1. FLOOD FORECASTING IN THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA TRAINING WORKSHOP ON FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT September 27 – October 1 2010, Istanbul, TURKEY FLOOD FORECASTING IN THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA Vasko STOJOV HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICE – MACEDONIA vasko@meteo.gov.mk

2. ... Since absolute flood protection is almost impossible, flood forecasting is the only chance to avoid catastrophe.

3. Introduction LOCATION

4. Relief-Map

5. Climatic conditions - In the higher regions of the country exist mountainous climate with various subtypes; -In the other parts is changing from continental to variable continental; -In the river Vardar valley and in the lower parts of some tributaries exist Sub- Mediterranean climate.

6. Map of the main catchments Aegean See 1,2,4,5 Adriatic See 3 Black See 6

7. Hydrographical Map

8. Hydro-net

9. Most flooded area

10. Flood Forecasting Activities Collection and processing of Hydrometeorological data Analysing meteorological products; Receiving Weather Forecast; Analysing hydrological data; Water Forecast; Hydrological Information and Alarming.

11. Flood Forecasting Activities Collection and processing of Hydrometeorological data Analysing meteorological products; Receiving Weather Forecast; Analysing hydrological data; Water Forecast; Hydrological Information and Alarming.

12. Collection and processing of Meteorological data; Hydrological data;

13. Analysing meteorological products Satellite Maps -EUMETSAT; Internet Maps -Wetterzentrale; -Meteo Blue; NMM Maps; -temperature; -air pressure; -precipitation; -wind direction; -cloud cover Forecast Meteograms.

14. Receiving weather forecast and alarming

15. Hydrological Analysing Hydrological Data;

16. Flood forecasting of the upper catchment of the r.Vardar Hydrological Station Info Hydrological Station Rain Gauge Station

17. Graph-analytical method for Flood Forecasting Estimation of average precipitation for relevant catchments;

18. Graph-analytical method

20. Hydrological Information and Alarming Crisis Management Centre Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management Ministry of Ecology and Urban Planning Public and Media

21. Modernization With our NMM model weather prediction is on very high level, but for better water forecast we need modernization of our hydrological and meteorological network and hydrological forecast model.

22. Reality

23. Thank you for your attention!