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Continuity and Change in The Early Modern Global Economy
European World Week Four Continuity and Change in The Early Modern Global Economy Tim Davies
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Lecture Structure Introduction to the world economy, c.1500
Changes in the economy 1500 – 1750… Europe: Population Agriculture Manufacture Trade Historiography The wider world and divergence
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European Economies c. 1500 Rural - Peasantry
Some developments in trade… Genoa and Venice
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View of Genoa in the Sixteenth Century
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European Economies c. 1500 Rural - Peasantry
Some developments in trade… Genoa and Venice Dominance of Italy and Flanders (Belgium) Large gap between rich and poor societies Limited choice (Musgrave)
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The World Beyond Europe
Poly-centric Significance of Asia: Islamic world Transnational interaction Mastery of science, navigation and a sophisticated commercial structure
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A market scene, Constantinople, sixteenth century
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The World Beyond Europe
Poly-centric Significance of Asia: Islamic world Transnational interaction Mastery of science, navigation and a sophisticated commercial structure China Widespread literacy, sophisticated economy Overseas exploration (Zheng He)
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Hongzhi Emperor (Ming Dynasty), 1470-1505
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Zheng He, ( )
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Economic Growth in Europe?
Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, The Peasants of Languedoc = ‘l’histoire immobile’ Low production ceiling…
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Population and Urbanisation
Dramatic population rise in some areas … increased European population as a whole… 75 million in 1500 110 – 120 million in 1700 (De Vries, 1984, p. 36) More of this population lived in towns… Rising prices as demand increased Production (agricultural and manufacture) appears to keep pace
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Agriculture Two periods of agrarian change: 1500 – 1600 1600 – 1750
More intensive use of land 1600 – 1750 Labour efficiencies Mark Overton
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Proto-Industrialisation
F. Mendels, 'Proto-industrialisation: the First Phase of the Industrialisation Process', JEconH, 32 (1972) P. Kriedte, H. Medick and J. Schlumbohm, Industrialization before Industrialization (Cambridge, 1981)
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Proto-Industrialisation
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Proto-Industrialisation
Rural labour; often in tandem with agricultural work Production for a market – using urban-based merchants Low rate of technological change Extensive rather than intensive growth Diversification
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Manufacture Development in certain industries and areas… Mining Iron
Still small scale… Importance of England, Sweden and Holland Although some development elsewhere
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Iron industry in Germany, sixteenth century
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Mining in Germany, sixteenth century
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Antwerp Stock Exchange, 1650
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The English and Dutch East India Companies
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The Role of the State Mercantilism Sixteenth and seventeenth centuries
States and foreign trade Tariffs National banks Bank of Sweden, 1668 Bank of England, 1694
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Some Explanations… Population growth => economic activity => sustained economic growth (Postan) Weak peasant farmers, strong capitalist farmers => enclosure and farming innovations => rapid agricultural growth (Brenner) Enhanced protections of property rights => incentive for profitable activity => sustained economic growth (North)
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Wallerstein and World Systems
Immanuel Wallerstein, The Modern World-System, vol. 1: Capitalist Agriculture and the Origins of the European World Economy in the Sixteenth century (1974) Centre and Periphery…
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World Beyond Europe, c.1750 Ottoman Empire China
Imperial overstretch? China Regime change No more overseas expansion Changes seem quite marked in comparison to Europe: Foreign trade Power of the state – mercantilism Development of Proto-Industry Divergence?
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Stagnation? Not everywhere in Europe experienced such developments. This is important… Economic growth not a normal condition % – 0.08% annually. North/South divide Jan Luiten van Zanden – measuring early modern economic growth
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Conclusions A transition to capitalism?
Owners of capital rather than owners of land New world of choice and variation… But not everyone included Not yet a unified global economy… Beginnings of divergence?
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