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Goals & Objectives Objectives: Understand probable effects of natural and anthropogenic hazards Identify reliability & resilience projects Understand benefit-cost.

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Presentation on theme: "Goals & Objectives Objectives: Understand probable effects of natural and anthropogenic hazards Identify reliability & resilience projects Understand benefit-cost."— Presentation transcript:

1 Goals & Objectives Objectives: Understand probable effects of natural and anthropogenic hazards Identify reliability & resilience projects Understand benefit-cost of projects Prioritize projects For Everett’s Water Supply System... Goal–Reliable water supply with resiliency

2 Components Studied

3 Natural Hazards Assessed Earthquakes Landslides Floods Tsunamis Volcanic eruptions Watershed fires Severe weather (wind, snow, ice) Climate change

4 Earthquakes Greatest threats: o Cascadia M7.5 Intraplate near Everett o Southern Whidbey Island M7.33 o Cascadia M9.0 Interplate o Duval M6.0 – for WFP

5 Other Significant Hazards Landslides: threats to Spada and Chaplain reservoirs and dams Floods: potential threats to above ground transmission lines on Ebey Island Tsunamis: conflicting study results, potential threats to above ground transmission lines on Ebey Island Volcanic Eruptions: ash fall hazard, potential threat to operability of Water Filter Plant

6 Anthropogenic Hazards Threats from insiders Explosions Fires Sabotage Armed attacks Disruption of IT, SCADA, or communications systems Contamination Forced entry Civil disorder Compromise of personnel Airplane crash in reservoir

7 Improvement Programs IP-1: enhance emergency planning, enhance mutual aid, complete additional studies to refine vulnerability assessment and finalize mitigation priorities IP-2: Upgrades for: Chaplain Reservoir and South Dam, Sultan River Diversion, Water Filter Plant, Transmission Lines 3 and 5, Reservoir 3, and other items IP-3: Upgrades for: WFP new flocculation basin, Transmission Lines 2 and 4, Reservoirs 2 & 6

8 Improvement Programs IP 1 - Emergency preparedness measures & studies to refine findings IP 2 - Upgrades to meet goals for maximum earthquake (2,475 return period) events IP 3 - Fully upgrade system for maximum earthquake (2,475 return period) events ≈ $1.3 ≈ $38.0 ≈ $47.7

9 Damages and Losses Major Categories: o Economic impacts on customers from loss of water service: by far the largest category! o Damage to water system infrastructure Minor/Negligible Categories o Secondary damages from failures of water system infrastructure o Deaths and injuries o Water Revenue Loss

10 Scenario Damages and Losses

11 Benefit-Cost Results - 1

12 Benefit-Cost Results - 2

13 Overall findings: Hazards Earthquakes have the greatest effect: o Likely to meet goals for probable events o Upgrades needed to meet goals for maximum events, estimated at ~$40 M Minor effects of other hazards relative to meeting goals


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