washington colleges and universities? How many degrees are produced annually in Washington (by field of study, region, and educational sector)? How many enrollments are needed for less-than- baccalaureate level programs to meet employer demand?

7. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 7 Statewide Results – Baccalaureate Degrees Awarded

8. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 8 Statewide Results – Graduate Degrees Awarded

9. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 9 Projected FTE Enrollments (Public and Private)

10. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 10 Budgeted and Projected FTE

11. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 11 Projected Annual Openings 2007-2012

12. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 12 Matching Supply and Workforce Demand Major Field of Study / Occupational Area Match SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, 1992–93 Baccalaureate and Beyond Longitudinal Study, “Second Follow-up” (B&B:93/97), Data Analysis System. 1992–93 Baccalaureate and Beyond Longitudinal Study, “Second Follow-up” (B&B:93/97)

13. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 13 Graduates Prepared Fill Annual Openings

14. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 14 Community Demand All fields are becoming more complex and require workers prepared with higher levels of education than in the past Ideally, workers would develop a mix of technical skills and management, communication, and team work skills Key economic sectors: value-added agriculture, wood products, technology, health care, aerospace, tourism, biotechnology, and marine services Upcoming retirement of skilled workers is a special concern in government, education, health care and engineering

15. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 15 Regions

16. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 16 Regional Data Regional Profiles Include Three Types of Data to describe “need” Student Demand -Institutions in the region -Institutional enrollment patterns -Participation rate projections

17. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 17 Regional Data Workforce Demand -“Key Occupations” requiring middle- level preparation -Long preparation Community Demand -Workforce Development Council updated five-year strategic plans

18. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 18 Southwest Region Includes Clark, Skamania, Cowlitz, and Wahkiakum Counties Population of 506,000 (2003 Census data) 78% of population lives in Clark County Clark County is included in Portland, Ore., labor market

19. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 19 Southwest: Regional Institutions Institution SectorNameLocationSize (FTE) Public Four-YearWSU VancouverVancouver 1,257 Private Non-Profit Four-Year Golden Gate Baptist Theological SeminaryVancouver 60 Public Two-YearClark CollegeVancouver 6,639 Public Two-YearLower Columbia CollegeLongview 2,479 TOTAL10,435

20. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 20 Southwest Washington Regional Profile

21. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 21

22. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 22 Southwest Region: Workforce Projections Source: Occupational Outlook published by the Employment Security Department, Labor Market and Economic Analysis Branch, 2005. Available at www.workforceexplorer.com.www.workforceexplorer.com

23. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 23 Southwest Region: Community Demand ‘Family wage’ jobs have been lost in manufacturing, construction, and information services Compared to Washington and the Portland, Ore., area: -Residents of Southwest Washington are less educated -More likely to be in construction, production, or service jobs -The region is a net exporter of workers

24. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 24 Southwest Region: Community Demand Local planners are working to do the following: -Provide adequate workforce preparation education -Identify key industrial clusters which pay ‘family wages’ and gear educational efforts to meeting demand -Clusters include health care, education, finance, insurance, and ‘professional’

25. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 25 Recommendations The public colleges and universities must grow to accommodate additional student demand resulting from population pressure. The state does not produce enough graduates in a number of key occupational areas, especially computer science, engineering, software engineering, architecture and health care The healthcare industry faces critical shortages of qualified workers in a number of occupational areas, especially nursing

26. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 26 Recommendations There is a significant mismatch between supply and demand for trained workers in several fields Participation rates in public higher education in a number of regions fall well below the state average Data systems and collection methods should be improved to ensure the needs assessment can effectively guide the growth of the state higher education system

27. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 27 Thank You Randy Spaulding Higher Education Coordinating Board 360-753-7823 randys@hecb.wa.gov http://www.hecb.wa.gov/boardmtgs/Sept22-05Meeting.asp

28. WASHINGTON HIGHER EDUCATION COORDINATING BOARD 28