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Economic Growth and Globalization since 1850
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The Age of Globalization
Exponential change
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I. Introduction: A. Global time line
Industrialization and growth of international trade Inter-war years Liberalization and Acceleration of trade/ Development of Communist Economic Model
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B. Successive Shifts of Power 19th-21st Centuries
British Hegemony American Century Multipolar World
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II. Stages of Economic Growth
How did the world progressively enter into a system of production of wealth?
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A. 19th Century Economic Growth since 1850
Since 1850, continual acceleration of technical progress and strong economic growth Sustained demographic growth Inequalities in development continue
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3 stages of economic growth
Entering a world of intensive growth Increasing world growth after 1945 Capitalism in Crisis
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1st Stage: Intensive Growth
From the 18th Century, western European countries, facing rapid increase in population growth, begin industrializing Intensive growth = wealth production surpasses basic needs of the population Capitalism, well-established in the 19th c. in Europe, contributes to this trend Despite the rise in global population, economic growth enabled improvement in standard of living.
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2nd Stage: Increasing world growth after 1945
19th C industrialization accompanied by weak growth rates even for the most advanced countries a. newest technologies extremely dynamic (e.g. textile, steel, railroads) b. continued importance of agricultural sector into the 20th c. c. low domestic consumption
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After 1945, world growth rate increases
Stimulated by the gradual liberalization of trade From 1970’s by acceleration of globalization Between 1945 and 1975, growth originates mostly in the industrialized nations (North America, Western Europe and Japan) = the Triad
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Change of Paradigm late 20th/early 21st century
Early 21st C. highest economic growth rates in emerging countries BRIC nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China) + South Africa since 2011 Known for rapid growth of their industrial sectors Capitalizing on their advantages (e.g. natural resources, labour, infrastructure) Strong state intervention
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BRIC nations
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3rd Stage: Capitalism in Crisis
Early signs of instability in 1929
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Lithograph by Otto Bollhagen and Fritz Jacobsen, Krupp Factories in Essen, Germany in 1912
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Series of financial/economic crises highlight the limits of capitalism and the interdependence of the world Stock market crash 1929, end of period of strong growth of US economy, warning to speculators Collapse of 1st economy in the world causes contraction of international trade and massive increase in unemployment around the world
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Periods of Crisis enable capitalism to adapt and for new powers to emerge.
Slowing down of growth in Europe Birth of multinational corporations Progression of international trade Appearance of new competition in Europe (Germany) and outside of Europe (U.S. / Japan)
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More Recent Financial Crises and Economic Recessions
Financial crisis in 2008 leads to growing intervention of international regulatory organizations IMF G20 Economic recession in
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Comparison of 1929 and 2008 Crises
GNP Growth (%) 2009 2010 World -30 -0.6 +4.2 United States -51 -2.4 +2.7 Germany -23 - Euro Zone -4.1 +1 International Trade -57 % -12% +13.5% Unemployment rate 1929 1933 2007 3.1 25.2 5 10 9.7 33 7.8 9.8 10.3
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The Global Power Shift
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