1. US Fleet Forces US Marine Corps Forces Scenario Timeline / Road to Crisis UNCLASSIFIED Savannah mayor secedes UNSCR 1658: Establishes embargo / sanctions JAN 2013 FEB 2013 MAR 2013 APR 2013 MAY OLW OPT 2504 15 16 MKI ARG / 11 MEU, LOGTF, TASWC, MIWC, NEF(-), MPRG established in theater MPSRON identified out of theater Garnet incursion into Amber 12 Garnetian forces positioned on border 30 IDPs increase UNSCR 1659: Demands compliance w/ UNSCR 1658 28 CJTF 950 CJOA: 10 day sea transit / 8 hour air transit UNSCR 1657: Condemns Garnet support to insurgent / terrorist groups 20 CJTF 950 PLANORD 23 TLW OPT 1221 10 UNSCR 1660: Condemns, authorizes mil actions II-A-1 (U) BOLD ALLIGATOR 13 EXERCISE DIRECTIVE 05 Oct 2012 PART II, Section A: ROAD TO CRISIS 11 CTF 955 OPORD released

2. US Fleet Forces US Marine Corps Forces MCM/ PON Savannah Escambians rise up against Savannah Muscogees following months of Garnetian rhetoric laying claims to Savannah and its oil infrastructure. Garnet increases covert support to Savannah Escambians. Savannah (Amber) mayor declares his township seceding to Garnet. Garnetian forces positioned along border heighten level of readiness, with a Mechanized brigade reinforced posturing to invade Amber to provide “security and stability” to the local Escambians. Piracy and armed robbery continue to threaten maritime trade. International pressure increases on both Amber to maintain its security, and Garnet to halt support of extremists. Muscogees flee Savannah setting conditions for humanitarian problem (IDPs). UNSC session meets to discuss resolution. Without a clear-cut international legitimacy, governments around the world continue to monitor the situation. Ongoing U.S military support to Amber/Amberland continues in the form of FID, COIN and CT. Some nations start prudent planning efforts in response to Garnet’s aggressive activity. Amethyst Island 700nm from TC JAN 2013 SOF SSN X NEF (-) RQ-4, RC-135, P3, P8, UNCLASSIFIED II-A-2 MKI ARG/ 11 MEU

3. US Fleet Forces US Marine Corps Forces X MCM/ PON Garnetian Mechanized brigade reinforced crosses Amber border (12Feb) to secure LOCs into Savannah. Intel of Div-sized force mobilizing ivo Macon. Garnet naval forces conduct defensive mining of Savannah. Savannah (Amber) mayor works with Garnet to ‘establish security in the township’. Insurgency activity within Amber and Amberland continues. Piracy and armed robbery incidents continue to occur, Garnet increases arms acquisition. Garnetian reinforcement forces remain positioned along the border, working Strategic Messaging. Garnetian Navy and AF patrolling along the Savannah coast. The Navy commenced SSK and surface ship deployments north of the Amber Straits, deployments from west coast of Garnet begins. International pressure remains. UNSCR 1658 passed (16Feb) condemning XG and imposing embargo and economic sanctions on Garnet. UNSCR 1659 passed (28Feb) demanding compliance with UNSCR 1658. IDP numbers becoming too large for Amber to manage. U.S. and coalition begin planning contingency Ops. Ongoing U.S. military support to Amber/Amberland continues. SECDEF issues WARNORD to US EASTCOM, US State Department talks w/ potential partners. FEB 2013 SOF XG SURF XG SURF XG SSK SSN XX NEF (-) IDP RQ-4, RC-135, P3, P8, UNCLASSIFIED II-A-3 MKI ARG/ 11 MEU

4. US Fleet Forces US Marine Corps Forces MKI ARG/ 11 MEU X MCM/ PON Garnetian Mechanized brigade reinforced remains in Amber securing the primary and secondary LOCs Savannah (Amber) mayor continues to work with Garnet ‘establishing security in the township’ Insurgency activity within Amber and Amberland continues Piracy/armed robbery incidents continue Garnetian reinforcement forces remain positioned along the border, working Strategic Messaging Garnetian Navy and AF continue patrolling along the Savannah coast. The Navy continues SSK and surface ship deployments north of the Amber Straits, west coast subs en route patrols/bases International pressure remains UNSCR 1660 passes (10Mar) condemning Garnet actions and authorizes military actions to halt Garnet aggression and expel Garnet from Amber. IDP numbers continue to grow and have exceeded Amber’s ability to manage. Governments continue to monitor the situation Ongoing U.S. military support to Amber/Amberland continues US ARG/MEU shows support to Amber with visit, ESG-2/2D MEB start embark US State Department continues discussions with other potential partner nations MAR 2013 NEF (-) SOF XG SURF XG SURF XG SSK SSN XX XG SSK IDP RQ-4, RC-135, P3, P8, Amethyst Island 700nm from TC UNCLASSIFIED II-A-4

5. US Fleet Forces US Marine Corps Forces Current Forces in Theater (12Mar13 ~ TLW OPT) TG 84.2 SCRANTON CTG 955.7 MPRG (CPRW-11) CTG 955.5 MIW (NMAWC) CPRW -11 4xP-3C AIP 2xP8 COALITION FORCE HEADQUARTERS CTF 951 CFLCC CTG 955.0 CSG CTF 955 CFMCC CTF 958 JSOTF-TC CTF 959 CFACC/CAOC CTG 955.1 ATF (CPR-5) CTG 955.2 LF (CO 11 MEU) CTG 955.4 TASW (CTF-84) MCMRON 3 PONCE 2xMH-53s EODMUs UNCLASSIFIED CTG 955.6 NEF (CRS-4) MKI ARG CPR-5* MAKIN ISLAND* GREEN BAY* PEARL HARBOR* 11 MEU SOF J LENTHALL WILLIAM MCLEAN White Box: White/Response Cell Blue / Green Box: Training Staff BLUE FONT – Live BFTT RED FONT – Live non-BFTT GREEN FONT – Virtual BLACK FONT – Constructive ORANGE FONT – Unknown at this time *participants are subject to change White Box: White/Response Cell Blue / Green Box: Training Staff BLUE FONT – Live BFTT RED FONT – Live non-BFTT GREEN FONT – Virtual BLACK FONT – Constructive ORANGE FONT – Unknown at this time *participants are subject to change CTG 955.3 LOG TF (CLF EAST) RC-135, RQ-4, Tankers, E- 3, E-8C, EC-130J, EC-130H CRS-4 NMCB-11 (-) MDSU-2 Co 2-4 MCAT IET COMCAM USCG PSU-312 II-A-5 COCOM OPCON Coordination TACON UN WFP IMO EASTCOM (JECG) AMBER/AMBERLAND COUNTRY TEAMS CJTF 950

6. US Fleet Forces US Marine Corps Forces (INTENTIONALLY BLANK) UNCLASSIFIED II-A-6