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SMART INCO-MED 4 th Management Board Meeting, September 12-14 2004, Hammamet, Tunisia DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria

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Presentation on theme: "SMART INCO-MED 4 th Management Board Meeting, September 12-14 2004, Hammamet, Tunisia DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria"— Presentation transcript:

1 SMART INCO-MED 4 th Management Board Meeting, September 12-14 2004, Hammamet, Tunisia DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at Environmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at Environmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen

2 Wednesday, September 12 09:00-09:15Welcome (CNT) 09:15-10:15 Project Status (ESS) 10:15-10:45 Coffee break 10:45-11:30 WP 4 data compilation (SUMER) 11:30-12:00 Case study: EGYPT 12:00-12:30 Case study: LEBANON 12:30-13:00 Case study: TUNISIA 13:00-13:30 Case study: TURKEY 09:00-09:15Welcome (CNT) 09:15-10:15 Project Status (ESS) 10:15-10:45 Coffee break 10:45-11:30 WP 4 data compilation (SUMER) 11:30-12:00 Case study: EGYPT 12:00-12:30 Case study: LEBANON 12:30-13:00 Case study: TUNISIA 13:00-13:30 Case study: TURKEY

3 Wednesday, September 13 13:30-15:00 Lunch 15:30-16:00 Case study: JORDAN 16:00-17:00 TELEMAC, user support 17:00-19:00 TELEMAC and LUC/RRM/WRM: parallel break-out sessions 13:30-15:00 Lunch 15:30-16:00 Case study: JORDAN 16:00-17:00 TELEMAC, user support 17:00-19:00 TELEMAC and LUC/RRM/WRM: parallel break-out sessions

4 Thursday, September 14 08:00-09:00 On-line models (LUC, RRM) 10:30-10:00 WRM modeling 10:00-10:15 Coffee break 10:15-12:15 Indicators and scenarios (FEEM, UATLA, SOGREAH) 12:15-13:00 Dissemination, Exploitation 13:00-14:15 Lunch break 08:00-09:00 On-line models (LUC, RRM) 10:30-10:00 WRM modeling 10:00-10:15 Coffee break 10:15-12:15 Indicators and scenarios (FEEM, UATLA, SOGREAH) 12:15-13:00 Dissemination, Exploitation 13:00-14:15 Lunch break

5 Thursday, September 14 14:15-16:00 next 6 months (Reporting) next meeting (Malta ? Alexandria in February ?, Model workshops ? any other business 14:15-16:00 next 6 months (Reporting) next meeting (Malta ? Alexandria in February ?, Model workshops ? any other business

6 SMART: Project Overview 09:15 – 10:15 3 year duration to August 2005 Started: September 2002 Current PM: 25 of 36 Or more than 2/3 !!! 3 year duration to August 2005 Started: September 2002 Current PM: 25 of 36 Or more than 2/3 !!!

7 SMART: time table

8 SMART: Work Plan Phases 1.Requirements analysis, data availability, specifications 2.Data compilation, tool development 3.Parallel case studies 4.Comparative evaluation, dissemination. 1.Requirements analysis, data availability, specifications 2.Data compilation, tool development 3.Parallel case studies 4.Comparative evaluation, dissemination.

9 SMART

10 SMART: Milestones 1 PM 09 End of preparatory phase, first workshop – DELAYED (1 month) 2 PM 12 Methods and tools prototypes ready, start of operational phase 3 PM 18 Case studies implemented, first results of scenario analysis ??? 4 PM 24 Analysis and assessment phase initiated 5 PM 30 Case studies completed, final comparative analysis 6 PM 36 Project and reporting completed 1 PM 09 End of preparatory phase, first workshop – DELAYED (1 month) 2 PM 12 Methods and tools prototypes ready, start of operational phase 3 PM 18 Case studies implemented, first results of scenario analysis ??? 4 PM 24 Analysis and assessment phase initiated 5 PM 30 Case studies completed, final comparative analysis 6 PM 36 Project and reporting completed

11 SMART: work packages WP 01: Requirements and constraints analysis completed WP 01: Requirements and constraints analysis completed

12 SMART: work packages WP 02: Socio-economic framework and guidelines nominally completed, indicator definitions and data compilation/analysis not yet completed WP 02: Socio-economic framework and guidelines nominally completed, indicator definitions and data compilation/analysis not yet completed

13 SMART: work packages WP 03: Analytical tools, models SOGREAH, PM 3-18 TELEMAC (ongoing work) WaterWare (LUC, RRM, WRM) Nominally completed, web implementation of LUC, RRM, WRM complete, but no fully operational (calibrated) or complete scenarios yet. HOW TO PROCEED ? WP 03: Analytical tools, models SOGREAH, PM 3-18 TELEMAC (ongoing work) WaterWare (LUC, RRM, WRM) Nominally completed, web implementation of LUC, RRM, WRM complete, but no fully operational (calibrated) or complete scenarios yet. HOW TO PROCEED ?

14 SMART: work packages WP 04: Data compilation and analysis SUMER leads, PM 6-24 Includes parallel sub-tasks, one for each case study/country SHOULD BE COMPLETED !!! WP 04: Data compilation and analysis SUMER leads, PM 6-24 Includes parallel sub-tasks, one for each case study/country SHOULD BE COMPLETED !!!

15 SMART: WP04 1.Develop meta-data structure 2.Formats, technical specifications 3.Coverage and resolution (space and time) 4.Develop checklists 5.Monitor compilation 6.DATA BASE IMPLEMENTATION (with ESS) 7.Comparative analysis (completeness, consistency, plausibility) 1.Develop meta-data structure 2.Formats, technical specifications 3.Coverage and resolution (space and time) 4.Develop checklists 5.Monitor compilation 6.DATA BASE IMPLEMENTATION (with ESS) 7.Comparative analysis (completeness, consistency, plausibility)

16 SMART: WP04 OBJECTIVE and PRODUCT (the PLAN): Common, consistent data base Extensive documentation/Meta data ! On-line access and analysis Accessible from the project web site with interactive display and basic on-line analysis tools: GIS, TimeSeries Map server at CEDARE – Egypt CS example on-line – any data submitted ? OBJECTIVE and PRODUCT (the PLAN): Common, consistent data base Extensive documentation/Meta data ! On-line access and analysis Accessible from the project web site with interactive display and basic on-line analysis tools: GIS, TimeSeries Map server at CEDARE – Egypt CS example on-line – any data submitted ?

17 SMART: WP04 1.Common Land Use classification (CORINE) 2.Common soil classification (FAO) 3.INDICATORS (WP2/WP10): FEEM/UATLA: TO BE FINALIZED 1.Common Land Use classification (CORINE) 2.Common soil classification (FAO) 3.INDICATORS (WP2/WP10): FEEM/UATLA: TO BE FINALIZED

18 SMART: WP05-9 Scenario definitions (for all models !) : 1.Base line (calibration) 2.Business as usual 3.Worst case 4.Optimistic Scenario definitions (for all models !) : 1.Base line (calibration) 2.Business as usual 3.Worst case 4.Optimistic

19 Scenarios (LAST comments ?) Conversion into a database is impossible with current data; There is no quantitative data for Jordan (only schematic description of each scenario); The variables used differ between cases, NO consistent/comparable set of indicators yet; For some issues important for the scenarios there is no information; Some countries use quantitative data and others qualitative data for the same variables. Conversion into a database is impossible with current data; There is no quantitative data for Jordan (only schematic description of each scenario); The variables used differ between cases, NO consistent/comparable set of indicators yet; For some issues important for the scenarios there is no information; Some countries use quantitative data and others qualitative data for the same variables.

20 SMART: work packages WP 05 – 09 Case Studies Respective partner, PM 12-30, Overlaps with data compilation Actual case study work to have started in September 2003 WHICH WAS 12 MONTHS AGO and there are six months to go !!! WP 05 – 09 Case Studies Respective partner, PM 12-30, Overlaps with data compilation Actual case study work to have started in September 2003 WHICH WAS 12 MONTHS AGO and there are six months to go !!!

21 SMART: work packages WP 10: Comparative analysis FEEM, PM 24-36 Requires input from all case studies (FEEM presentation) Based on indicators and scenario definitions ?? WP 10: Comparative analysis FEEM, PM 24-36 Requires input from all case studies (FEEM presentation) Based on indicators and scenario definitions ??

22 SMART: work packages WP 11: Dissemination and exploitation ESS, PM 3-36 (Web server) EXPLOITATION STRATEGIES: CONTINUOUS UPDATES for the plans per partner and country. WP 11: Dissemination and exploitation ESS, PM 3-36 (Web server) EXPLOITATION STRATEGIES: CONTINUOUS UPDATES for the plans per partner and country.

23 WP 11: Dissemination Web site (images, links, contributions: don’t be shy, please do send material such as case study descriptions/extensions !!!Web site (images, links, contributions: don’t be shy, please do send material such as case study descriptions/extensions !!! Meetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature (CONFERENCES ?)Meetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature (CONFERENCES ?) Local workshopsLocal workshops NETWORKINGNETWORKING –Informal network, start with a common address data base – on-line ? NOTHING SUBMITTED YET ????? Web site (images, links, contributions: don’t be shy, please do send material such as case study descriptions/extensions !!!Web site (images, links, contributions: don’t be shy, please do send material such as case study descriptions/extensions !!! Meetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature (CONFERENCES ?)Meetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature (CONFERENCES ?) Local workshopsLocal workshops NETWORKINGNETWORKING –Informal network, start with a common address data base – on-line ? NOTHING SUBMITTED YET ?????

24 WP 11: Dissemination Web site, other material ?Web site, other material ? Meetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature, manuscriptsMeetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature, manuscripts Local dissemination workshops (planning ?)Local dissemination workshops (planning ?) SMART: the eBook ?SMART: the eBook ? Web site, other material ?Web site, other material ? Meetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature, manuscriptsMeetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature, manuscripts Local dissemination workshops (planning ?)Local dissemination workshops (planning ?) SMART: the eBook ?SMART: the eBook ?

25 Case Studies

26 GIS Map Server

27

28

29

30

31 WP 10: Evaluation Aggregated into Sustainability Indicators 1.Economic efficiency 2.Environmental compatibility 3.Equity (intra- and intergenerational) Aggregated into Sustainability Indicators 1.Economic efficiency 2.Environmental compatibility 3.Equity (intra- and intergenerational)

32 WP 10: Scenario Evaluation Aggregated into Sustainability Indicators with RULES: IF Sup/Dem >= 1.0 AND Reliability>> 80% AND …….. == high/medium/low THEN EEF = HIGH Aggregated into Sustainability Indicators with RULES: IF Sup/Dem >= 1.0 AND Reliability>> 80% AND …….. == high/medium/low THEN EEF = HIGH

33 WP 10: Evaluation Aggregated into Sustainability Index with RULES: IF EEF == high (medium, low) AND ENC == high (medium, low) ANDSEQ == high (medium, low) THEN SUSTAINABILITY = HIGH Aggregated into Sustainability Index with RULES: IF EEF == high (medium, low) AND ENC == high (medium, low) ANDSEQ == high (medium, low) THEN SUSTAINABILITY = HIGH

34 WP 10: Evaluation Evaluation process is open for inspection and participation: easy to understand and change RULES OBJECTIVE: not to offer the ultimate assessment for SUSTAINABILITY, but a framework for structured discourse and user participation LOCAL USER GROUPS ??? Evaluation process is open for inspection and participation: easy to understand and change RULES OBJECTIVE: not to offer the ultimate assessment for SUSTAINABILITY, but a framework for structured discourse and user participation LOCAL USER GROUPS ???

35 WP 10: Decision Support Comparative analysis of cases/scenarios in terms of the indicators; Participatory approach: Stake holders define criteria, objectives, constraints, and expectations – DSS tool finds the nearest feasible solution in the set of alternatives. Comparative analysis of cases/scenarios in terms of the indicators; Participatory approach: Stake holders define criteria, objectives, constraints, and expectations – DSS tool finds the nearest feasible solution in the set of alternatives.

36 WP 10: Decision Support Participatory approach: Stake holders need to be defined, contacted, involved !!! WE NEED AT THE VERY LEAST: “Updated” address lists for each case study region. Participatory approach: Stake holders need to be defined, contacted, involved !!! WE NEED AT THE VERY LEAST: “Updated” address lists for each case study region.

37 WP 10Decision Support Reference point approach: nadirnadir utopiautopia A1 A2 A3 A4 better efficientpoint criterion 1 criterion 2 A5 dominated A6


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