1. Emerging Trends in Homeland Security and Emergency Management Mike Sharon Chief, Operational Planning Branch FEMA Region III

2. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Our Environment: V olatile U ncertain C omplex A mbiguous

3. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Forces of Change  Social and Technological  Environmental  Economic and Political Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995

4. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Social and Technological  Universal Access to and Use of Information  Technological Innovation and Dependency  Changing Role of the Individual  Shifting U.S. Demographics Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995

5. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Environmental  Climate Change Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995

6. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Economic and Political  Global Interdependencies/Globalization  Government Budgets  Critical Infrastructure  Evolving Terrorist Threat Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995

7. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Recipes for Change  “Iron Chef” new, innovative and challenging  “Betty Crocker” classics that don’t go out of style

8. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Waves of the Future  Practice omni-directional knowledge sharing  Proactively engage business in HLS and EM and solicit business contributions to policy development  Advanced risk modeling to assess complex interactions among infrastructure and hazards  Address “hidden” vulnerabilities in supply chains  Infuse HLS/EM principles and life skills across the educational experience Adapted from: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995

9. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Golden Oldies  Prepare for complex social, cultural and linguistic demographics  Leverage volunteer capabilities throughout HLS and EM  Empower individuals, neighborhoods, communities  Influence development of emerging technologies to support HLS and EM  Flexible frameworks for surge and interoperability Adapted from: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995

10. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Questions ?

11. Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003 Thank you for your attention! Mike Sharon Chief, Operational Planning Branch FEMA Region III michael.sharon@fema.dhs.gov (215) 931-5641