2. The future perspectives of applications of artificial neural networks for diagnostics, modeling, and control in science and industry (methods, results, demonstrations & hands-on) Victor S. Abrukov (2008) e-mail: abrukov@yandex.ru Chuvash State University, Russia Department of Thermo Physics

3. Outline 1. Conclusions!? What do we know? 2. Introduction to the 3d-Seminar. Marriage and Dissolving of Marriage (with support of Russian Foundation for Basic Research, grant 07-06- 00277) Ex-1: Marriage and Dissolving of Marriage (with support of Russian Foundation for Basic Research, grant 07-06- 00277) Ex-2: Tasks that have been solved by BasegroupLab Future. Educational Systems Ex-3: Future. Educational Systems Future. Terrorism Modeling Ex-4: Future. Terrorism Modeling 3. Conclusions!! R&D Projects

4. Conclusions!? What do we know? ANN can solve the inverse and direct problem easy and fast in spite of incompleteness of your data. ANN can solve problems of modeling, recognition, predictions, and control in science and engineering.

5. Conclusions!? What you must know! There are examples of many other ANN applications: condition monitoring, fault diagnosis, industrial control, medical and diagnostic systems; image processing, adaptive filtration and recognition; smart machine and computer vision, authentification systems, environmental monitoring, power electronics and drives, high voltage systems, electronic noses, engine control and vehicle applications, "smart Landers", searching of specific attributes and elimination of noise in complex electrical signals, engine control, tracking system of a state of equipment, intelligent flight control system, solving of adaptive nonlinear filtering of aircraft movement parameters for processing the radar-tracking information at a knot, detection and support of movement trajectories, control scheme for industrial hard-coal combustion process in a power plant, accurate determination of an unmanned underwater vehicle's hydrodynamic parameters, self-sufficiency (autonomy) of space vehicle flight in conditions of supernumerary situations, for diagnostics of petroleum, for determination of a velocity profile of a fluid flow in cross- section of the pipe line with the help of a ultrasonic method, for segmentation of the complex images. There are examples of many other ANN applications: condition monitoring, fault diagnosis, industrial control, medical and diagnostic systems; image processing, adaptive filtration and recognition; smart machine and computer vision, authentification systems, environmental monitoring, power electronics and drives, high voltage systems, electronic noses, engine control and vehicle applications, "smart Landers", searching of specific attributes and elimination of noise in complex electrical signals, engine control, tracking system of a state of equipment, intelligent flight control system, solving of adaptive nonlinear filtering of aircraft movement parameters for processing the radar-tracking information at a knot, detection and support of movement trajectories, control scheme for industrial hard-coal combustion process in a power plant, accurate determination of an unmanned underwater vehicle's hydrodynamic parameters, self-sufficiency (autonomy) of space vehicle flight in conditions of supernumerary situations, for diagnostics of petroleum, for determination of a velocity profile of a fluid flow in cross- section of the pipe line with the help of a ultrasonic method, for segmentation of the complex images. About smart sensors and MEMS, see, please on http://www.sensorsportal.com/ About smart sensors and MEMS, see, please on http://www.sensorsportal.com/ http://www.sensorsportal.com/

6. Conclusions!? What you must believe in! ANN technologies could be considered as a powerful tool, which supports high contact of experiment, theory, computer simulation and calculation. ANN technologies could be considered as a powerful tool, which supports high contact of experiment, theory, computer simulation and calculation.

7. Introduction. What we do not know else? How do ANN work in socio economical areas. How do ANN work in socio economical areas.

8. The goal The goal The goal of the seminar is: Share an experience Share an experience Discuss recent and future ANN application in socio economic areas Discuss recent and future ANN application in socio economic areas And of course - Learn how ANN can be applied to your data (if you have it) And of course - Learn how ANN can be applied to your data (if you have it)

9. IntroductionIntroduction (main!) No Life without Neural Networks !

10. Data Base You know there are three ways for creation Data Base: 1. 1. Real experiment 2. 2. Numeral experiment 3. 3. Analytical Solution Item 2 and 3 may not be used directly because math equations do not reflect a real life, because there are too many variables that reflect a real life.

11. Data Analysis What is the best way for analysis of real experimental data you know! It is Artificial Intelligence (Knowledge Discovery Data Base, Data Mining, Artificial Neural Networks)

12. Ex-1: Marriage and Dissolving of Marriage

13. Ex-1: Marriage and Dissolving of Marriage

14. Ex-1

15. Ex-1

16. Ex-1

17. Ex-1

18. Ex-1

19. Ex-2: BasegroupLab Development Credit scoring solutions (risk assessment) Credit scoring solutions (risk assessment) Analysis of Moscow real estate market. The goal is to estimate the investment attractiveness of the projects Analysis of Moscow real estate market. The goal is to estimate the investment attractiveness of the projects

20. Ex - 2 Forecasting the Financial Markets Forecasting the Financial Markets Market segmenting methods Market segmenting methods Market behavior modeling Market behavior modeling Analysis of the Ryazan city mass-media market with the help of Kohonen self- organizing maps Analysis of the Ryazan city mass-media market with the help of Kohonen self- organizing maps

21. Future. Educational System Diagnostics of a modern state, analysis, and forecasting of dynamics of a system of education (on a level of an University, and a level of a region, and of the level of Russia. Diagnostics of a modern state, analysis, and forecasting of dynamics of a system of education (on a level of an University, and a level of a region, and of the level of Russia. From the point of view of ANN, a main condition is a good Data Base. It is a very much difficult task requiring of usage of the advanced technologies of collecting (Data Warehouse). But even this technology can not ensure the solution of a set of problems From the point of view of ANN, a main condition is a good Data Base. It is a very much difficult task requiring of usage of the advanced technologies of collecting (Data Warehouse). But even this technology can not ensure the solution of a set of problems

22. Future. Ed-System - 1 Alongside with the DW, it is necessary to use and other ideas. Alongside with the DW, it is necessary to use and other ideas. Here, from the point of view of learning of separate sub processes in an Ed-System, usage of mathematical models of different mechanical, physical and chemical phenomena is perspective Here, from the point of view of learning of separate sub processes in an Ed-System, usage of mathematical models of different mechanical, physical and chemical phenomena is perspective

23. Future. Ed-System - 2 For example, an interesting model of self- organizing of a system during a transition of slow combustion to detonation exists in a combustion science. For example, an interesting model of self- organizing of a system during a transition of slow combustion to detonation exists in a combustion science. This model consists of both positive and negative feedback, both a recovering and destruction of a system. It can be utilized for creation of invented Data Base for modeling of self-organizing (self- recovering and self-destruction) of a system of education This model consists of both positive and negative feedback, both a recovering and destruction of a system. It can be utilized for creation of invented Data Base for modeling of self-organizing (self- recovering and self-destruction) of a system of education

24. Future. Terrorism Modeling Future. Terrorism Modeling Terrorism prevention problems: discovering of dangerous situations, forecasting of them as well as their management are in the center of world community attention for all XX century and XXI also Terrorism prevention problems: discovering of dangerous situations, forecasting of them as well as their management are in the center of world community attention for all XX century and XXI also The resolution of the General Assembly of the United Nations and the Resolution of Security Council 1368 and 1373 dated September, 12 and 28, 2001 called all the countries - members of the United Nations to cooperation in struggle against the international terrorism The resolution of the General Assembly of the United Nations and the Resolution of Security Council 1368 and 1373 dated September, 12 and 28, 2001 called all the countries - members of the United Nations to cooperation in struggle against the international terrorism There is the special NATO Science Program [1] dealing with these problems. But we can mark here that many scientific meetings dealing with these problems are focused on particular concrete problems and strategies rather than general problems and strategies related to terrorism There is the special NATO Science Program [1] dealing with these problems. But we can mark here that many scientific meetings dealing with these problems are focused on particular concrete problems and strategies rather than general problems and strategies related to terrorism

25. Future. Terrorism Modeling But we have no solutions till now But we have no solutions till now What is the reasons? What is the reasons? May be the methods we have used before for modeling are insufficient? Terrorism is a complex socio economic system (SES). Terrorism is a complex socio economic phenomenon (SEP) involving political, religious, socio, economic, cultural as well as others aspects Therefore a solving of terrorism prevention problems demands a development of new methods of data revealing and collection as well as modeling of terrorism by means of most modern methods (KDD, DM, ANN) as well as Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a whole Therefore a solving of terrorism prevention problems demands a development of new methods of data revealing and collection as well as modeling of terrorism by means of most modern methods (KDD, DM, ANN) as well as Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a whole

26. Future. Terrorism Modeling Among concrete tasks we can mark here as the first the data collection (Data Warehouse) through literature sources (news articles, Internet materials, technical analyses, expert experience in particular from a point of a creation of intended scenarios of terroristic attacks, etc.). Among concrete tasks we can mark here as the first the data collection (Data Warehouse) through literature sources (news articles, Internet materials, technical analyses, expert experience in particular from a point of a creation of intended scenarios of terroristic attacks, etc.). During that, simultaneously with that, we need to develop new AI terrorism models, explicate consistent, logical, and rigorous relationships between all aspects of terrorism, reveal roots of terrorism, its contemporary trends, create models of terrorist organizations, uncover early indicators of future terrorist actions, etc During that, simultaneously with that, we need to develop new AI terrorism models, explicate consistent, logical, and rigorous relationships between all aspects of terrorism, reveal roots of terrorism, its contemporary trends, create models of terrorist organizations, uncover early indicators of future terrorist actions, etc

27. Future. Terrorism Modeling The construction of terrorism models is very hard work and an enough long way. But, unfortunately, as it would think, we cannot hope to win the terrorism in a nearest future. Therefore, in the long run, real success in the war on terror requires building of real working terrorism models.

28. Conclusions! R&D Projects - 1 The creation of a global ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) solution of “Inverse and direct problems of optics” for all integral optical and non-optical methods of diagnostics, testing, and control by means of one-point measurement The creation of a global ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) solution of “Inverse and direct problems of optics” for all integral optical and non-optical methods of diagnostics, testing, and control by means of one-point measurement Application area is everywhere were optical and non-optical techniques is using Application area is everywhere were optical and non-optical techniques is using Devices will become simpler and faster Devices will become simpler and faster

29. R&D Projects - 1 We need. To create a `Data Base of input and output values of “Inverse and direct problems of optics” by means of solution of direct task, based on simple numeral calculation of integral equations. That have to be done for all possible symmetry of objects. To create a `Data Base of input and output values of “Inverse and direct problems of optics” by means of solution of direct task, based on simple numeral calculation of integral equations. That have to be done for all possible symmetry of objects. After that we will be able to create the global ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control by means of one-point measurement of signal to be registered for various optical and non-optical methods. After that we will be able to create the global ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control by means of one-point measurement of signal to be registered for various optical and non-optical methods. Addition. Addition. In the framework we can solve a task of remote sensing by means of laser scattering technique (for example for ecological monitoring of environment), because the approach to be used is the same In the framework we can solve a task of remote sensing by means of laser scattering technique (for example for ecological monitoring of environment), because the approach to be used is the same

30. R&D Projects - 2 The development of an automatic system for features extraction and recognition oscillograms (patterns, waveforms) for automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control of engineering devices, for smart sensors, soft sensors, smart watch by means of ANN (Data Mining tools) The development of an automatic system for features extraction and recognition oscillograms (patterns, waveforms) for automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control of engineering devices, for smart sensors, soft sensors, smart watch by means of ANN (Data Mining tools)

31. R&D Projects - 2 We need. To create a Data Base of a set of input parameters (set of examples) that correspond to various state of a device to be diagnosed, tested and controlled. That has to be done for an every kinds of device during its working. To create a Data Base of a set of input parameters (set of examples) that correspond to various state of a device to be diagnosed, tested and controlled. That has to be done for an every kinds of device during its working. After that we will be able to create the ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control by means of well-known procedures of ANN training. After that we will be able to create the ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control by means of well-known procedures of ANN training. After that we will be able to make an ANN based chip to diagnostics, testing and control. After that we will be able to make an ANN based chip to diagnostics, testing and control. Addition. Addition. In a case of PC-based ANN we will be able to make an ANN based tool to diagnostics, testing and control that can be adapt during life cycle of device. In a case of PC-based ANN we will be able to make an ANN based tool to diagnostics, testing and control that can be adapt during life cycle of device.

32. The first results of R&D - 2

33. Other R&D Projects The NUS as a exclusive Asia representative of BasegroupLab (students, postgraduate students, and professionals teaching as well as promotion) in the areas of science and engineering, banking and financial activity, market and actuary The NUS as a exclusive Asia representative of BasegroupLab (students, postgraduate students, and professionals teaching as well as promotion) in the areas of science and engineering, banking and financial activity, market and actuary

34. Other R&D Projects Development of DDT control system for PDE as well as for other devices (engines) and areas where special kind of electrical discharges (with a stabilization upon current or voltage) could be used Development of DDT control system for PDE as well as for other devices (engines) and areas where special kind of electrical discharges (with a stabilization upon current or voltage) could be used

35. Other R&D Projects There are a very large Data Base of propellant combustion experimental data (in Russia). There are other Data Base like above (USA, Japan) There are a very large Data Base of propellant combustion experimental data (in Russia). There are other Data Base like above (USA, Japan) But it have no Artificial Intelligence (Data Fusor, Data Mining, ANN, etc) But it have no Artificial Intelligence (Data Fusor, Data Mining, ANN, etc) If we could do that the price of the Data Base grows on 2 orders! If we could do that the price of the Data Base grows on 2 orders! The scientific values on 3 orders! The scientific values on 3 orders!

36. Other R&D Projects Development of nano size devices and coverings based on line-chain carbon for microelectronic ( Development of nano size devices and coverings based on line-chain carbon for microelectronic (Field Emission Displays, X-ray tubes, Light Emitting Devises, etc) as well as Medicine

37. Now your practice? Do you have own data? Do you have own data?

38. Conclusion Thank you very much for your attention! See you later! P.S. Do you like play? Play with your Artificial Neural Networks Life Device. You have no it? Create! It help you to live! Have a nice day!