2. Air Operations Branch Director Course Safety Part 2 Risk Management U.S. AIR FORCE AUXILIARY U.S. AIR FORCE AUXILIARY

3. Overview Risk Management Methodology Safety Issues

4. Risk Management Methodology Overview TerminologyProcessWorksheetPrinciples

5. Risk Management Methodology Terms Risk: The probability during a period of activity that a hazard (potential for accident or adverse event) will result in a loss with definable consequences –This idea can be used beyond the realm of safety – there may be risks to effectiveness, legal risks, etc.

6. Risk Management Methodology Terminology Risk Assessment: The process of anticipating or detecting hazards and systematically assessing their overall risk level –Likelihood: How likely is the risk? –Impact: How serious is the consequence? impact likelihood High risk

7. Risk Management Methodology Terminology Risk Management: The practice of actively seeking to identify risks and consciously choosing strategies to deal with those risks before they happen.

8. Risk Management Methodology Terminology Strategies - –Mitigate: alter plan to reduce risk level Reduce impact and/or likelihood May include “contingency plans” –Avoid: stop plan or take a course that fundamentally eliminates the risk –Accept: decide that, in balance, the risk is acceptable careful! Use this only when risk level is very low or need is extremely high

9. Risk Management Methodology 5 Step Risk Management Process Plan the activity Identify and assess the risk Weigh risk potential vs. need –Accept/Stop/Alter plans based on risks Implement the plan Monitor, evaluate and learn

10. Risk Management Worksheet Projected Risk Associated Risk Level Action Taken LowMidHigh

11. Risk Management Principles This is not a theoretical exercise! Get everyone involved Assessment must be made as early as possible so that decision can be made and action altered Subordinates must communicate risk identification immediately for it to be useful Risk identification and assessment after the fact does nothing to manage risk

12. Risk Identification Techniques Risk identification checklists search for pre-identified, generic risks CAPR 60-3 Attachment 3 Decision driver analysis study how decisions were made, searching for common erroneous patterns (examples: avoiding outside help, politics, tunnel vision) Assumption analysis study underlying assumptions, consider Murphy’s law Decomposition break problem into smaller pieces; look for undiscovered issues

13. Risk Management Checklist CAPR 60-3 Attachment 3 Example checklist question categories How much experience does the mission staff have? Does the current communications system in place adequately meet your needs? What kind of weather are aircrews operating in? Have aircrews been adequately briefed so that they can effectively and safely complete their assigned tasks? What is the overall condition of the vehicles being used on the mission?

14. Events or Observations Often Call For Immediate Communication Each individual should communicate important safety information to his/her supervisor in a timely manner Each person and supervisor should consider who else would benefit from information about the event or observation –A sortie should call mission base by radio and pass information immediately when that information would benefit other sorties

15. Example Issues Requiring Immediate Communication Hazardous or significant weather change observed Unexpected military air operations observed Criminal activity observed –In some circumstances communication might be delayed, if that is deemed the safer course of action

16. Mitigation Strategies: Three General Ways of Reducing Risk Engineering control Process control Communication/training control

17. Mitigation Strategies: Three General Ways of Reducing Risk Engineering control – making a physical change to the environment or using specific tools Examples: Taping down a loose extension cord Setting up a warning sign or perimeter tape Wearing orange safety vests in the woods Arranging for hand-washing facilities along with sanitary facilities. Equipping ground teams with BBP exposure control kits

18. Mitigation Strategies: Three General Ways of Reducing Risk Process control – defining the way one works Examples: Mission briefings and CAP flight releases Requiring period radio check- ins A pilot choosing to get flight- following from ATC

19. Mitigation Strategies: Three General Ways of Reducing Risk Communication/training control – making individuals aware of a risk and how to control it Examples: Briefing aircrews on a specific risk on a mission like radio towers in the search area instructing ground teams to check themselves for ticks

20. Questions?