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The Israeli Economy
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The Israeli Economy - 2009 Facts & Figures GDP ($Billion) 195.8 Population (7/2010, Million) 7.6 GDP per capita (2008, $ PPP) 27,900 Foreign Trade (% of GDP) 67% Total Exports (% of GDP) 35% Unemployment (7/2010) 6.2% The Israeli Industry Share of business sector 21% Industrial Sales ($Billion) 82.3 Industrial Exports (% of sales) 42.5% Employees360K Main branches: Chemicals, Electronics & Food 2 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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The Israeli Economy: Before the Global Crisis The Manufacturers' Association of Israel 3
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5 Years of Rapid Growth in Israeli Economy 4 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: CBS
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5 Years of Rapid Growth in Israeli Industry 5 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: CBS
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The Israeli Economy: During the Global Crisis The Manufacturers' Association of Israel 6
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Positive Growth in Israel Vs. Regression in Most Developed Countries Source: Merrill Lynch 7 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel 0.7
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Relatively Moderate Regression in Israeli Industry Source: OECD, CBS & MAI Economic Research Department 8 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Economic Policy During the Crisis
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10 Responsible Fiscal Policy Restrained Government Budgetary Deficit As Percentage of GDP Source: Bank of Israel The Manufacturers' Association of Israel * Estimate
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Relatively Low Government Deficit in Israel Source: Eurostat, Israeli Ministry of Finance 11 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Round Table Forum Government Employers Employees Social Partnership Model
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Israel Package Deal in 2009/10 Budget Purpose: Reduce impact of global crisis on the Israeli economy, while Supporting the business sector. Achievements: –Support for the business sector: Investment and direct support - $ 550 Million Increasing state guarantees - $ 1.5 Billion Increasing Medium-sized businesses fund - $ 325 Million –Increasing Domestic Demand: Potential of $ 1 Billion –Maintaining competitiveness: Preventing price increases - property tax, water, electricity, additional taxation - millions of $. The Manufacturers' Association of Israel 13
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Interest Rates of Central Banks O ver the World Expanding Monetary Policy Interest Rates of Central Banks O ver the World % Crisis begins Northern Rock Lehman-Brothers collapse Israel Source: Bank of Israel 14 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Exceptional measures: buying foreign currency & bonds
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Additional Economic Measures Establishing funds to ease credit crunch Leadership statements : Ensuring public deposits in the banking system A safety net to ensure pension savings 15 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel No need to rescue financial institutions
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The Israeli Economy Strengths
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Independent of Outside Funding A Continuing Current Account Surplus Source: CBS & MAI Economic Research Department 17 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Export Oriented Growth in Industry 18 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: CBS & MAI Economic Research Department
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Diversion of Trade to Asian Countries 19 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: CBS & MAI Economic Research Department
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A High Tech oriented Growth - Most of Industrial growth derived from the High Tech Sector Contribution to Source: CBS & MAI Economic Research Department 20 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Relatively Low Household Debt in Israel Household Debt to Disposable Income Ratio 21 Source: Bank of Israel The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Israel’s Unemployment rate is relatively low 22 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: Eurostat, BLS, CBS
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Relatively High Private Saving Rate in Israel Households Net Saving Rate as Percentage of Total Income, 2007 Source: Leumi Bank
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The Banking System Conservative & Supervised 24 % Source: Bank of Israel The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Bank Nonperforming Loans to Total Loans – Low Ratio in Israel 25 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: IMF
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Housing Prices - Relatively Moderate Increase 26 Source: Psagot Investment House The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Nominal Change in Average Apartment Price, 1997-2007
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Upgrading International Status Late 2007 - Early 2008: Raising Israel credit rating by Standard & Poor's, Moody‘sו- Fitch. May 2010: Israel's admission to the OECD. May 2010: Updating Israel classification in MSCI index from a developing to a developed country The Manufacturers' Association of Israel 27
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Responsible Fiscal Policy Persistence 2011-2012 Biennial Budget Increasing certainty and stability - Stimulating growth & investment Long-term planning - Improving the planning processes in government offices Reducing Political pressure and streamlining processes. New Formula to Limit Government Purpose: R educing Debt/GDP ratio while maintaining an adequate level of public services. Formula: The Manufacturers' Association of Israel 28 60% / (Actual Debt/GDP) X (Annual growth rate in the past 10 years) 60% = Target Debt/GDP Ratio According to Maastricht Treaty
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How to Achieve Competitiveness after the Crisis? 1.Reduction of Corporate Tax 2.Nurturing Innovation 3.Increasing Efficiency
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Continuous Reduction of Corporate Tax in Israel The Manufacturers' Association of Israel 30 Source: Israeli Ministry of Finance
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How to Achieve Competitiveness after the Crisis? 1.Reduction of Corporate Tax 2.Nurturing Innovation 3.Increasing Efficiency
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Nurturing Innovation = Israel’s Competitive Edge
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World Leadership in Civilian R&D Investments Source: CBS 33 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Israel 2008 – 4.7%
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High Share of ICT in the Business Sector ICT= Information & Communications Technologies, 2006 Source: CBS 34 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Source: The Global Competitiveness Report 2010-2011, World Economic Forum High Quality of Scientific Research Institutions 35 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Highly Educated Population Source: OECD, CBS 36 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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How to Achieve Competitiveness after the Crisis? 1.Reduction of Corporate Tax 2.Nurturing Innovation 3.Increasing Efficiency
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Continuous Increase in Labor Productivity 38 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: CBS & MAI Economic Research Department
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Employment Flexibility During the Crisis 39 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Real Decrease in Wages at the Israeli Business Sector Source: CBS & MAI Economic Research Department
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Employment Flexibility During the Crisis 40 Source: MAI Economic Research Department, Survey - February 2009 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Concentrated vacation Shortened workweek
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How to Achieve Competitiveness after the Crisis? Israeli Economy Main Challenges Preserving the competitive advantage: R&D, technology, innovation Encouraging foreign direct investment ( Law Changes ) Upgrading the education system Upgrading infrastructures Reducing bureaucracy Encouraging entrepreneurship Raising employment rate The Manufacturers' Association of Israel 41
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2010 Forecasts
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An Accelerated Growth is Expected in 2010 43 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: CBS
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Export Oriented Growth is expected in Israeli Industry, 2010 * Excluding Diamonds 44 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel Source: CBS & MAI Economic Research Department
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Source: IMF & Bank of Israel 45 Relatively Low Unemployment Rate is Expected in Israel, 2011 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Israel’s Growth Outlook – Well Above Developed Countries Average Source: IMF, Merrill Lynch, March 2010. 46 The Manufacturers' Association of Israel
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Thank you Manufacturers’ Association of Israel Daphna Aviram-Nitzan, Head of Economic Research Department Julie Sadeh Zeltcer, Head of Economics Analysis Section Hagit Shmariahu, Economist Eddie Parkansky, Economist Tel. 03-5198806 This publication is also available at the MAI site: www.industry.org.ilwww.industry.org.il For additional information please contact the Economic Research Department’s staff: 47
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