1. Sub-Saharan Africa is a Dark Zone for World Internet: Sounding an Alarm Les Cottrell SLAC, Aziz Rehmatullah NIIT, Jerrod Williams SLAC, Akbar Khan NIIT Presented at the Sharing Knowledge Across the Mediterranean, ICTP, Trieste November 6-8, 2006 http://www.slac.stanford.edu/grp/scs/net/talk06/sub-sahara-ictp-nov06.ppt

2. PingER PingER project originally (1995) for measuring network performance for US, Europe and Japanese HEP community Extended this century to measure Digital Divide: –Collaboration with ICTP Science Dissemination Unit http://sdu.ictp.it http://sdu.ictp.it –ICFA/SCIC: http://icfa-scic.web.cern.ch/ICFA-SCIC/ http://icfa-scic.web.cern.ch/ICFA-SCIC/ Monitor ~30 African countries (~25 sub- Sahara), contain ~75% African population ~120 countries (99% world’s connected population) ~30 monitor sites in 14 countries

3. World Measurements: Min RTT from US Maps show increased coverage Min RTT indicates best possible, i.e. no queuing >600ms probably geo-stationary satellite Between developed regions min-RTT dominated by distance –Little improvement possible Only a few places still using satellite for international access, mainly Africa & Central Asia 20002006

4. Effect of Losses Losses critical, cause multi-second timeouts Typically depend on a bad link, so ~distance independent > 4-6% video-conf irritating, non-native language speakers unable to communicate > 4-5% irritating for interactive telnet, X windows >2.5% VoIP annoying every 30 seconds or so Burst losses of > 1% slightly annoying for VoIP Loss by country weighted by population of country Note increased coverage

5. Unreachability All pings of a set fail ≡ unreachable Shows fragility, ~ distance independent Developed regions US, Canada, Europe, Oceania, E Asia lead –Factor of 10 improvement in 8 years Africa, S. Asia followed by M East & L. America worst off Africa NOT improving US & Canada Europe E Asia C Asia SE Europe SE Asia S Asia Oceania Africa L AmericaM East Russia Developed Regions Developing Regions

6. World thruput seen from US Behind Europe 6 Yrs: Russia, Latin America 7 Yrs: Mid-East, SE Asia 10 Yrs: South Asia 11 Yrs: Cent. Asia 12 Yrs: Africa South Asia, Central Asia, and Africa are in Danger of Falling Even Farther Behind Throughput ~ 1460Bytes / (RTT*sqrt(loss)) (Mathis et al)

7. http://www.internetworldstats.com/ Huge growth ~ 3x lower penetration than any other region huge potential market Many systemic factors: Electricity, import duties, skills, disease, protectionist policies, corruption. 915M people 14% world population, 3.6% of world internet users, mainly in cities Africa

8. Divide within Divide: Africa losses seen from ICTP/SDU Overall Loss performance is poor to bad Factor of 10 difference between Nigeria and Zambia N Africa best, E Africa worst Big differences within regions Poor coverage of Central Africa In 2002, BW/capita ranged from 0.02 to over 40bps - a factor of over 1000

9. Africa: Throughput Large diversity N Africa best E Africa much worse

10. Satellites vs Terrestrial Terrestrial links via SAT3 & SEAMEW (Mediterranean, Red Sea) Terrestrial not available to all within countries PingER min-RTT measurements from S. African TENET monitoring station EASSy fibre for E. Africa Will it share sorry experience of SAT3 for W. Africa? Mike Jensen, Paul Hamilton TENET, S. Africa Satellite $/Mbps 300-1000x fibre costs

11. Fibre Links Future –SAT-3 shareholders such as Telecom Namibia, which has no landing point of its own find it cheaper to use satellite Will EASSy follow suit? Another option to EASSy: since Sudan and Egypt are now connected via fibre, and the link will shortly extend to Ethiopia, there are good options for both Kenya and Uganda/Rwanda and Tanzania to quickly link to the backbones via this route SAT3 connects eight countries on the W coast of the continent to Europe and the Far East. Operating as a cartel of monopoly state-owned telecommunication providers, prices have barely come down since it began operating in 2002 Mike Jensen

12. Routing from S Africa Seen from TENET Cape Town ZA Only Botswana & Zimbabwe are direct Most go via Europe or USA Wastes costly international bandwidth

13. IXPs a Major Issue for African Internet International bandwidth prices are biggest contributor to high costs African users effectively subsidise international transit providers! Fibre optic links are few and expensive  reliance on satellite connectivity High satellite latency  slow speed, high prices Growth of Internet businesses is inhibited In 2003 10 out of 53 countries had IXPs, now 16 More IXPs  lower latency, lower costs, more usage Both national and regional IXPs needed Also needed: regional carriers, more fibre optic infrastructure investment Internet A B IXP Américo Muchanga americo@uem.mz, americo@uem.mz 25 September 2005

14. But there are Obstacles Current providers (cable and satellite) have a lot to loose Many of these have close links to regulators and governments Regulatory regimes on the whole closed and resistant to change Sometimes ISPs themselves are unwilling to co- operate

15. Costs compared to West Sites in many countries have bandwidth< US residence –“10 Meg is Here”, www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=104415 www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=104415 Africa: $5460/Mbps/m –W Africa $8K/Mbps/m –N Africa $520/Mbps/m Often cross-country cost dominates cf. international 1 yr of Internet access > average annual income of most Africans, Survey by Paul Budde Communnications

16. Bandwidth Management For low bandwidth sites management is critical –Block bandwidth wasting spam –Provide web caching services and proxies –Discover and block Denial of Service (DoS) attacks –Optimize bandwidth use: compression, DNS caching, routing, backup routes/DNS, QoS to prioritize important traffic, shaping Need skills & training –E.g. ICTP Optimization Technologies for Low- Bandwidth Networks http://sdu.ictp.it/lowbandwidth/http://sdu.ictp.it/lowbandwidth/

17. Overall (Aug 06) ~ Sorted by Average throughput Within region performance better (black ellipses) Europe, N. America, E. Asia generally good M. East, Oceania, S.E. Asia, L. America acceptable C. Asia, S. Asia poor, Africa bad (>100 times worse) Monitored Country

18. UNDP Human Development Index (HDI) A long and healthy life, as measured by life expectancy at birth Knowledge, as measured by the adult literacy rate (with two-thirds weight) and the combined primary, secondary and tertiary gross enrolment ratio (with one-third weight) A decent standard of living, as measured by GDP per capita. PingER thru Strong Correlation Even stronger for TAI Non subjective Quicker / easier to update

19. Med. & Africa vs HDI N. Africa has 10 times poorer performance than Europe Croatia has 13 times better performance than Albania Israel has 8 times better performance than rest of M East Med. Countries E. Africa poor, limited by satellite access W. Africa big differences, some (Senegal) can afford SAT3 fibre others use satellite Great diversity between & within regions

20. Scenario Cases 1.School in a secondary town in an East Coast country with networked computer lab spends 2/3rds of its annual budget to pay for the dial- up connection. –Disconnects 2. Telecentre in a country with fairly good connectivity has no connectivity –The telecentre resorts to generating revenue from photocopies, PC training, CD Roms for content 3. Primary health care giver, somewhere in Africa, with sonar machine, digital camera and arrangement with national academic hospital and/or international health institute to assist in diagnostics. After 10 dial-up attempts, she abandons attempts to connect. Heloise Emdon, Acacia Southern Africa UNDP Global Meeting for ICT for Development, Ottawa 10-13 July 4. The country’s banks are connected via VSAT-based Private Telephone Network (PTN, VPNs) with other branches in Africa and with headquarters in Europe –Makes real time transactions –Communication costs >20% of branch overheads

21. Conclusions Last mile problems, and network fragility Decreasing use of satellites, expensive, but still needed for many remote countries in Africa and C. Asia Africa ~ 10 years behind and falling further behind, leads to “information famine” E. Africa factor of 100 behind Europe –EASSy project will bring fibre to E. Africa, hopefully better access than SAT3 Africa big target of opportunity –Growth in # users 2000-2005 200%, Africa 625% –Need more competitive pricing Fibre competition, government divest for access, low cost VSAT licenses Consortiums to aggregate & get better pricing ($/BW reduces with BW) –Need better routing - IXPs –Need training & skills for optimal bandwidth management Internet performance correlates strongly with UNDP development indices –Increase coverage of monitoring to understand Internet performance

22. More information Acknowledgements: –Harvey Newman and ICFA/SCIC for a raison d’etre, ICTP for contacts and education on Africa, Mike Jensen for Africa information, NIIT/Pakistan, Maxim Grigoriev (FNAL), Warren Matthews (GATech) for ongoing code development for PingER, USAID MoST/Pakistan for development funding, SLAC for support for ongoing management/operations support of PingER PingER –www-iepm.slac.stanford.edu/pinger, sdu.ictp.it/pinger/africa.htmlwww-iepm.slac.stanford.edu/pinger sdu.ictp.it/pinger/africa.html Human Development –http://www.gapminder.org/http://www.gapminder.org/ Role of Internet Exchanges –event-africa- networking.web.cern.ch/event%2Dafrica%2Dnetworking/workshop/slides/The% 20Role%20of%20Internet%20Exchanges.pptevent-africa- networking.web.cern.ch/event%2Dafrica%2Dnetworking/workshop/slides/The% 20Role%20of%20Internet%20Exchanges.ppt Case Studies: –https://confluence.slac.stanford.edu/display/IEPM/Sub- Sahara+Case+Studyhttps://confluence.slac.stanford.edu/display/IEPM/Sub- Sahara+Case+Study –http://sdu.ictp.it/lowbandwidth/program/case-studies/index.htmlhttp://sdu.ictp.it/lowbandwidth/program/case-studies/index.html