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‘ CLIMATE CHANGE’-The macro –micro link Indian Network on Ethics & Climate Change (INECC) Youth Summit, Guwahati May 2011
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The Macro Perspective
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Temperature Anomaly & Projections – (2090 – 2099)
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Disaster? Or Catastrophe?
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5 Inter-linkage between CC, Depletion of Natural Resources & Poverty Accelerated Global Climatic Changes Evidence of Changes in Local Climate Depletion of Resources Industrial Processes to serve demand Greenhouse gas emissions Demand from urban elites Raw materials needed for Industries LIFESTYLESTECHNOLOGY
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Who is Responsible? Mainly Industrial countries Over 80% of CO2 emissions in last 150 years from richer countries
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But who suffers? The poor not only are most impacted by the problem of climate change but are low energy (carbon) users and therefore do not contribute to the Climate problem!
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India’s Fuel Share of Energy Consumption Energy Consumption
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Can we sustain a continuation of past trends of energy use ? 11 Energy security: Where will all the coal and oil come from? Infrastructure: How will all this energy be transported/handl ed? Environment: What will be the implications on local and global environment? Source: TERI
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Energy Mix Under Alternative Scenarios 12 TERI
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Village Electrification (June 2009) STATESPERCENTAGE OF UNELECTRIFIED VILLAGES JHARKHAND68.9 ORISSA44.2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH43.2 TRIPURA42.8 MEGHALAYA40.7 BIHAR38.7 NAGALAND35.6 RAJASTHAN30.8 ASSAM21.4
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Source / Systems Estimated PotentialCumulative Installed Capacity (as on 31.03.05) (MW) Potential Utilised (%) Wind Power 45000 3595 7.98 Biomass Power 16000 303 1.89 Bagasse Co-generation 3500 447 12.80 Small Hydro (up to 25 MW) 15000 1706 11.37 Waste to Energy Municipal Solid Waste Industrial Waste 1700 1000 17 30 1 2.95 Solar 20 MW /sq km. 3 Negligible 22 GW by 2022 Total 7000 Source: Akshay Urja: Renewable Energy March-June Vol 1. Issue 2&3, 2005 Estimated Potential & Utilised Potential - Renewable Energy
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Our Stake In The Climate Change Issue Impact of climate change will affect us all drastically The issue raises the question of model of development that is being followed today and the issue of social justice India’s emissions are increasing and we have to address this issue at some point
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The Key Issue Industrial World responsible for emissions in the past but the Developing countries will increase emissions in the future The Developed World cannot solve the Climate Crisis on its own Issues of Poverty & Development will have to be addressed if developing countries have to be part of the solution
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Underlying equations and questions! Energy consumption= Fossil fuel use=increased emissions=climate crisis Energy = Growth Growth related to development? What is the nature of development that we seek?
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What Should We Do? Reduce Dependence on Fossil Fuels – Reduced GHG emissions Explore Renewable Energy sources like Sun, Wind, Biomass, Water etc. (DEOs)-a vital approach in Indian Scenario (56%) – Reduces GHG emissions – Resources for generating power is locally available – Develops local ownership and control – Ensures sustainability of Development Support vulnerable communities adapt Make Sustainable Lifestyle Choices
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Way Ahead Delink Emissions from Development Define an Alternate Paradigm to development which is a ‘Low Carbon Pathway’
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THANK- YOU!
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