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Published byAnthony Melton Modified over 9 years ago
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Regional Outlook Bernard M. Markstein Director of Forecasting April, 2007
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History and Forecast
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10.0 to 0 0 to -10.0 Less Than -10.0 More than 10.0 US: 4.8% Total Starts Growth Q4 2005 vs. Q4 2004 (%)
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Total Starts Growth Q4 2006 vs. Q4 2005 (%) 10.0 to 0 0 to -10.0 Less Than -10.0 More than 10.0 US: -24.3%
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Total Starts Growth Q4 2007 vs. Q4 2006 (%) 10.0 to 0 0 to -10.0 Less Than -10.0 More than 10.0 US: -5.4%
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Total Starts Growth Q4 2008 vs. Q4 2007 (%) 10.0 to 0 0 to -10.0 Less Than -10.0 More than 10.0 US: 5.8%
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Population Growth
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Population Change: 2005 versus 2004 More than 2% 1% to 2% 0% to 1% Less than 0% US: 0.98%
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Population Change: 2006 versus 2005 More than 2% 1% to 2% 0% to 1% Less than 0% US: 0.98%
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Employment Growth
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Employment Growth: 2005 versus 2004 More than 2% 1% to 2% 0% to 1% Less than 0% US: 1.7%
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Employment Growth: 2006 versus 2005 More than 2% 1% to 2% 0% to 1% Less than 0% US: 1.9%
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Housing Prices
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Change in Existing Home Prices in Y/Y Q4, 2005 20% or more 10% to 20% 5% to 10% 5% or less US: 13.2%
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Change in Existing Home Prices in Y/Y Q4, 2006 20% or more 10% to 20% 5% to 10% 5% or less US: 5.9%
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Subprime Loans
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Share of Loans serviced at Subprime: 2002 Q4 Less than 4% 4% to 7% 7% to 10% More than 10% US: 3.8%
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Share of Loans serviced at Subprime: 2006 Q4 Less than 4% 4% to 7% 7% to 10% More than 10% US: 11.6%
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Share of Loans serviced at Subprime: % point increase from 2002 Q4 to 2006 Q4 Less than 3 3 to 6 6 to 9 More than 9 US: 7.8
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