1. Resource productivity and future technologies Miroslav Havránek EEA - FLIS - COPENHAGEN - 18.-19. 11.2010

2. Content About CUEC Resource productivity Final sink scarcity Future technologies ISIE ConAccount news

3. Charles University Environment Center Charles University in Prague Non-faculty research institute (1992) About 30 people (director prof. Bedrich Moldan) Focus on environmental and ecological economy, sustainable development indicators

4. Resource productivity metrics EEA Core set EUROSTAT IEA Upstream processes omitted Rucksack, Footprinting, Hybrid I-O tables

5. Resource productivity in Europe Source: EUROSTAT

6. Energy intensity per product Source: CZSO

7. Increasing efficiency - pitfall Physical and financial flows are coupled Resource efficiency leads to higher quality of life and ultimatelly to more resource use = rebound effect is real Economic growth is driven by consumption (income) To effectively de-couple and decrease env. burden efficiency must grow faster than GDP

8. Final sink Resource becomes waste Dematerialisation shifts materials to more dangerous materials Recycling vs. Final disposal Air & Soil & Sea

9. Technology development Strong driver of the future Omitted environmental impacts and resource needs Non-linearities in future scenarios Penetration curve of new technologies Know-how exchange

10. Accelerating technologies: race in to unknown? Improvement of technology vs. Change of basic principles

11. Technology outlook of LDV, IEA Source: IEA 2010

12. Technologies example: Demand Side Energy efficiency in buildings and appliances Heat pumps Solar space and water heating Energy efficiency in transport Electric and plug-in vehicles H 2 fuel cell vehicles CCS industry, H 2 and fuel transformation Industrial motor systems

13. Technologies example: Suply side CCS fossil-fuel power generation Nuclear power plants Onshore and offshore wind Biomass IGCC & co-combustion Photovoltaic systems Concentrating solar power Coal: integrated-gasification combined Cycle Coal: ultra-supercritical 2nd generation biofuels

14. News

15. Thank you for your attention