1. 1 OpenDays 7 October 2008 Dr. Peder Jensen Project Manager, Transport and Environment OpenDays 7 October 2008 Dr. Peder Jensen Project Manager, Transport and Environment Biofuels – a part of the solution ?

2. 2 EU overall emission trajectories vs. transport emissions 23 January proposal Bali roadmap range

3. 3 Energy package target Bali roadmap target range Fuel quality incl. biofuels 130 g/km Emission reduction effect of: Gap depending on target applied Transport sector targets 2020 transport emissions Business-as-usual

4. 4 Vehicle efficiency 130 g CO 2 per km by 2012 ? 1995 – 2005: 2.5 g CO 2 /km /year reduction 2005 – 2007: No reduction (preliminary numbers) 2007 – 2012: 6.0 g CO 2 /km /year reduction

5. 5 Fuel quality directive (98/70/EC) 10% life-cycle improvement from fuel production before 2020 Refinery improvements yield max 1-2% Reduced flaring may be significant 10% biofuels target by 2020 yields from 4.5% to 9.0% depending on pathway High oil prices may make more CO 2 intensive pathways commercially viable

6. 6 Energy package target Bali roadmap target range Fuel quality incl. biofuels 130 g/km Emission reduction effect of: Gap depending on target applied Transport sector targets 2020 transport emissions Business-as-usual

7. 7 Global rush for biofuels - and other renewables Source: EEA, 2008 Achieved Targets

8. 8 Key points Biofuels is firmly on the agenda... but CHP generally giver higher CO2 benefit Options for job creation... but not dependent of which energy use is made Biofuels can increase security of energy supply... but may cause increased pressure on biodiversity