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8 Campaigns and Elections Democracy in Action
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Elections: The Rules of the Game
8.1 Elections: The Rules of the Game Regularly Scheduled Elections Fixed, Staggered, and Sometimes Limited Terms Term Limits Winner Take All The Electoral College
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Regularly Scheduled Elections
8.1 Regularly Scheduled Elections Elections held at fixed intervals Party in power cannot change date Congressional elections held on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November of even-numbered year Presidential elections every four years
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Fixed, Staggered, and Sometimes Limited Terms
8.1 Fixed, Staggered, and Sometimes Limited Terms Fixed Terms of Office U.S. Representative = 2 years U.S. Senator = 6 years President = 4 years Staggered Terms of Office All House members run every two years Only 1/3 of Senate also run every two years
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Term Limits 8.1 President limited to two terms
Twenty-Second Amendment Efforts to limit terms of state legislators State-level limits largely adopted in 1990s Proposals for federal office limits defeated by Congress and Supreme Court
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Winner Take All 8.1 Plurality of votes wins Single-member districts
Majority is not required Favors moderates Single-member districts Usually only one winner per office In combination with winner-take-all system, virtually guarantees two-party system Proportional representation
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The Electoral College 8.1 Electoral system
Number of electors same as number of representatives and senators Electors vote for candidate who wins state Candidate with majority of electoral votes wins If no majority, House of Reps. chooses Electoral College influences politics Candidates must win in most populous states 2000 Election – Al Gore
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8.1 TABLE 8.1: 2004, 2008, and 2012 battleground states
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8.2 Counting Votes Different types of ballots Subject to miscounts
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Counting Votes 8.2 Absentee ballots and mail voting
Importance of poll workers Determining who can vote
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Running for Congress 8.3 The House of Representatives
Most House races are not competitive Partisan gerrymandering
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8.3 FIGURE 8.1: Safe and competitive House seats, 2000–2010
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Running for Congress 8.3 The Senate Better financed than House races
Midterm elections
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8.3 FIGURE 8.2: Seats gained or lost by the president’s party in midterm elections, 1974–2010
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The House of Representatives
8.3 The House of Representatives Mounting a primary campaign Fundraising Personal organization Media visibility Campaigning for the general election More voters than primary Partisanship is more important Name recognition for incumbents and funding
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The Senate 8.3 Higher profile Higher cost of Senate campaigns
Six-year terms Higher cost of Senate campaigns Interest groups often commit more money to competitive races in smaller states
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8.3 Figure 8.3: Rising campaign costs in congressional general elections
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8.3 The Senate Incumbency advantage Not as great as U.S. House
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Running for President 8.4 Stage 1: The Nomination
Stage 2: The National Party Convention Stage 3: The General Election
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Stage 1: The Nomination 8.4 Presidential primaries
Delegates and superdelegates Various types of primaries “Front loading”
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Stage 1: The Nomination 8.4 Caucuses and conventions Strategies
Delegates selected by party members Strategies Appeal to partisanship in primaries Appeal to moderates in general elections
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Stage 2: The National Party Convention
8.4 Stage 2: The National Party Convention The party platform Defines the direction a party wants to take on policy The vice presidential nominee Choice attracts wide media attention The value of conventions Nomination by petition Must meet each state’s ballot access requirements
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Stage 3: The General Election
8.4 Stage 3: The General Election Presidential debates “Joint appearance” instead of true debate Television and radio advertising More aggressive in battleground states Target ads to specific audiences
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Stage 3: The General Election
8.4 Stage 3: The General Election The Outcome State of the economy probably most deciding factor of who wins
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Money in U.S. Elections 8.5 Efforts at Reform
Continuing Problems with Campaign Finance
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Efforts at Reform 8.5 The Federal Election Campaign Act
Followed by creation of the Federal Election Commission Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (BCRA) Soft money Contribution limits and disclosure Independent expenditures
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8.5 FIGURE 8.4: Presidential primary cumulative receipts, 2011–2012 (millions of dollars)
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8.5 FIGURE 8.5: Super PACs and million dollar donors
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Continuing Problems with Campaign Finance
8.5 Continuing Problems with Campaign Finance Costly campaigns only for the wealthy Incumbents have the advantage PAC money goes to incumbents
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8.5 TABLE 8.2: Average campaign expenditures of candidates for House of Representatives, 1988–2010 general election
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8.5 FIGURE 8.6: How PACs and others allocated campaign contributions to House candidates, 2009–2010
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Continuing Problems with Campaign Finance
8.5 Continuing Problems with Campaign Finance Candidates’ personal wealth Growth in individual contributions and use of the Internet to fund campaigns
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Improving Elections 8.6 Reforming Campaign Finance
Reforming the Nominating Process Reforming the Electoral College The Importance of Elections
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Reforming Campaign Finance
8.6 Reforming Campaign Finance Regulation of presidential campaign contributions More aggressive reform than BCRA Reform of the FEC
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Reforming the Nominating Process
8.6 Reforming the Nominating Process Reasons for reform Disproportionate influence of the early primary states
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8.6 FIGURE 8.7: Voter turnout in the 2008 presidential primaries
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Reforming the Nominating Process
8.6 Reforming the Nominating Process Reasons for reform Strong ideological bias of primary voters Difficulty in producing a clear winner Proportional voting Role of superdelegates
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Reforming the Electoral College
8.6 Reforming the Electoral College Direct popular election of president Most frequently proposed reform Would give every voter equal weight Opposition to reform Would undermine federalism Encourage unrestrained majority rule Would hurt most competitive states
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The Importance of Elections
8.6 The Importance of Elections Elections are complex The rules of the game affect how it is played Rules can be changed Elections are central to democracy Outcome must have legitimacy Elections have undergone structural and institutional improvements Participation still most important aspect
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