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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [1][1] MUMM’s Operational Tools and Services for Belgian.

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Presentation on theme: "Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM [1][1] MUMM’s Operational Tools and Services for Belgian."— Presentation transcript:

1 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [1][1] MUMM’s Operational Tools and Services for Belgian Coastal Waters Ozer, J. The status of European coastal observing and forecasting Systems. Majorca, 22 nd to 24 th October 2007

2 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [2][2] Structure  MUMM  The forecasting system (OPTOS).  Examples of uses of model forecast  Examples of management issues the system (can) help to address.  Forecast accuracy?  Future plans

3 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [3][3] MUMM http://www.mumm.ac.be http://www.mumm.ac.be  Management Unit of North Sea Mathematical Models  Department of the Belgian Royal Institute of Natural Sciences  Modeling: understanding the functioning of the North Sea ecosystem; develop forecasting capabilities  Monitoring: collect marine information (http://www.mumm.ac.be/datacentre)http://www.mumm.ac.be/datacentre  Management: representing Belgium in a number of intergovernmental conventions – Provide scientific advices on environmental issues.

4 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [4][4] OPTOS : hydro  COHERENS: “A coupled Hydrodynamical-Ecological Model for Regional and Shelf Sea” (Luyten et al., 1999).  Various implementations  Forcings - Tides - Atmospheric forecast (UK Met. Office)

5 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [5][5] Optos implementation

6 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [6][6] Optos : Wave  Core: Hypas 2 nd generation model  3 implementations: North Sea, Southern Bight, BCZ  Forcings: wind + sea surface elevation (BCZ)

7 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [7][7] Optos Wave

8 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [8][8] Optos Wave

9 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [9][9] OPTOS  Run twice a days  Time window: 5 days  UK Met. forecasts  Web access: http://www.mumm.ac.be/EN/Models/Operational/forecast s.php http://www.mumm.ac.be/EN/Models/Operational/forecast s.php  ftp boxes: sea surface elevation (NOOS, SEPRISE), transports through North Sea cross sections (NOOS), Waves (SEPRISE)

10 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [10] http://www.mumm.ac.be/EN/Models/Operational/foreca sts.php

11 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [11] SEPRISE http://www.eurogoos.org/sepdemo/

12 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [12] NOOS: http//www.noos.cc

13 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [13] Optos services  Model results available through ftp boxes.  In case of needs we can forecast the drift of a floating object.  In case of needs, the zooming procedure allows an application of COHERENS in some specific areas.  In case of needs, we can compute the transport of sediments in a specific area.

14 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [14] OPTOS: Float  Drift due to surface currents and wind  Surface current from Optos_NOS and Optos_BCZ  Surface wind form Met. Office  Downwind and crosswind leeway  Time window: 10 days

15 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [15] Optos: float

16 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [16] Sediment transport

17 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [17] Re-analysis

18 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [18] Observations:  RT: Meetnet Vlaamse Banken http://www.vliz.be/vmdcdata/midas/mvb.php?listpar http://www.vliz.be/vmdcdata/midas/mvb.php?listpar  NRT: SST, SPM, Ocean colour (remote sensing) http://www.mumm.ac.be/OceanColour  NRT: SST, SSS (Beligca) http://www.mumm.ac.be/EN/Monitoring/Belgica/odas.php http://www.mumm.ac.be/EN/Monitoring/Belgica/odas.php  Delay mode: e.g. ADCP moorings

19 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [19] Quality control

20 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [20] Quality control

21 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [21] Quality control

22 Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM http://www.mumm.ac.be/ [22] Future plans  Improved OBC: coupling with models covering a wider area (ECOOP, MyOcean?)  Ecosystem models in pre-operational mode (ECOOP)  New COHERENS version: ODON –massive parallellisation on multi-processor machines using non-shared memory –Data assimilation: EnKF

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