1. First Results on the Quantitative Data Analysis in Madagascar

2. Vakinankaratra To Fianarantsoa RN 7 To Antananarivo To Morondava West Coast

3. Fianarantsoa To Antsirabe To Toliara

4. Village Strata VAKINA Paved RoadLargeSmall PANEL CloseMandriankeniIandratsay Ambohiambo FarManarintsoa Ambohijafy Antampondra Tsaramody NEW CloseAmbatomaintyTsaratanana FarZanakambonyAndranokely

5. Village Strata FIANAR Paved RoadLargeSmall FIANAR CloseMiandrifekonaAmbohimaha FarSahavanana Sangasanga Tsararivotra Ampampana

6. Samples N 1992N 1997N 2000N 2002 Panel135 New80 VAKINA135 215 FIANAR095122

7. Attrition Rate Sample size Between 97 – 00 Between 00 – 02 VAKINA13532 (23.7%)7 (5.1%) FIANAR12229 (23.8%)16 (13.1%)

8. A.R. Vakinankaratra To Fianarantsoa RN 7 To Antananarivo To Morondava 27/0 13/0 53/20 12/8 20/8 27/0 40/0

9. A.R Fianarantsoa To Antsirabe To Toliara 21/16 45/15 31/25 7/0 45/15 20/8 19/5

10. Reason of Non-Retrieval - Temporary absent from the village (may be re-surveyed) - Temporary migration for Ag. salary worker - Temporary migration to mining area - Refuse to be interviewed (sickness, too old) - Definitive migration

11. Survey Facts - Time consuming: 5 to 10 hours per HH - F(# of plots, # Ag. Activities) - Split interview in 2 stages - No time to visit all plots - 40% Vakinankaratra - 60% Fianarantsoa - Have to pay farmers

12. Income Computation - AGRICULTURAL INCOME - Sales - Consumption: Food, Feed, Seed - LIVESTOCK INCOME - Sales - Consumption - Farm product (Valued at 25% village price of adult) - NONFARM INCOME (NET) - Wage (including Ag. Wage) - Transfer - Non agricultural Activities

13. Income Computation (cont'd) - Official Minimum Wage = US$ 30 = US$ 1 per day per capita - Family of 2  Extreme-poor - Family of 4  Ultra-poor -Average household size in Madagascar: Between 4 and 6 -Average Agricultural wage for hired labor = US$1 - 50 to 70% Cash - 30 – 70% Food

14. Transition Matrix Vakinankaratra Poverty line US$ 0.50Poverty line US$ 0.25 Poor in 2002 Non Poor in 2002 Poor in 2002 Non Poor in 2002 Poor in 1997 61.7%8.5%30.9%6.4% Non Poor in 1997 27.7%8.5%27.7%35.1%

15. Transition Matrix Fianarantsoa Poverty line US$ 0.50Poverty line US$ 0.25 Poor in 2002 Non Poor in 2002 Poor in 2002 Non Poor in 2002 Poor in 1997 91.4%5.2%48.3%5.2% Non Poor in 1997 3.4%0.0%34.5%12.1%

16. Vakinankaratra 1997 – 2002 Per capita INCOME

17. Fianarantsoa 1997 – 2002 Per capita INCOME

18. Stat : Demographic Char. V VAKINA (US$.25) Household SizeAge of HHHEducation level of HHH P1/P27.148.32.2 P1/NP23.051.52.3 NP1/P26.651.32.1 NP1/NP26.149.52.5

19. Stat : Demographic Char. F FIANAR (US$.25) Household SizeAge of HHHEducation level of HHH P1/P28.149.32.3 P1/NP25.345.32.0 NP1/P28.152.92.6 NP1/NP27.643.43.1

20. Stat : Food Security V Number of Months where food consumption is low Average kg of rice purchased during the year P1/P25.5505 P1/NP25.8233 NP1/P25.5367 NP1/NP22.8376 VAKINANKARATRA4.6405

21. Stat : Food Security F Number of Months where food consumption is low Average kg of rice purchased during the year P1/P26.1328 P1/NP24.7150 NP1/P24.9262 NP1/NP25.1310 FIANARANTSOA5.5293

22. Stat : Agricultural Land V HH Rice field in are HH upland in are Per capita Rice field in are Per capita upland in are P1/P231.883.14.511.7 P1/NP214.342.14.814.0 NP1/P231.3103.04.715.6 NP1/NP285.6171.814.028.2 VAKINA49.4117.27.818.6

23. Stat : Agricultural Land F HH Rice field in are HH upland in are Per capita Rice field in are Per capita upland in are P1/P251.365.46.38.1 P1/NP232.545.86.18.6 NP1/P269.162.58.57.7 NP1/NP2126.7163.416.721.5 FIANAR65.575.28.39.5

24. Stat : Income Composition V Per capita income 2002 per year WageNon Agricultural LivestockAgricultural P1/P258164 53724 24.7 36.3 8.2 13.2 9.5 5.7 56.3 44.9 P1/NP2151756 63796 13.6 35.6 3.3 22.3 11.4 1.5 71.6 40.6 NP1/P275050 212115 13.1 13.5 3.7 28.3 17.1 19.4 65.7 38.9 NP1/NP2305365 225319 9.2 11.5 6.5 22.3 42.9 19.8 41.1 46.3 VAKINA148941 155188 12.0 15.6 6.2 23.3 33.6 17.6 47.7 43.5

25. Stat : Income Composition F Per capita income 2002 per year WageNon Agricultural LivestockAgricultural P1/P250177 52685 4.2 16.6 10.0 7.5 20.2 7.4 64.3 68.6 P1/NP2167059 52810 0.0 11.8 0.0 19.0 45.8 2.1 42.9 67.1 NP1/P258117 122251 3.1 14.3 6.7 15.0 24.4 9.1 65.5 64.6 NP1/NP2203126 115747 7.8 4.7 23.1 8.4 13.7 25.2 55.1 61.8 FIANAR74775 81961 4.7 13.7 12.4 11.7 21.3 10.4 60.1 64.2

26. Recommendation for Qualitative work Village with PNP - 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 for Vakinankaratra - 22, 23 for Fianarantsoa Village with NPP - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 for Vakinankaratra - 19, 21 for Fianarantsoa Village with NPNP - 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 - None at US$ 0.50