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Published byDouglas Burns Modified over 9 years ago
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Housing boom led banks to lend to areas with the highest rates of income growth Feeding the boom, banks lent to builders, decorators, stores. Banks borrowed to make more loans so consumers could borrow more.
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The housing bubble bursts. Some regions are so burdened with debt that rebounding spending is unlikely. States such as California, Nevada, Florida, Arizona wound up with large proportions of negative equity and high unemployment rates Loss of equity hit small business hard. Consumers retrench due to lack of credit.
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Other states had never been targeted by the banks. In the flyover states, the housing boom was much more mild. Banks were not pushing credit in these states, so households didn’t overextend. With a mild boom, these states experienced a mild bust. Manufacturing jobs starting to return to these areas.
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State governments in the flyover areas have not piled on lots of debt. Thus there was no need to raise taxes; they had the funds to invest in infrastructure and job training. Since 2008, the flyover states have experienced less unemployment and higher income growth than the housing boom states.
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Housing boom states greatly cut spending for education and infrastructure and piled on debt. As a result, high-earners have migrated out of the housing boom states. Like banks, state and local governments made bets that housing prices would never fall. Governments underestimated the crash, using debt to make ends meet.
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Some states also piled on pension obligations and retirement costs that will eventually have to be paid.
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Two groups of states: ◦ 1) Over leveraged and slow growing ◦ 2) Growing because they did not borrow and spend during the housing boom The U.S. is divided into growing states and states with very high unemployment rates. Pro-business states with healthy balance sheets and low costs are growing faster than others.
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Book addresses the boom and bust, and examines what can be done to reduce the gap between the have and have not states.
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